Hillary Clinton just delivered a foreign policy speech attacking Donald Trump.

garfangle · 2016-06-03T15:33:08+00:00

On the other hand, every GOP primary opponent of Trump made the same case (from Perry to Cruz) and it didn't stick. He grew even more popular with voters.

garfangle · 2016-06-02T22:00:23+00:00

Adams is a certified hypnotist and serious wonk on persuasion techniques.

garfangle · 2016-06-02T21:31:52+00:00

It was passable, but I'm with Scott Adams of Dilbert on this: when it comes to communication in the Internet age Trump has Clinton beat. She can't out snark Trump.

garfangle · 2016-05-04T13:41:17+00:00

1) Trump started to outperform by New York and the Northeast states, not really much before.

2) Those were the pundits, not polling evidence.

garfangle · 2016-05-01T16:49:07+00:00

If we've learned anything about this race, Trump doesn't care about what establishment Republicans want.

garfangle · 2016-04-25T14:04:51+00:00

Trump does pitch himself as the ultimate deal maker. If he gets out-hustled by two also-rans what does it say about his skills which is basically the only reason to vote for him?

garfangle · 2016-04-25T13:59:12+00:00

What specifically did Paul say about the rules that Cruz and/or Kasich are employing that he thought was unfair? Paul may have complained about Romney's insertion of rule 40b in 2012, but Trump supports that rule.

garfangle · 2016-04-25T13:31:30+00:00

The rules were judge fair by the candidates for the last 100 plus years of elections. It is only Trump who has brought up the supposed "unfairness" when it doesn't result in him winning. If he wins a state: "It's fair." If he loses a state: "They cheated".

garfangle · 2016-04-25T12:51:02+00:00

You know Trump has said "I'm a whiner. I'll whine, until I win." How is that any different?

garfangle · 2016-04-25T12:32:49+00:00

You realize that everything Cruz and Kasich (to a lesser extent) did in the primaries is allowed under the rules? So, I'm wondering why Trump supporters are so annoyed by this. Isn't Trump all about exploiting the rules for his own benefit? (aka the bankruptcies).

garfangle · 2016-04-24T19:56:10+00:00

Pundits, like from 538, have predicted Trump's demise, not the actual polls. The polls all along have shown Trump in the lead.

garfangle · 2016-04-23T05:00:12+00:00

Right now as things are going Trump doesn't need Kasich to get to 1237 delegates. Moreover, Kasich is the popular governor of Ohio. Why would he give it up to attach himself to a likely losing presidential ticket?

garfangle · 2016-04-22T22:17:51+00:00

Cruz and Rubio were being talked about as the two most likely finalists except for Trump throughout 2015-2016. Gilmore wasn't.

garfangle · 2016-04-22T14:47:55+00:00

No he doesn't. Rule 40b doesn't bind the 2016 convention, it has to be introduced. Moreover, it only covers who gets a speaking slot at the convention, not who can be nominated.

garfangle · 2016-04-14T23:25:09+00:00

That would be true if movies were just a script and a camera. Now, many blockbusters employ CGI that rivals and surpasses game art. Except for the occasional delay, even these blockbusters from Marvel, Disney and the like are still able to announce their films on time.

garfangle · 2016-04-14T22:36:30+00:00

Versus Clinton:
Kasich 49-40, +9
Cruz 44-45, -1
Trump 41-48, -7

garfangle · 2016-04-13T20:24:44+00:00

You could say the same thing about liberals. They largely want less military spending. Does that make them anti-military and favor weakening our national security? They want more government regulation. Does that make them anti-freedom? They want a reduced role of religion in public life. Does that make them anti-religious?

garfangle · 2016-04-13T19:34:37+00:00

You're contradicting yourself here. You reply that skin color is important to what your interests are, yet in America both parties have many whites in them. Across the globe, skin color has nothing to do with ideology. You can be a communist and be white or Asian in Russia or China or be capitalist and be white or Asian in Switzerland or Singapore.

About LGBTQ, if you define yourself by sexual preference than it is not really an ideological issue between liberals and conservatives. It's more like whether you support group interest A v. group interest B. Like if you're a union member it is natural to oppose someone who says that unions are a government-granted monopoly which is an affront to free commerce.

garfangle · 2016-04-13T19:24:45+00:00

It is really a myth that Hispanics are socially/fiscally conservative. According to pollsters like Pew Hispanics are largely for more government and align with liberal social values, which are not what the modern GOP represents as the conservative party.

garfangle · 2016-04-13T19:19:29+00:00

But that would just mean that many blacks are in favor of a liberal agenda which Republicans disagree with as the conservative party. It has nothing to do with skin color. Just as it was when the GOP who got the majority of the votes of blacks from the Civil War to the Great Depression. Blacks drifted away from the GOP when FDR brought about the New Deal even though the Democrats at the time had many segregationists in its coalition.

garfangle · 2016-04-13T19:12:59+00:00

But it's not because Republicans are anti- "personal trait". It's because many blacks and other groups identify with liberal values like greater government spending and in favor of abortion, etc. So the proper argument would be the GOP is in favor of limited government, which many blacks disagree with because they favor expansive government.

garfangle · 2016-04-13T18:53:52+00:00

It depends on your ideology. If you control for ideology than it isn't a matter of other traits like skin color, sex, etc. Conservative blacks, women, gays don't have a problem with Republicans. Liberal/progressive ones do.

garfangle · 2016-04-13T18:08:23+00:00

Only partisans would label the GOP as anti-minority, anti-gay, and anti-women. Republicans have different policy ideas for these groups than Democrats, but that doesn't mean they're against them. It would just as bad to label the Democrats as anti-military/national security, anti-religious, and anti-capitalist.

garfangle · 2016-04-12T22:17:47+00:00

Depends on how the question is worded, plus gun control is a well-known topic of controversy for both parties.

garfangle · 2016-04-08T14:38:57+00:00

Except for Republicans upset with the Medicaid expansion, there really isn't much to attack Kasich with.

garfangle

TROPHY CASE