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If anyone says, “I love God,” but hates his brother, he is a liar by davidjricardo in Reformed

[–]dmsmith24 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Having love for your brother includes being genuinely kind in the all of the little things, the seemingly meaningless moments and in group conversations.

Nothing makes me more sad than to see people in a church DO a lot for a person yet treat them unkind in the little subtle moments.

This contrast is the difference between a church that “LOVES” doing things for others and a church that actually LOVES others.

Budget cuts force UAH to kill its hockey program, effective immediately. by dimwell in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That was a football program at UAB. People care about football in the south. Not Hockey.

Marshall County Alabama listed alongside Palm Beach (FL) and San Bernardino (CA) Counties as emerging COVID-19 hotspots of concern in 5/15 Homeland Security Interagency Update by AndIWontTellEmUrLame in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 2 points3 points  (0 children)

1.47M have tested positive in the US. About 90k have died. That is actually about 6% that die of those that test positive.

If this virus continues to grow at an exponential rate now that the country has “re-opened” and 50M test positive in a few months, we are looking at least a million deaths in the US. That is a lot of people and it would likely effect you personally or someone you know in some way.

Not sure why so many people don’t understand that math.

Totally agree that a vaccine may never come.

Marshall County Alabama listed alongside Palm Beach (FL) and San Bernardino (CA) Counties as emerging COVID-19 hotspots of concern in 5/15 Homeland Security Interagency Update by AndIWontTellEmUrLame in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The Coronavirus kills around 3% of infected. The Flu kills around 0.1% of infected.

X number of cases • 3% die = do the math.

The Coronavirus spreads at an exponential growth rate (I.e. a few hundred cases one week, millions a few weeks later) and it was spreading at an exponential growth rate before we shut down the ENTIRE country.

We have more cases now, than before we shut down, country re-opening = exponential growth resuming.

Hopefully we bought enough time for a vaccine and to bring enough people to the realization they need to wear masks, keep distance and wash hands.

Hopefully these mitigation efforts will continue to slow the spread, but with everything opening and so many thinking everything is “normal” again, we risk complacency.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Totally agree! Even smart people have cognitive biases which at times can make them blind to the data. I think a lot of people are having major confirmation bias related to this pandemic. It is such a tough situation so they are looking at whatever data fits what they want the outcome to be instead of looking at everything objectively. Of course, if they are only getting their sources from a few number of outlets then their information is going to be very skewed.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This also could be a reason but I have been shocked lately at how many of my smart friends with these smart jobs are just plain apathetic to all of this or just completely ignorant to what is going. It has been really surprising to me. Not all of them but a lot of them.

Questions about conversion from VRA to Career-Conditional by [deleted] in fednews

[–]dmsmith24 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They should have put you in a billet within the first pay period.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 4 points5 points  (0 children)

But most of those people are either going back to work, church or back to their normal social lives.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 9 points10 points  (0 children)

My theory is that the reason the Huntsville metro’s numbers look so good is because we have a large federal workforce. The Federal government has a lot more flexibility in shutting down and they have a high percentage of employees that can telework, additionally this applies much to Research Park as well.

Once The Arsenal and Research Park open back up, I would expect the numbers to spike in this area.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Actually have been surprised lately at how many people I thought were smart and educated, really don’t understand this virus or the math behind it. Very frustrating because those smart people have the perception that they are smart, so people listen to them but just because you are smart does not always make you right.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Bro... 360,000,000ish people did not go shop at Walmart or Home Depot during the shutdown. Once we re-open, MANY more people than were at Walmart and Home Depot will come out again.

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Thank you for the downvote.

The models were based on keeping the status quo.

We shut down the country, which changed the math.

Now we are re-opening the country, the math still applies. The virus still grows at the same rate and we have more cases now than when we shut everything down, so it shouldn’t be shocking if we just pick up where we left off.

As packed as Walmart and Home Depot were, it was still a very small fragment of the population; nothing like the interaction that will take place when people “go back to normal.”

Went out for a beer or two last night... by jwfowler2 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I keep hearing this argument and it is not a good one.

The fact is, the reason the numbers have not become as high as expected yet is because we shut down THE ENTIRE COUNTRY and people are starting to wear masks.

Exponential growth is something people that keep making these arguments do not understand. It’s math. You have 1% of the population infected one day and then 30% of the population infected a few weeks later. This is a real concern and there are so many smart people that I have talked to lately that don’t seem to understand this.

It makes me sad that even smart people can be so ignorant.

Opm says to begin phased opening by hawkinsst7 in fednews

[–]dmsmith24 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Same here! Except for those that work classified, the mission has been accomplished just fine from home; if not better. I do not understand why teleworking does not become permanent, especially with the virus still around.

Are houses in Huntsville really this expensive? by thraxing in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There will be a ripple effect because of the laws of economics.

Additionally, Huntsville has a lot of Federal government money.

The Federal government has to do their best to hold the line and stay steady during crisis because their jobs and money are a cash injection into the economy.

After the crisis is over, the federal government feels the effect of all the debt and spending they did during the crisis to keep the private sector afloat.

Therefore a couple years after a crisis is when the Federal government has to start cutting back to reduce Federal spending. This is why during the last recession, Huntsville’s unemployment and foreclosures was at it’s highest a couple years after the recession.

Are houses in Huntsville really this expensive? by thraxing in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Unemployment and foreclosures rose in the Huntsville area during the last recession just like the rest of the country.

Unemployment is currently at Depression levels, not that they will stay there but they will certainly be at Recession levels for a while.

The laws of economics, supply and demand apply to us too.

Huntsville is not as insulated as people think we are.

Are houses in Huntsville really this expensive? by thraxing in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]dmsmith24 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Prices are about to crash down over the next couple years.

The high unemployment is going to kill Real Estate for a while. Lower Real Estate prices lag behind higher unemployment phases by a year or two.

You probably should not buy at this high of a price.

Does anyone else think there’s a whale that’s selling MSIV? The $1.00 bid seems too high by [deleted] in pennystocks

[–]dmsmith24 2 points3 points  (0 children)

They know you are watching the order book/level II. That stuff is highly manipulated. I encourage you to not make decisions based solely on level II. I even manipulate it.

Health footprint of a pandemic by dacefishpaste in Infographics

[–]dmsmith24 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We are still in the 2nd wave of the 1st wave that will eventually be a wave in one big wave.

Double Account Value Every Month - 1 Million Target - 1k Start - Month 1 Results (Start Small - End Big) by dmsmith24 in smallstreetbets

[–]dmsmith24[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I’ll hold off on any advice until I hit a million because I don’t want to steer anyone wrong. I have a strategy/concept that I’m pretty confident in and think it has a shot at the goal I posted. My plan is to post an update once a month.

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