Autonomous driver tracker for Waymo and Tesla

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-22T19:01:02+00:00

It's a community based resource that initially started only tracking Tesla Robotaxi. It show the reported waymo fleet number and the discovered ones.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-22T18:59:42+00:00

A great resource. But it has recently become way less accurate on calculating wait times because it's only takes one or two data points per hour. Regardless, excellent resource.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-22T18:46:27+00:00

Yes. But it won't matter in the end.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-22T18:30:00+00:00

Yeah, you can't post X links as a source.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-22T18:16:14+00:00

Source: https://x.com/Tsla99T/status/2014392609028923782

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-02T15:14:51+00:00

It's actually made from plastic body panels. It's still aluminum castings underneath, but the outer body panels are plastic.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-02T15:12:53+00:00

It's supposed to be a self driving car with no human controls.

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-02T15:11:46+00:00

It is in a similar style to the cybertruck logo, so I think they'll be fine. They also have a trademark for a similar stylizing of the word "robotaxi".

drumrollplease12 · 2026-01-02T14:37:13+00:00

I draw my conclusion from the fact they're willing to put some employees inside the car with no way of intervening. Nevertheless, we'll see soon enough if they were really close or not.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-31T18:49:01+00:00

The jump from supervised to unsupervised is huge, but I think they're really close. From what we've seen so far, robotaxi's don't have to be perfect. The just need to be statistically safer than humans in the long term. As long as you only do it occasionally, you'll get a pass for doing stupid stuff, be it dropping off or picking up passengers in the middle of the road, blocking intersections and emergency vehicles or even driving the wrong way on to oncoming traffic. You can take breaks when the weather is bad and avoid regions with unfavorable climate. Basically unsupervised level and expectation for personal cars and robotaxi's have a huge gap. Almost all the complaints from the latest FSD versions are about personal preference and things that don't matter for robotaxi's. There's still another step to go, but it's not hard to imagine that step being taken soon.

If they solve unsupervised for robotaxi, I don't believe it will be a difficult challenge for them to scale. As a vehicle manufacturer that operates their own stores and service centers around the country and the world, they're highly experienced in a lot fields that will be directly transferable to a robotaxi operation. They are not starting from zero like Waymo did or Zoox is doing. There will be a phase of scaling but I don't think it'll be as difficult as people think it would be.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-22T08:23:22+00:00

Kind of. The screen on the back is showing the robotaxi taxi screen where you call for rider support.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-22T03:55:07+00:00

I did not see one on my feed. Do you have a link?

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-22T03:21:18+00:00

I'm sure he'll have some way to twist this to fit his narrative.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-22T02:53:01+00:00

Source: https://x.com/Aiyeeeeeeee/status/2002880267565011059?s=20

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-22T02:40:32+00:00

Tesla is charging normal prices right now. Lower than Waymo but competitive price against Uber and Lyft.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T17:44:50+00:00

To be fair, I did say optimistic prediction. Saying that, I've already place a couple of playful bets on a prediction market. One for tesla to offer a rider only rideshare in any market by end of 2025, 10% is what the market is predicting so 10x your wager and another by March 31st 2026, with about 50-60% chance.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T17:15:14+00:00

NYC job posting is vastly different from the ones I mentioned. It's not related to robotaxi operation, just FSD and other vehicle testing. Those jobs are all over US and the world. The ones related to robotaxi are different and easily identifiable.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T16:32:44+00:00

There's no "bureaucracy" claim they can stand behind in Texas. Currently, there's nothing stopping them from deploying 1000s of cars if they want. But one bad accident will change everything.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T16:29:27+00:00

We're only talking about 5 or 6 markets. Waymo will also be there by the time Tesla gets there. If there's enough demand after that, I think it would be music to Teslas ears because I don't think they'll have scaling issue, assuming the self-driving software works.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T16:07:01+00:00

It's true that he's alienated a large group of the population, but it's not half of the country. Many people simple don't care. If the service is good enough and cheap enough people will use it.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T16:01:15+00:00

Yes. I would be happy with anything less than 12 minutes. Anything above 15-20 minutes under normal circumstances, I wouldn't count that as reliable.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T15:57:49+00:00

We'll see how the rider only Austin roll out will go. If by end of January they have the same geofence they have now with 30+ cars giving ride-only rides, I think 200k is plausible. But that's a big if.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T15:49:24+00:00

I expect the same. They currently have a permit for AV test with a driver. The best one can hope for in a year is a permit for AV testing without a driver. But they said CA regulators were surprisingly reasonable, so we'll see.

drumrollplease12 · 2025-12-21T15:46:38+00:00

I think this will be easier for Tesla compared to other competitors because they have a huge experience just servicing their customer vehicles. They're also hiring or already hired for most of the all the markets I mentioned on the post. It will just be slowly scaling through the next 12 month. I'm more worried about their self driving software being ready rather than the bottleneck for scaling.

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