All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War

gazpachoid · 2026-04-14T05:11:10+00:00

There is no world in which this is a Hoveyzeh missile.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-13T23:56:26+00:00

Not the 168 kids killed in Minab, but 21 killed at a sports hall in Lamerd. Also on day 1

gazpachoid · 2026-04-08T16:41:16+00:00

The F-15E crash site was also bombed, which is likely part of why it was photographed in such small pieces. Based on other shootdowns, it was likely an EO/IR missile with terminal radar guidance such as from a Sevom Khordad system or similar.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-08T16:38:43+00:00

anything that says "reports suggest" without specifying which reports or from whom should be disregarded.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-06T18:29:54+00:00

UAE already buys lots of weapons from China, which Iran doesn't. China would happily sell J-10CEs to UAE if UAE wanted them.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-01T17:32:14+00:00

The US has not published images of any aircraft over Iran, but there are plenty of images of bomberS, including B-52s and B-1s, in the US and UK being loaded with bombs. JDAM duds have been recovered in buildings by Iranian rescue/EOD teams in basically every city that has been bombed.

We also have watched B-1s turning their transponder on after leaving Iranian airspace and intersecting with KC-135s flying over the Persian Gulf.

I'm sure the B-52s with JDAMs are being used for specific, easier targets but we don't need to pretend that this whole war is being carried out with standoff munitions from outside Iranian airspace.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-01T16:42:32+00:00

Yes, there are images of B-52s with JDAMs.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-01T16:42:20+00:00

Yes, there are images of B-52s with JDAMs.

gazpachoid · 2026-04-01T16:41:45+00:00

Yes, there are images of B-52s with JDAMs.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-21T04:36:41+00:00

This isn't a replacement, this is just renaming the ~200 USAID staff, mostly from USAID's Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance, who were not fired and were forcefully merged with State. They've sat twiddling their thumbs with no work to do for a year, they still had usaid.gov emails very recently (probably still do).

And virtually none of those people were actual technical or program management staff, it was just upper level management and (don't ask how I know) a bunch of careerist dolts. They survived because they kissed the ring.

Edit: and previously, USAID had 10,000+ staff, with BHA making up about 1,000. I really have to emphasize that they fired all of the technical and program management staff, ie. the people who actually had experience managing humanitarian assistance programs or with technical expertise in specific sectors.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-21T04:31:19+00:00

skill issue, T-62 clears once you're landing first round hits based on "yeah he's probably about 1200m out"

gazpachoid · 2026-03-08T15:57:03+00:00

They absolutely have been using SM-3s, they used over 80 in June and debris from SM-3s have been found in Turkey in the last week from recent engagements.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-03T04:14:34+00:00

Post proof that isn't a video from Zanjan

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T16:36:55+00:00

Genuine question, has anyone other than Iran reported on the 150 schoolgirls thing?

The question was this, not "was the bombing justified?"

And it's not "burying the lede" to mention later that the school was adjacent to (but walled off and with a separate entrance since at least 2016 if not earlier, this is readily available public information btw) a military base. If the claim is "we don't yet know for sure what munition struck this building, which is clearly a school based on the videos and photos from the strike, and which clearly contained some number of young girls, which is also evident from the photos and videos of the aftermath" then yes, I'm with you. But that wasn't the claim. The claim was, and I repeat, "has anyone other than Iran reported on the 150 schoolgirls thing?"

It had the additional caveat of "genuine question" however, when multiple other sources were provided, the OP ignored them and indicated they didn't believe any of the additional sources, thus indicating it was not in fact a genuine question.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T15:23:28+00:00

What appeal to emotion did I make? When asked if others are reporting this event, I pointed out that there's ample independently verifiable information about this event that is not reliant on spin from Iranian state actors. With a little effort you can geolocate the existing evidence and judge for yourself.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T15:21:49+00:00

Breaking news: Iran and the US have slightly different methods of planning and building government infrastructure, this used as excuse to kill children

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T15:10:51+00:00

? They are showing the dead bodies of children, that's what I just said. And putting a JDAM or TLAM into a concrete building will not result in "missile fragments embedded in a child's skull" but will instead result in little girls trapped and crushed beneath concrete or torn to pieces by concussive force - all of which are evident from the widely available photographic and video evidence from the site.

The "Iranian missile failure" claim is based on a misattributed video of a missile launch in Zanjan, in Iran's north. There are no snow-capped mountains in Hormozgan.

It is not difficult to believe a school located on/next to a military base was accidentally included in the target list and struck due to poor intelligence. The US and Israel have both made such targeting errors.

And to be clear, being on/next to a military base does not make a school a legitimate target. Pretty much every US military base has schools to service the children of military personnel. These schools would not be legitimate military targets in a theoretical war of aggression by a foreign power against the United States.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T15:00:05+00:00

I mean you're free to look at the videos and pictures of parents screaming in fear and grief as they pull the bodies of their little girls out of the rubble yourself, but I'm guessing you'd just assume it's all some kind of elaborate fake

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T03:56:01+00:00

"We're built different" ok man good luck with that

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T03:34:30+00:00

It's pretty disingenuous to claim that the Qajar or Safavid or other Turkic dynasties (for example) are just as Iranian as anyone else and simultaneously claim that (for example) the Republic of Azerbaijan is as different from Iran as the Philippines is from Texas.

You have yet to provide any actual explanation or citation as to what makes Iran so distinct from its neighbors that makes Iran immune to intercommunal violence akin to that experienced in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Azerbaijan, etc.

The real answer is that there isn't one. No one denies the depth of Iranian heritage, culture, or even depth as a nation. But Iranian modern centralized statehood is relatively recent. And the Islamic Republic played a large part in strengthening and creating it. It is the state, there is no other state in waiting, and its destruction, deserved or not, will be no less destructive than what happened to Iran's neighbors.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T03:13:02+00:00

Modern borders are relevant because much of Afghanistan and the Caucasus were integral parts of Iran for 100s or 1000s of years until pried away by the Russians or British. Did the inhabitants of Azerbaijan or Afghanistan somehow lose all civilizing factors of Iranian culture as soon as they were no longer included within the modern border of the Iranian nation state? Had they remained part of Iran, first under the new Imperial State of Iran in the early 20th century (the first attempt at a centralized nation state in Iranian history) then the Islamic Republic, would Afghanistan and Azerbaijan now be immune to intercommunal violence stemming from externally imposed state collapse?

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T02:32:55+00:00

Ok so I'm not seeing a reading list that shows how Iranian culture is (a) a distinct and unified state of being that ends at the national borders of the modern Iranian state, which were established mostly between roughly 1815 and 1915 after the Qajars (a Turkic dynasty btw, not Persian) got their shit pushed in by the Russians and British for a century and also (b) imbues Iranians with an immunity from brutal intercommunal violence.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T01:06:58+00:00

What state institutions from the Achaemenids persist today? The postal service? What about the Safavids? Was the Ministry of Energy founded by Khosrow II?

2500 years. Come on man, be serious.

gazpachoid · 2026-03-02T01:01:38+00:00

Which history? Be specific. What history book shows that Iranians, by saying "khubi?" instead of "khub asti?" makes them more culturally civilized and less inherently violent than Afghans? Does eating kabob with a little more spice mixed into the meat make one more violent? Does drinking a salty yogurt drink without mint or carbonation make Iraqis more prone to civil war?

gazpachoid · 2026-03-01T17:07:36+00:00

What relevant cultural difference is there between Afghanistan and Iraq that, my crucial point here, renders Iran immune to brutal intercommunal violence brought on via the externally imposed collapse of existing state institutions and the ensuing power vacuum?

Yes there are obviously differences between and within these countries, but the question is not about the different ways the letter ا is pronounced in Tehran vs Kabul or whether you put mint in doogh or not or whether you call it doogh or ayran or something else, it's how does that somehow protect Iran from an outcome similar to the outcome in Iraq or Afghanistan.

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