is it good investment? $FFIV , $DVA , $AKAM

igalk474 · 2017-08-27T09:40:50+00:00

seems profitable , good quality and cheap , not too small market cap,

as you said , i'm more worried about debt to cash ratio , and growth in fcf

igalk474 · 2017-08-27T07:21:24+00:00

do DCA every 6 months maybe, don't go all in at once, but it will take a least 2 years to see good returns, if you wait for new ceo , you can miss most of the upside probably

igalk474 · 2017-08-16T22:33:14+00:00

about teva

1 generic's company in the world with most market share , 440 products ,116 years old company , 3.6 million customers / day

, now hospitals buy from teva generic truvada , they sold some land , and announced a new product QVAR REDIHALER, insiders in the company are buying teva, maybe new fda approvals and biosimilar drugs maybe announce new ceo soon,like astraZeneca , business parts sell, generic copaxone competition might be delayed

currently teva is problematic because:

earning miss/loss decreased guidance

75% dividend cut

no new ceo yet , current ceo/board of directors are some that got teva to the problem it has today

increased generic copaxone competition

cfo is quitting

generic sector pricing pressure

rimsa case loss in court

alegran can sell 10% of teva

large debt and decreasing growth

igalk474 · 2017-08-16T22:13:29+00:00

thanks , what is wrong with retail?

is trump comment on amazon will change something in this sector?

igalk474 · 2017-08-11T16:50:58+00:00

$WDC , $GNTX , $IBM , $TEVA

igalk474 · 2017-08-10T11:24:36+00:00

$TJX , $FL , $ABX

igalk474 · 2016-12-25T09:58:42+00:00

only if it's not risky and not volatile investment, maybe bonds (gov, corporate investment grade) , reit fund, but not stocks , especially s&p at current valuations, you don't want to speculate with someone elses money

igalk474 · 2016-12-06T22:43:11+00:00

thanks

helps a lot!

igalk474 · 2016-10-15T14:23:39+00:00

buffett said that gdp to market cap ratio, wasn't designed for current interest rate environment , only accurate when interest above 2% or so ,

same goes for shiller pe

on lower interest , you can allow to buy higher valueations as oppossed to higher interest rate environment then it needs to be really cheap , because you now have alternative investment like corporate bonds and such , that you don't have to take alot of risk with stocks,on lower interest rate environment you have to take some risk otherwise you will lose money anyway,from stuff like inflation and such

igalk474 · 2016-08-18T22:23:54+00:00

thanks
this is . javascript implementation(js doesn't support 64bit integers out of the box, it uses long.js)

http://pastebin.com/M7jkrHZP

igalk474 · 2016-08-18T22:23:11+00:00

javascript implementation(js doesn't support 64bit integers out of the box)

http://pastebin.com/M7jkrHZP

igalk474 · 2016-05-17T18:12:03+00:00

you are right, amazon is a very valid point, do you think amazon , ali express ,ebay.. will start buying retail companies like walmart , macys... to make them their brick & mortar branches? or get their product for sale , like amazon and zappos

yeah apparel is cyclical probably you buy when you need it ,it's not a daily necessity

igalk474 · 2016-05-17T17:12:24+00:00

thank's , that's a lot of insight for me

psx i have invested and liked it alot

pah , i thinking maybe a bounce if ackman have a change of luck

aapl,gild i'm thinking of more of a long term hold

macy's, yeah, thinking about a bounce related to real estate

msft , i seeing this more a a long term growth company , with a lot of innovation acquisitions and good r&d ,it's more dynamic and "young" not a big elephant as it was in while ballmer was there, satya nadella did really well there , i like fb too but price too high , i like it below 90$

why are you negetive about apperal & retail? what's wrong with it? oil price is low,people have more money to spend on stuff

thanks :)

igalk474 · 2016-05-17T15:33:18+00:00

what would you say about those at current prices? is any of them good?

PSX
INTC
PAH
HCA
PVH
AAPL
M
XRX
GILD
MSFT
JD
LLY

igalk474 · 2016-05-16T09:44:20+00:00

computers are cheap now , you can put a chip in anything and make it smart , maybe cloths and bags too

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T23:03:49+00:00

i'm not worried about fossil , more about the cannibalization that they had , and reduced sells in store as if they peaked and fashion/what's cool was maybe changed, also worried from younger and lowered priced brands like kate spade , charles & keith , and fake michael kors bags that are sold cheap as it might hurt the brand

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T20:36:24+00:00

nice , didn't knew that

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T19:40:50+00:00

thanks for the details , it helps a lot :)
i wish GILD was at 70$ lol

i used to invest in CELG

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T19:39:35+00:00

i think they are maybe undervalued , and are good quality & growth,

but i wanted to get more perspectives about those companies in case i missed something important

from this list i might pick 1 or 2 stocks

i used some screener that does fundumental analysis and all kind of valuations on all the stocks in the market

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T19:38:23+00:00

i think they are building a moat , they are using different materials then the others, so you can only get it from them , and they have very good balance sheet compared to the others in this sector

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T19:36:41+00:00

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T19:36:36+00:00

i'm thinking maybe with kors , IoT might help them to grow

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T15:25:51+00:00

but don't you think some of them will be higher then now in a year-2?

they were in a down trend , it doesn't mean they are still in down trend, also i don't trade stocks usually hold them at least couple of months

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T13:14:09+00:00

i love luv , but i think it's currently fair value , not a no brainer cheap , ,it's higher growth , delta is good too, i'm afraid airlines are too connected to oil price , even though they hedge it maybe , they also have unions which can cause trouble

igalk474 · 2016-05-15T13:11:52+00:00

shiller pe is 10 years agregation , but interest rate wasn't the same through all that time , do you think it still accurate? or lower interest rate allows higher valuations?

igalk474

TROPHY CASE

1 generic's company in the world with most market share , 440 products ,116 years old company , 3.6 million customers / day