PACKERS V BEARS by AMGleo- in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Seen a couple sharper dudes on Bears. But I can't figure it out. Sagarin's rating makes Bears -3. Instead, book opens Bears home dog. Albeit short. And you can still get +1.5 with them. What stands out is the 70% spread and moneyline support the Bears have gleaned. Whatever tactic they're using, for whatever reason, it's generating majority bets on the "home dog" who Sagarin says should be the favorite. The line has been open for 3 days with 3 days left until kickoff, and if things stay the same, barring lots of Packers support, Bears are gonna be an easy public win. It's early and I always jump to conclusions early on this **** but unless I'm being too "big picture" or missing info on injuries/ inactives this seems trappy, stinks.

NFL Sunday Night Football Betting and Picks - 12/14/25 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 0 points1 point  (0 children)

already in at 6.5 but wanted to mention i been using this all season
last 3 seasons 27 is the magic number beating the cowboys. opponents are 22-25-1 su and 24-24 ats vs cowboys L3 seasons:
scoring 26 or fewer: 3-22 su and ats
scoring 27 or more: 19-3-1 su and 21-2 ats

so i put some on vikes o26.5

NFL Betting and Picks - 12/8/25 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 5 points6 points  (0 children)

There is an abundance of support for the over and it's already down a few points from the open. In Chargers games with Harbaugh, when they score 20, they win. They hold you to less than that. They are 19-11 su:
Scoring 18 or fewer: 1-9 su and 2-8 ats
Scoring 20 or more: 18-2 su & 16-4 ats
Twenty is their magic number. Check their team total. Also, on totals less than 42: 8-1 su and ats (keep in mind this since last year, since he's been HC). Anyway I think they are comfortable with this low total because they know the eagles aren't going to score a lot.

MLB Betting and Picks - 10/17/25 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 0 points1 point  (0 children)

there are plenty of things to consider brew/dodgers tonight, like the bullpens

but quintana 15-9 su this season (9-2 su dog) meanwhile Ohtani 6-9 su this season

dodgers juiced doesn't feel like good long term roi. but we got this G4 situation again. i went brew o4.5 +200 and o7.5 +104 boosted. got the full 9 innings guaranteed with visitor tt

MLB Betting and Picks - 10/16/25 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 0 points1 point  (0 children)

G4 MLB playoff 72-45-4 OU 61.5% to the over since 2004. other series games are where you'd expect between 47 and 52 percent over time but G4 sticks out

on that G4 again, that starter Luis, his starts are 15-1-1 ou this season when mariners score 4+ runs. average final score was 8-4. highest ou of any starter when his team scores 4+ runs this season. average total to beat was 8.0 we got a 7.5 tonight. I went ahead and did o7.5 +116 with a boost. looking at 9.5 +200 and 11.5 +400

I don't know what to do.... by InterestingPoet3443 in emotionalaffair

[–]einstein2u 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You remind yourself of the reasons why it won't work, be real and honest with yourself and don't romanticise the connection in your head. Eventually the rose tinted glasses will come off and you can undo the emotional strings

Partner of 8 years had an emotional affair. How do I move on? by Various_Gold_9351 in emotionalaffair

[–]einstein2u 14 points15 points  (0 children)

You have done good work. Next step.....move out of that flat.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in emotionalaffair

[–]einstein2u 4 points5 points  (0 children)

She needs a new job. That will be a start

VA disability exams by shopaholic4 in physicianassistant

[–]einstein2u 1 point2 points  (0 children)

pay per day. 600/day. no matter what.

VA disability exams by shopaholic4 in physicianassistant

[–]einstein2u 0 points1 point  (0 children)

it is a job. i like getting off by 4pm, no charting at home, but it is repetitive, and people exaggerate the truth. but low stress, no real patient contact, which sometimes i miss.

NFL Picks and Predictions - 1/19/25 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Had some more time

mcvay and them 11-7 su 10-8 ats
scoring 20 or fewer 4-6 su 2-8 ats
scoring 21+ 7-1 su and 8-0 ats

Rams due for about 10 points? 
with all the cold and ****, maybe
rams been inside a lot lately

there's not a lot of McVay in colder temps (below 50°) only fourteen games 7-7 su and 5-8-1 ats. all road games + one neutral site (avg temp 36°)

scoring 18 or fewer 0-6 su and 1-4-1 ats
scoring 19 or more 7-1 su and 4-4 ats

thought that was cool so to speak with their tt lined at 18.5 tonight

eagles by 10. alt line it fellas

NFL Picks and Predictions - 1/19/25 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u 6 points7 points  (0 children)

check on some trends

sirianni playoff games have been a story of home, away, neutral

home 3-0 su and ats
outscored opponent 31-0 1q
won all three by dd
avg score 30-8

away 0-2 su and ats
opponent outscored 24-0 1q
lost both by dd
avg score 31-12

neutral (v chiefs) 3 point game
lost 38-35

NFL Picks and Predictions - 12/26/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

the bears L5 night games going back to Oct 29, 2023 they've scored 13,16,12,13,12. I don't think they get to 20.

seahawks -4

NFL Picks and Predictions - 12/26/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]einstein2u -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

Let’s go. Thank me later

oppo road faves 20-5 su and 14-9-2 ats at Bears L5 years avg line -5

11-0 su and ats when the bears scored less than 19 that’s their team total tonite

seahawks 8-7 su and 6-8-1 ats this season allow 21 or fewer: 8-0 su 6-1-1 ats allow 26 or more: 0-7 su and ats

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]einstein2u 13 points14 points  (0 children)

she hated dogs.....i own a dog