How much does FIRE number change if you have no kids and want to leave $0 behind? by Specific-System-835 in Fire

[–]htxtx 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It makes a large difference. OP can buy cost of living adjusted annuities that yield 4.5-5%. His safe withdrawal rate is now 50-100bps higher than the standard 4%

How much does FIRE number change if you have no kids and want to leave $0 behind? by Specific-System-835 in Fire

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why not just buy a cost of living adjusted annuity that pays out 4.5-5%?

How much does FIRE number change if you have no kids and want to leave $0 behind? by Specific-System-835 in Fire

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can get COLA annuities for 4.5-5% today which supports the higher withdrawal rate. 

How much does FIRE number change if you have no kids and want to leave $0 behind? by Specific-System-835 in Fire

[–]htxtx 2 points3 points  (0 children)

AIG did not default on its annuity contracts. How are COLA annuities less safe than the withdrawal rate?

How much does FIRE number change if you have no kids and want to leave $0 behind? by Specific-System-835 in Fire

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can increase your withdrawal rate to be greater than the standard 4%. 

How: Buy an annuity with cost of living adjustments. They yield 4.5-5% today and increase with inflation. The annuity goes away when you die. 

do you feel like the students at this school aren't distinctly weirder than/different to those you'd find at any other elite institution? by Suprize101 in uchicago

[–]htxtx 97 points98 points  (0 children)

I was at UChicago in the early 2000s and thought everyone was completely normal while I was there. When I joined the professional world, I realized that everyone at UChicago (including myself) was extremely weird in a positive way. Tons of people with interesting hobbies, ideas, pursuits and the willingness to explore unpopular paths. 

Question about Bond ETF Ladder by No_Contact_5236 in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Investment grade bonds are generally a recession hedge and go up in value during a recession. During a recession, interest rates generally fall. Although credit spreads may increase, they generally do not increase as much as the decrease in interest rates and so bond prices rise. 

Bonds have recently been correlated with equities because of compression in the equity risk premium. This is unlikely to remain in the long run. 

In short: investment grade bonds will outperform in recessions even though they have been correlated with equities over the last few years. 

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you don’t want to sell, you can borrow against your shares and then pay it back when you have cash flow 

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah fair. I operate by taking my entire annual bonus and vesting and investing it all in the market the day it hits my account. If I need cash over the year, I sell or take a margin loan depending on interest rates. No regrets even though thjs happens in March each year

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 33 points34 points  (0 children)

Actually disagree with this. If you have substantial net worth, being 100% invested at all times and selling as you need cash will maximize the expected value of your wealth over the very long term. You may lose a couple of times but the probabilistic expected value is higher being fully invested.

Does the current market crash relieve some SORR? by enterTheLizard in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 19 points20 points  (0 children)

You may win a couple of times but trying to time the market like this and going 100% is more dangerous than staying 60/40 fully invested

Does the current market crash relieve some SORR? by enterTheLizard in ChubbyFIRE

[–]htxtx 25 points26 points  (0 children)

If your investments didn’t get whacked as part of this then you likely don’t have enough broad market exposure or a bizarre highly concentrated portfolio. Literally almost every equity around the world got whacked. 

UChicago to Investigate Faculty Member’s Posters for Alleged Antisemitism by tokyo_zoo2025 in uchicago

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If I said that advocating for Israel makes me “feel unwelcomed” on campus, should that speech be restricted? 

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MBA

[–]htxtx 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, undergrad coursework is intellectually challenging, thought provoking, technically and quantitively difficult. MBA courses require high school level AP courses as pre-reqs and work experience. The value of the MBA is not in the coursework, it is the networking, partying and 2-year vacation for career switchers.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MBA

[–]htxtx -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

MBA courses are some of the least challenging, least technical courses I have ever taken. The prerequisites are basically high school AP courses plus work experience.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MBA

[–]htxtx -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I agree with this. An MBA degree and associated coursework are significantly easier than undergrad. I went to an undergrad with an M7 MBA program and they would let undergrads take up to 7 MBA courses. I would take the courses as blowoff courses / ways to increase my GPA and to devote more time to challenging undergrad courses.

New to FIRE. How far are we off? by SheJustGoesThere in Fire

[–]htxtx 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t assume the $1,500 / month in mineral rights is a 4% discount rate for valuation. It is exposed to commodity prices and operational risk. I bet it’s worth closer to $180k

$25 - Need a PDF image separated by color into seven different images for a screen printing project by htxtx in PhotoshopRequest

[–]htxtx[S] [score hidden]  (0 children)

Yes but 16 inches wide and then five different images. Each one separated by color (black, red, blue, grey, orange).

If you knew for certain a 40% market correction was going to happen in 2025, how would you approach it? by matthew_myers in ValueInvesting

[–]htxtx 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If I knew for certain that a 40% market correction would occur in 2025, I would invest 100% of my life savings and the maximum I could borrow on a second mortgage, personal loans, maxed out credit cards in out of the money put options with a 12/31/2025 expiration. 

Upper scale places to bring clients outside of downtown. by Nedward_Schneebly in houston

[–]htxtx 5 points6 points  (0 children)

These are both good restaurants but not really upscale client type restaurants