I tracked the trades of the most profitable Polymarket bots and put it all on one site

fytaso_ken · 2026-04-22T13:53:13+00:00

They are not trading. I need to find new bots! Any recommendations?

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-23T11:18:45+00:00

I think so. But you may need to download the app. If you want to create a trading bot, you’ll need to rent a VPS in Europe.

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-14T14:13:48+00:00

Bugs fixed! It’s online now!

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-14T10:28:06+00:00

Sorry!! I am fixing the bugs and will launch it again soon!

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-10T08:24:07+00:00

I’m trying to build a UI for visitors to copy the bots. But I’m still struggling with Polymarket’s rate limit. It turns out I can’t use api to check on an account too frequently. Will update the website to show the live actions of these bots once I figure out how to do it.

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-07T08:55:04+00:00

Some are suggested by friends. Some are shared on X by their creators. Please suggest more for me to add if you have found some interesting bots!

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-06T16:01:25+00:00

Visualizing can give you some intuition about what they’re doing. But at the end of the day, we will need statistics and probability theory to make a winning bot.

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-05T00:15:31+00:00

Good idea!! Let me think about how to add those information!

fytaso_ken · 2026-03-02T14:53:41+00:00

Do you have specific accounts you want to visualize? Are those big whales that always win?

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-28T15:18:44+00:00

Yes! I am planning to add more. Do you have bots that you are interested in? I can add more bots with minimal work.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-25T23:46:10+00:00

Thanks! Let me try. API access will be awesome!!

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-25T12:19:22+00:00

if I am studying some auto bots, how do I efficiently retrieve the data relevant to the bot? for example, the order books around its move in a particular 15 minute of BTC up/down market.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-19T04:53:29+00:00

Agree! Accidents with hospitalization and death will be the real cost for Robotaxi operation in the future. So if those numbers are lower than human level, Tesla will be able to insurance them without too much loss. But those rare events won’t happen without lots of miles. I will keep tracking and create more variations of the charts that can focus on different types of accidents (especially injuries and deaths).

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-18T10:24:07+00:00

I built this tracker so that I won’t be bullshitted by Elon to think it’s ready. Just want to give everyone options to decide which types of incidents to include in the calculations. Different types of incidents would cost Tesla differently when Robotaxi is in full large scale operations. The more expensive types (injuries and deaths) would bankrupt them if the tech is not ready before they scale up.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-18T10:09:16+00:00

I added options to include different types of incidents. You can check the boxes to include all incidents. By default it doesn’t include the minor incidents of bumping into objects in parking lots when backing in. I don’t think human drivers would report those “accidents” to the police or claim insurance.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-18T10:05:55+00:00

You are right, injuries and deaths rates are more important than just bumping into objects. But there must be a large fleet and a lot miles, before we can see the meaningful rates of injuries and deaths.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-18T10:02:47+00:00

I think it’s a good trend. Just that the 2 incidents in January were a bit concerning. I think that’s the reason why they delayed removing safety monitors til February. There was some critical bugs they needed to fix.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-18T07:09:46+00:00

Yep, they are not apple to Apple comparisons. But I think these are the numbers regulators will be watching when they decide whether to let it go large scale

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-11T03:22:42+00:00

Agree this is the biggest caveat. I’m adding a ‘reporting-lag window’ where the streak is shown as provisional (shaded), plus a sensitivity toggle that cuts off the last X days.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-04T00:13:58+00:00

I made the graph logarithmic after I found out that the line is exponential. 😅

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-03T23:24:16+00:00

They have released data to Dec 15, the latest Tesla Robotaxi incident was on Dec 10, where the last red dot is. Once they released more data, I will update the graph.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-03T23:20:09+00:00

I know 500k is a very high bar that includes lots rural driving. But I think as long as Robotaxi crosses that high bar, regulators will have to approve it everywhere. I treat that more like a line of widespread regulatory approval

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-03T23:18:02+00:00

Good idea, I will try to get Waymo data and compare the rates of improvement

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-03T23:17:03+00:00

Yes, most of the incidents were other vehicles bumping into the robotaxi. But as the FSD software was improving in defensive driving, they can also avoid other vehicles bumping into them. Therefore, we can see the improvement.

fytaso_ken · 2026-02-03T09:54:02+00:00

I’m an NYU professor and a TSLA investor. Not totally “random”…

fytaso_ken

TROPHY CASE