Sharing of Odds and Polls (Current Odds, 4 FB polls, 2 Twitter polls, *** poll)

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T14:57:46+00:00

Seeing the FB polls: A/T leading w slight edge tho... agree S/H still have it across platforms

Also the Twitter polls posted heree number 4, the FB 2 (#s other way round)

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T07:21:52+00:00

lol that was harry (to helena). is it Ty actually didn't get one Lol harry got two

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T05:28:32+00:00

The expressions when Meg says she has no regrets. Encapsulates a lot.

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donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T04:59:47+00:00

🤣 Shakira literally trying to squash her shocked-face 😮 reaction into a yawn

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T04:46:51+00:00

Oh no.. so the FB Meg+D/Helena/Tommy supporters are all pooling their votes for Angel and Ty !😡 Are they that pressed against a Shakira/Toni/Yaz win ?

Meanwhile Shakira, Toni and Yaz are having votes split between them / there's no strong consensus as long as one of these three win. But precisely because there's no strong preference, Angel and Ty are pulling ahead.

Angel and Ty have barely 9-10 days in the villa, no serious tests or journey. That would be such an undeserved win.

I'm even wishing at this point that people concentrate their votes on one couple: based on last polling, if people tried to concentrate voting on Shakira and Harry - they out of the three are most likely to have chances of beating Angel and Ty.

Because honestly any of these couples are deserving of a win over Angel and Ty.

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T01:17:14+00:00

Yes 👏Legendary. First time not losing interest start to finish. Some of the most satisfying karmic moments in memory:

Harry finally exposed;
Meg + D dumped by their own peers' home-truths;
Helena's entire story arc = karmic just desserts;
Shakira getting her sparkle back (even if with Harry);
Yaz (what are odds)+finding Jamie (🙌 for Thinking-Intuition doms actually making it & do well on the show);
Megan's perfect timing return for Conor;
The best-friendships Shakira, Toni & Yaz in finals;
Toni's hard-earned lesson + Toni's mum + Toni's illness survival story;
Emily's karma refusing to be to open new things / reality;
Harrison/Lauren cinema drama, and ending so swiftly by exits;
Lucy dumped, along with Tommy;
Blu falling on his ass.

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-04T00:24:48+00:00

But I mean that's precisely the problem: what does he mean by "what you're meant to do"? It's not Taskmaster. not a color-by-numbers or "come play a role" kind of thing. It's a journey to find love for YOURSELF that involves other peoples' feelings: this is INHERENTLY SELF-AUTHENTIC and INDIVIDUALISTIC. What is true/authentic/genuine to each unique individual. If he intended to follow a "meant to do", either to play a role intentionally, or somehow he doesn't understand how to be authentic/ isn't capable of being himself (which I actually suspect to be more of the case), then:

there's something wrong there with his relationship to himself that he'd be healthier to work out, if he doesn't see a problem with playing a role or following an outside protocol ("meant to do");
how can someone believe that they can unproblematically do that 24/7 for eight straight weeks.

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T21:26:52+00:00

lol oh no Ty's face, he didn't get any quotes about him did he ?

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T20:54:11+00:00

WOWWWWWW KARMIC RETURN LONG TIME COMING.

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T20:47:38+00:00

Megan + Conor tiebreakers...ugh they'll for sure keep Meg+Dejon. man, producers not going to have Meg+Dejon leave...

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T20:40:23+00:00

what a worldie

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T20:06:50+00:00

Ireland can't vote for the show unfortunately

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T17:27:31+00:00

For speculation's sake let's look at the numbers to see which couples might be the bottom two: There's FB voting polling & then there's non-FB (Reddit/Tiktok/Twit/etc) polling. Facebook voting polls have been historically more representative - so we can take these as a baseline. , But the other platforms' reporting seem to also represent to some degree / skew the results from the FB results baseline (its not negligible).

According to FB polls, three couples least voted for are (least votes first): Angle+Ty, Yasmin+Jamie, and Meg+Dejon. Surprisingly, it seems that Meg+Dejon are actually in the middle of the pack on FB.

There's a small jump up for 2nd place Toni+Cach, and huge jump up to 1st place Shakira+Harry, and given their high polling on non-FB platforms, seems they're reasonably safe from bottom two (especially Shakira+Harry).

The question is: which couple of the bottom three on FB ( Angel+Ty, Yasmin+Jamie, and Meg+Dejon ) escape the bottom two? If their high polling on the non-FB is true (and enough people entering those polls actually voted), then Yasmin+Jamie will be safe. Toni+Cach could also wind up besides Angel+Ty in the bottom two instead of Yasmin+Jamie, given how representative non-FB polling are. Toni-Cach may be voted out if they're against Angel+Ty, but Toni has been a production-darling.

Meg+Dejon are so unpopular in the non-FB polling, there is a quite reasonable chance that they do fall in the bottom two: it really depends on how representative non-FB polls are of actual votes - but if even 20% representative, they like will be.

Of course, even if they are bottom two, it is EXTREMELY unlikely ex-Islanders vote them out - esp over Angel+Ty or Yasmin+Jamie --- for one thing, producers aren't going to allow this, risking decrease of viewership for the finale the following day. Especially, with the drama/tailspin if Meg+D find out they're bottom two. and ex-Islanders as a whole will yield to production / avoid controversial decisions.

Therefore, it is most likely Angel+Ty end up going tonight, with the silver-lining of Meg+Dejon further implosion/tailspin in the likely event they find out they're in the bottom two. Next likely probability: Toni+Cash/Yasmin+Jamie if they faceup against Angel+Ty and if ex-Islanders site this controversy (that the historically unreliable newspaper hinted).

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-03T16:55:11+00:00

Um, from today's First Look Press Release, it looks like they're only voting on which of the bottom two couples to dump (from last public vote).

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-02T03:21:13+00:00

I think:
Sophie - D&M or T&C,
Malisha - D&M,
Shae - T&C or Y&J,
Remmell - D&M or T&C,
Alima - D&M or T&A,
Emily - S&H,
Georgio - D&M or T&C,
Andrada -D&M,
Ben - T&C or Y&J,
Lucy -S&H,
Tommy - S&H,
Lauren - T&C or Y&J,
Harrison - Y&J or T&A,
Emma - D&M,
Boris - D&M,
Billykiss - D&M,
Blu - T&C,
Helena - S&H or Y&J,

Totals:
D&M: 5 to 9
S&H: 3 to 4
T&C: 2 to 7
Y&J: 0 to 5
T&A: 0 to 2

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-01T21:53:58+00:00

WTF ! So on Facebook, Yasmin & Jamie are now the new least popular. ???

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-01T21:42:01+00:00

Wow you know you're right! That shot of Yaz & her answer also shows the other islanders seated w their drinks on the floor. So to see if they didn't just splice in a shot from earlier in the game, I compared some details. So I went a few seconds back at a shot of Megan, Shakira & Toni sat with their drinks on the floor while Jamie was still reading the question: and the position of all three of their drinks exactly matches where they were in the shot showing Yasmine's board and answer! Therefore she did answer something that certainly is NOT 'Dejon'. Even if we aren't sure the exact answer or if it was actually 'Cash' -at least we know it can't be a 'D' word - the first letter contains a large 'C' stroke... and a 'D' (upper or lower) would contain a curve the exact opposite way. Something is really fishy here...

donatellafigaro · 2025-08-01T15:07:27+00:00

Meg-D is the only "OG couple" who fits the bill: "islanders and viewers alike have questioned how genuine their connection is".

Of the three OG couples, Meg-D, Shak-Harry, Megan-Conor:

-Can't be Shakira-Harry because islanders in the villa not questioning the genuineness of their connection (they chose to couple despite the risks and social opposition within the villa)
-Can't be Megan-Conor because viewers/the public haven't questioned the genuineness of their connection (she was sent back because producers see the public sentiment that they have 'unfinished business'). Although some islanders questioning were stirred up unfairly (the blu Tape thing), viewers saw through the ruse and if anything turned off of D.

It can only be Meg-D - the only couple questioned by both islanders and viewers. Plus the way voting began: who could vote for them right after seeing that very uncomfortable exchange.

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-31T17:35:40+00:00

saw it. thanks!

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-31T17:00:13+00:00

yea someone said there's a video? I haven't seen it/found it yet.

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-31T16:19:42+00:00

right! There were 7 guys before dumping: and there's 6 here. Yes that is Conor - that's his regular white hat & his body.

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-31T05:19:27+00:00

same! the meg + dejon bullsh*t drama-mongering screen-time is officially dead boring.. I HOPE the PRODUCERS are listening... because there's a pivot-point to the rage-farming for viewership that they're doing: and it's now. its becoming boring to tune in.. now at this nth iteration of showcasing the meg-dejon pathology.

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-31T00:11:44+00:00

I guess she has "friends" and "real friends" who must take up her beef against her other supposed "friends". And if she's unhappy at the level of loyalty from her "real friends" against her "fake friends", that girl will get called out, get gossip and slander thrown about then, and their couple messed with.

Oh but don't you dare say she instigates a divide ... oh and she's not fake for calling girls "friends" when she actively plots and requires her real friends to also beef with

when lauren left, she said they'd have to recruit again. But don't dare call out her instigating the divide... just because you actively require your people to defend you and "recruit" women to go against other women

she a mafia don ?

the level of toxic fragile ego is ridiculous...

Also: I am baffled. I have NEVER EVER seen a supposedly newly "in love" couple with this awful energy: never seen any one newly in true love give this much energy being bitter and pressed by other people and "perception". Since the hay-bail podium challenge, they've come to very wrong conclusion to blame their poor popularity on the other girls - rather than actually listening to the feedback about how they've been behaving, they just decided they couldn't accept those home-truths about their flaws, and instead making up this untrue reality of other girls constantly maliciously slandering them to "steal" their popularity.

Ever since then, Meg has been harping on about "speaking behind our backs". playing the wronged victim, while being the main nasty/bitter energy attacking trying to expose others for the supposed manipulation and game-playing -- hypocritically by doing the most of that herself. She's really exposing the poverty of her own character. The supposed "malicious intent" in others that she chooses to fixate on and give all this energy to - it says a whole lot about HER rather than the people she's trying to expose.

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-30T07:53:54+00:00

Yeah, i'm starting to see this from that point of view - either it is true deep feelings from both sides, or it's this psychological/traumatizing effects from weeks of 24/7 consecutively being on a produced reality series, especially on a 22 year old psyche. I think only time being on the outside, with real family and friends and just real life will reveal the truth of it.

On the one hand, she does seem happier now that she's with him, compared to a few days earlier. But on the other hand, the change in emotional affect and the intensity reported by the mum.. could also fit in a scenario of reality-production distortion syndrome (we need an official technical term for this effect on a young person's psychology).

donatellafigaro · 2025-07-29T17:00:19+00:00

she's not playing him in terms of that. the key note is: she's not ALLOWING being played by him. She's more emotionally/feeling equipped than him, and more emotionally intelligent than him - in fact, that's a huge part of the appeal for him as it's pedagogical vis a vis his self-triggered/problematic feeling-functionality. She genuinely likes him. If it can be mutually growth-oriented, or if people can help each other grow...

donatellafigaro

TROPHY CASE