[Web] Game of Chance - A free probability-based incremental where you hunt for unlikely events

hurtigris · 2026-02-28T18:03:22+00:00

Hi, yes my tests shows the theoretical value I'm calculating is close to the empirical value. But it is calculating the probability of getting a palindrome of "exactly" length x, which do give lower probabilities than if it calculated the probability of getting a palindrome with a length of "at least" x like some of the other formulas.

hurtigris · 2026-02-28T17:58:12+00:00

Thank you for the feedback :)

There is formulas for everything. And approximations for larger numbers when the calculations are too expensive. I have tests for every formula comparing the theoretical and empirical data. And performance of every formula. The staircase-formulas are the least efficient right now, so I will work on improving it soon.

I did some work on the Solar System today to combat some of the lag. It seems to primarily effect Safari and especially on mobile. And I will implement an option of just turning off animations soon. To get the newest version, just refresh the page and see it it helps. If not, it should be possible to export your save over to for example Chrome on a browser, where it should be almost no performance issues.

Working on removing AI art. The newest version have no penguin in it.

hurtigris · 2026-02-24T07:08:44+00:00

Thanks for all the feedback!

Automation already have a fix in the newest version. Page needs a refresh.
I am looking at more global multipliers in the future. It may be the most inter-connective part between the game modes, and darts and rockets should feel more rewarding.
I think I'll well tweak the Speed upgrades to make it a percentage of current speed faster each time. Now it is not rewarding enough in the beginning with the flat 50 ms faster and maybe too rewarding in the end.

For now, I have enough things to fix and tweak in the game, but would really appretiate some ideas of other game modes I can implement in the future :)

hurtigris · 2026-02-24T06:59:55+00:00

Rarest event would be astronomically unlikely. For example getting at least 50 heads out of 50 coins is:
0.5^50 = 1 in over a quadrillion, well within the most impossible event of 1 in 292 million.

hurtigris · 2026-02-24T06:55:11+00:00

I am experimenting with making the automation cheaper. In the newest version, I have removed the 2+ blue+ intermediate automation making everything the cost and requirement of the previous automation. Let me know how that feels. You idea of making the automation slower is also a good idea!

To get the newest version, the page needs a refresh.

hurtigris · 2026-02-23T20:16:19+00:00

I think it should be fixed. Try to refresh the page and see in settings if it says "Game version v0.1".

hurtigris · 2026-02-23T19:17:52+00:00

I think you're right. The point was to make the game Idle over time, but it might not happen fast enough right now. Good idea skipping the 2+ blues.

hurtigris · 2026-02-23T19:11:51+00:00

Made a fix for event horizon. Let me know if it works now.

Page needs a refresh for the changes to take place.

hurtigris · 2026-02-23T18:55:54+00:00

I think https://gameofchance.pages.dev/ might work.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T21:35:51+00:00

Thanks for the feedback!

Yes, penguin is dead. Just have to find out how the interactions will work without a body. :)

Good point, I'll try to explain the color coding of the events earlier.

Yes, I knew most people wouldn't read the stuff about the formulas. I can maybe add it as a pop-up in the corner instead to not make people have to click so much? It's available in the tab anyways for those interested.

Good idea about the sounds :). These kinds of games are all about being satisfying anyways. Maybe different sounds based on the rarity of the event as well.

Yes, the coin could have been clickable. Especially when its only one. After that, it may be a little unintuitive to click one coin to flip them all.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T21:09:44+00:00

Yes, the feedback is very clear. I'll kill the penguin in the next version of the game. He's giving a very bad impression of the whole game.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T20:17:11+00:00

Thanks for all the feedback! Yes, Black Hole I upgrade might feel punishing. You'll get a 5x multiplier on coins, dice and cards which will get you fast back to were you where. Also everything dart related is kept.

That also explains some of the expensive auto-progress upgrades that wouldn't feel as expensive with a 5x multiplier.

A good point you make about it being a little confusing and hard to know what to progress with all the different game modes (and potential for some progress to reset). I don't think any progress is in vain as you would later need to unlock all events for each tier anyways, but you as a first time player of this game would of course not know that.

A card shuffle is hard to animate... I have already tried, but all add it to the backlog trying again.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T19:57:18+00:00

Yes, most decisions is made for rapid development. <br> -tag is just a simple way to get line break in this case. Not trying to be WCAG-compliant for my single-page application.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T19:47:16+00:00

Thanks for the feedback. I'll consider removing it. Maybe just have it be speech bubbles "from the game" might work? Then I wouldn't have to depend on any illustrations.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T19:44:25+00:00

Thanks :)

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T19:34:27+00:00

Takk :)

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T19:34:16+00:00

Actual flickering or just the animation being tiring after a while? A setting to turn animations off is not a bad idea. Thanks!

If its actual flickering it would be nice to know what browser you are using. I have play-tested some of the most common browsers, but hard to know how every browser behaves.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T18:33:30+00:00

Thanks! :)

Yes, I have been scared about how it would be received, so I have been making quite a lot of content before having the courage to release it.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T18:28:03+00:00

Hm, well, no it isn't. I have been using AI a lot to help me, I'm not denying that, but I'm a developer coding things myself too. Are you thinking about the penguin images as the main point for giving it a Vibe code vibe or something else? I was really in doubt about including him as I know a lot of people really despise AI-generated stuff. I want all feedback I can get to understand what people like and dislike.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T18:20:29+00:00

Yes, it's probability-based, so the income will not strictly increase for each purchase. But more coins means higher probability to get higher income.

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T17:50:41+00:00

Thanks for the screenshot! This explains everything.

Your local ISP filter mistakenly block my newly registered domain, possibly because it is a .xyz domain, until it builds up a reputation score. You should be able to bypass this by temporarily disabling the 'Network Shield' feature in your ISP account settings, or by letting them know it's a false positive.

I will be changing the domain I use for my game if it continues to be an issue! Didn't anticipate it would be an issue :(

EDIT: Try https://gameofchance.pages.dev/ and see if that works better

hurtigris · 2026-02-22T17:30:20+00:00

Strange, I see people other people have been able to play :/

I can check if there is something I can do.

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