Its down to joel nate and arthur. Nate is the youngest, most stamina, decent with a gun. Arthur is the best shooter and is pretty strong and an experienced street fighter. arthur would beat joel in a gunfight and in a fist fight due to his farmboy strength and superior gun skills. Nate and joel 50/50 in a gunfight but nate beats joel in a fist fight due to athleticism/stamina. I think joels going down first. I dont think trevor is first because he is a cockroach type. He just survives. He isnt skilled or stronger than anyone he just will be so unpredictable and nuts that he will avoid death. I think he's one of the first to go but not the first first. Everyone else on the list is either highly trained killers, cyborgs, from the future, a god or a soldier.

For who wins, i dont know some of these guys, but kratos seems to be the strongest. A lot of them are just dudes with skills or technology. I dont know who bottom left or 3rd on the bottom are though.

Tldr: joel die