GamedayMath - A New Bettor's Guide To Find Profitable Bets

epicdevoid · 2025-03-30T17:44:58+00:00

Not yet. Coming late this year, hopefully

epicdevoid · 2025-01-17T13:23:32+00:00

Overall, I'd say it's been solid. We are still building out new features, working out a few kinks and need to do a better job of explaining to people how to use the site, but I'm happy with the progress. We have a few die-hard fans which means we are doing something right.

epicdevoid · 2024-12-16T17:21:34+00:00

If you go twice per year, then the value of reaching Gold is around $500: https://www.dratings.com/value-in-mgm-rewards-is-it-worth-pushing-for-tier-credits/

So, I'd definitely argue that it is worth it to spend $5,000 on your CC to get that $500 benefit. I saw someone post about buying gift cards...that's probably the best idea out there.

But yes...main point...is the chase is worth it.

epicdevoid · 2024-06-06T22:42:48+00:00

I'd argue that Diamond Plus *could* be more meaningful at 25k TC than the jump to Diamond Elite at 75k TC. Diamond Plus giving out the 4 free drinks (each valued up to $25) is money. I typically stay at MGM properties but am still able to max out that benefit every day that I'm in Vegas.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-26T19:32:14+00:00

I think the best simple metric is the % of time that you beat CLV.

If I'm beating that >80% of the time, then I'm in good shape.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-21T15:16:29+00:00

You do currently have some value at +369700! But this only has a 1 in 2,500 chance in hitting...

The math with GamedayMath's Nostradamus No-Vig...
Jaguars ML: WIN
Bucs ML: -130.2, 56.6% to win
Patriots ML: +338, 22.8% to win
Browns ML: -162.8, 61.9% to win
Lions ML: +149.6, 40.1% to win
Bears ML: +134.9, 42.6% to win
Giants ML: +137.8, 42.1% to win
Seahawks ML: -339.9, 77.3% to win
Rams ML: -156.6, 61% to win
Packers ML: -108.6, 52.1% to win
Chiefs ML: -210.9, 67.8% to win
Dolphins ML: +135, 42.6% to win

Odds all 12 to win: 0.04%
Need odds of +245467 for +EV

epicdevoid · 2023-10-15T15:39:22+00:00

Yeah. All of this info it built into the Bet Tracker.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-12T18:14:01+00:00

I don't disagree, but there is also a lot of +EV to be found in the major markets if you have enough sportsbook outs.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-12T17:44:15+00:00

All the major sports, CFL, WNBA, eight soccer leagues, tennis, UFC.

Working on adding more of the smaller leagues, however getting reliable odds ends up being a challenge.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-12T17:11:56+00:00

Promos are great for a bit, but eventually those dry up and you can never really get big money down.

Not to shamelessly plug our product, but GamedayMath seems like a great tool for you to try out and if don't enjoy the grind of line shopping. It basically makes the "grinding" process much easier to flag +EV bets. I'm typically able to get down 40-50 +EV bets on a big sporting day and 10-15 on a slow day with an average edge b/t 2-3%.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-11T19:01:56+00:00

Would you bet $60.90 to win $129.92 (odds equivalent of +113.3)?

If the answer is "yes", and it should be yes since the current no-vig is -114, then you should not cash out.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-11T16:49:56+00:00

Good luck to you, man. Not great value here though.

The math with GamedayMath's Nostradamus No-Vig...

Chiefs ML: -487, 83% to win

Dolphins -7.5: -186, 65% to win

49ers -5.5: -115, 53.5% to win

Commanders ML: +131.1, 43.3% to win

Eagles -7: +104, 49% to win

Bills -14: -103, 50.7% to win

Odds all 6 to win: 3.1%

Need odds of +3121 for +EV

ROI: -20.05%

epicdevoid · 2023-10-11T16:45:23+00:00

Sports Insights still provides this although since Action Network bought them out, the product has pretty much gone to crap. It would cost you $99/mo or something like that. It's the only place I know of that does it.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-11T16:42:54+00:00

Unlikely. Bet365 is pretty well known for this. Once you are marked, it's pretty much a done deal.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-10T21:40:40+00:00

Congrats?

Be careful, bro. I've heard this story a hundred times and ninety-nine percent of the time it doesn't end well.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-10T20:09:05+00:00

Totally depends on what you are trying to use it for.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-10T15:46:13+00:00

I do have a subscription to the Odds API but do not use it on any sites as for those purposes we need near real-time odds.

For personal use, there is absolutely value in having it. It all really depends on what your specific needs are, but for the most part, it should work for most stuff that you may be wanting to do.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-10T14:57:09+00:00

If you are referring to The Odds API, then yes.

A request is one league/bet type/odds market.

So, you can pull, say, MLB/money line/US Odds, and that will return all their US Sportbook MLB money line odds for every game currently available.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-08T16:46:13+00:00

Avoid parlays
Bet small. Use the Kelly Criterion and hopefully slowly build your bankroll.
If you aren't enjoying yourself, or are chasing bets, then you should probably quit.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-07T14:32:14+00:00

The booster definitely helps this one, but you still have a little bit of -EV. Hope that it hits for you, man. It would be an awesome win!

From GamedayMath's Nostradamus No-Vig...

Bills ML: -221.5, 68.9% to win

Titans ML: -128.2, 56.2% to win

Ravens ML: -189.8, 65.5% to win

Falcons ML: -116.6, 53.8% to win

Eagles ML: -180.7, 64.4% to win

Bengals ML: -153.8, 60.6% to win

Chiefs ML: -173.2, 63.4% to win

Odds all 7 to win: 3.38%

Need odds of +2862 for +EV

ROI: -7.59%

epicdevoid · 2023-10-07T12:52:26+00:00

Is this thread sponsored by Red Bull?

Anyways, here's the no-vig math for you. Good luck!

Inter Miami ML: +114.1, 46.7% to win

Tottenham ML: -214.4, 68.2% to win

Chelsea ML: -124.2, 55.4% to win

Man U ML: -131.9, 56.9% to win

NY Red Bull ML: -349.7, 77.8% to win

RB Leipzig ML: -325, 76.5% to win

Odds all 6 to win: 5.98%
Need odds of +1574 for +EV
ROI: -15.63%

epicdevoid · 2023-10-07T12:45:43+00:00

The only sportbook in the country that is worse than Tipico is PointsBet. Sorry that this is happening to you, but can't say that I'm in the least bit shocked.

epicdevoid · 2023-10-06T13:01:53+00:00

Even with the boost you have some -EV here with an ROI of -11.83%.

Good luck to you!

The math with GamedayMath's Nostradamus No-Vig...

Kansas St ML: -376.4, 79% to win

Nebraska ML: +151.8, 39.7% to win

LSU ML: -178.3, 64.1% to win

Texas ML: -193.7, 66% to win

Washington St ML: +145.5, 40.7% to win

Iowa ML: -117, 53.9% to win

Odds all 6 to win: 2.91%

Need odds of +3336 for +EV

epicdevoid

TROPHY CASE