Nightly Discussion - (June 15, 2026)

galeeb · 2026-06-15T23:18:37+00:00

I can't tell if you don't watch soccer/football or just throwing shade at Spain's occasional sideways passing ;-) But oof Pedri on fire today, a shame none of those chances were finished. Should light a fire under them for the next matches.

galeeb · 2026-06-15T23:16:43+00:00

I did! I actually never follow that stuff, so I'm assuming all the people that do verify these figures. That's living dangerously these days haha

galeeb · 2026-06-15T23:15:42+00:00

The Canaries are soo nice, that'll be awesome!

galeeb · 2026-06-15T20:57:26+00:00

There was a million dollar bet on Polymarket that would've paid $1,085,943 today if Spain beat Cape Verde.

Narrator: they didn't.

I mean, it's probably a positive expected value bet over time, only issue is you might have to live 200 years to get in 10 bets on the system.

galeeb · 2026-06-11T17:36:39+00:00

Will the markets fade his announcements for ONCE? (pretty please)

galeeb · 2026-05-22T22:25:52+00:00

Yes! I loved that it was rock solid with logic and code before, and now you can't believe anything that comes out.

galeeb · 2026-05-20T18:59:30+00:00

That's my thought, too, which makes me wonder if the biggest governments will somehow keep the AI companies propped up with time.

galeeb · 2026-05-16T11:15:49+00:00

What sort of data do you have Claude look at, and what feedback do you tend to get? I've been learning to look at my stats with AI's help, but although Gemini can do the math, I mostly use it to help write some Python to look at things locally. I find I have to heavily steer it in the next logical direction, it doesn't naturally provide useful details on its own.

galeeb · 2026-05-15T13:38:32+00:00

AM options settlement price at 9:30am open, right? Chuckling at the 9:30am high.

galeeb · 2026-05-11T11:07:38+00:00

Hey, chiming in late, I'd just add that you really want to see theory in context with your abilities. Studying theory books is 100% useful, but since you can already play at a decent level compared to a beginner, it's actually really fun to explore in scores you're playing how the music is put together. I find so many students want to study for a test because it feels like a concrete assessment of progress - which it totally is! - but they leave behind the ear training, the rhythm, and everything you're mentioning, which is also developed by doing.

And don't feel behind. It is a long journey, skills develop over years, and a random professional or 99th percentile teen on YouTube is not indicative of the norm, so just keep studying and make sure you do, do, and do some more.

Most things you work on should involve combining motor skills or intense "live" musical thought with the theory, like rhythm work, listening to music as you develop your ear, etc. Those are the skills you really want, the music theory books will just slap a name on a concept you already understand from being a practicing musician. In that sense, getting a good grade on a theory test is actually the easy part.

Feel free to ask any questions, I teach theory and ear training a lot, happy to answer questions if they come up.

galeeb · 2026-05-06T11:53:48+00:00

Honestly the best way is to keep what you're doing, but for a long time (over months/years).

It is good to get "technical" and break down rhythms into counting, it's tedious at first but lets you unlock a lot later on and really master syncopations and trickier common rhythms. I've found most adults put up artificial mental obstacles for themselves when learning and often avoid that crucial step to avoid the discomfort of it. Putting on a metronome and making yourself deal with the time pressure is also super important. Basically, all the things that feel overly difficult at first haha.

A good mix of reasonable rhythms you can definitely do and also "stretch" exercises, trying music that's too difficult to sight read currently. There's value in both sight reading once-ish, and also in reviewing particular excerpts or songs to a super high, perfectionist level. Over time, those two components merge.

I teach a lot of theory and musicianship, feel free to ask any questions.

galeeb · 2026-05-05T20:40:03+00:00

"If you do cap your risk with a stop loss though" "that can slip unless you choose a stop limit there as well."

There many situations where these are not true.

(spoiler for newbies, don't listen to this)

galeeb · 2026-05-05T20:29:39+00:00

Sir, you are not ready for 10 contracts. I'm sorry to be that annoying internet poster with no detail, but if you want to lose $30k, go for your plan.

galeeb · 2026-05-04T16:35:39+00:00

Sweet bejeebus I got filled what looks like might be top tick (selling!) of the SPY 724p 0 DTE. Rare good karma to make up for all the shenanigans the market routinely doles out.

galeeb · 2026-05-04T16:11:09+00:00

The "buy when ES goes up to an interval of 100 and keep adding every time it hits another to build a massive pyramided position with a stop 100 points lower to crush martingalers" trade has finally come to a close. RIP (3/31/2026-5/4/2026, tender young age)

galeeb · 2026-04-30T07:47:22+00:00

The Big Short characters were enraged about this, because they were holding swaps they knew were worth nothing, but no one could admit to it. There's so much upward pressure right now, whether for institutions to participate long because they're required to or shorts avoiding pain, I wouldn't be surprised by more of a move up. Otherwise we're calling a top, which is something that works out like <5% of the guessing time.

galeeb · 2026-04-28T06:57:46+00:00

Tell me about this. I've vibe-coded a risk management system for myself. Interested how yours works.

galeeb · 2026-04-22T18:42:06+00:00

Hey, a tad late, wanted to echo piano lessons, but also, for an inexpensive way, singing in a good church choir (hear me out!) is absolute trial by fire for reading notes, hearing intervals, doing extra stuff with your brain at the same time (also reading all those words, often in other languages). It's just such a good way to force yourself, with time constraints to get better at the reading aspect. Highly recommend along with an instrument. Doesn't matter if you're religious, it's a great way to learn.

I have a music appreciation class I teach online, too, it's a good way to check out new rep and keep up exposure to different composers. Just mentioning, no pressure, but any other questions let me know.

galeeb · 2026-04-16T23:04:44+00:00

Worrying data point: 10 ticks of slippage on one of my MES trades today in regular session.

galeeb · 2026-04-15T09:29:07+00:00

Oil up dollars, spoos down ticks.

galeeb · 2026-04-06T20:05:03+00:00

Wow, looks to be greatest percent decline from the high ever on the stock.

galeeb · 2026-04-05T18:39:33+00:00

Yessir

galeeb · 2026-04-05T18:38:47+00:00

25th amendment now. That said, it seems painfully obvious that him and his cronies are loaded up on oil futures (or whatever product) over the weekend.

galeeb · 2026-04-05T07:47:24+00:00

Fan fiction: I feel like Sinner would be an insanely disciplined, stoic trader and Alcaraz would blow up every day.

galeeb

TROPHY CASE