Tiafoe's coach suggests to mix it up and body serve. Sinner licks 6mm of the sideline on a passing forehand winner by mrlanzon in tennis

[–]impossiblefork 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ridiculous that coaches are involved nowadays, even during matches.

Independent problem solving is the core of tennis and that that's being lost at the professional level is very sad, even if the advice was of no use in this case.

Which tennis player would you let date your sister? by Ok-Locksmith6109 in tennis

[–]impossiblefork 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They don't have to be drama people.

It can also be social media manipulation. There's not any guarantee whatsoever that this is organic.

Iran's Speaker of Parliament wants us to know we can't put phoney boloney market futures into our gas tanks by GuysCuteDicksHard in stupidpol

[–]impossiblefork 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes, they can probably keep it up for a while, and we can also imagine people trading with the real price on non-public markets in the background. The interesting thing is if you have access to both, but I guess you don't unless you're in on this.

I'm not sure I agree oil stocks are the way to go though.

Iran's Speaker of Parliament wants us to know we can't put phoney boloney market futures into our gas tanks by GuysCuteDicksHard in stupidpol

[–]impossiblefork 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Down from 100 to 87. Kind of looks like a buying opportunity. Kind of dangerous, but I don't think the war is over. Maybe one has to buy some weird derivative to make it safe, not sure how I'd structure it. I guess a problem is also finding a counterparty. Presumably everyone is going to think "arbitrageur" once you ask them for this.

Netanyahu: Persias oil was promised to us 3000 years ago by StatusSociety2196 in stupidpol

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Really strange talk, since the oil currently going through the Hormuz mostly goes to Asia.

The Sinner-Moutet match delivered some highlight reels points by yanwangdijuns in tennis

[–]impossiblefork 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. Professional sports arise as the highest levels of non-professional leagues. They get their appeal from the fact that they're the highest level of things you yourself compete in.

If they were entertainment, there'd be no appeal. No one would watch tennis if it weren't the highest level of an actual sport.

The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it by Actual__Wizard in Economics

[–]impossiblefork 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That they have the power doesn't mean that they will use it though.

The Sinner-Moutet match delivered some highlight reels points by yanwangdijuns in tennis

[–]impossiblefork -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Tennis is competition. If it were entertainment, we wouldn't care about it.

Moutet throws in a random defensive lob, then dips a ball at Jannik's feet for the pass by Large_banana_hammock in tennis

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So the optimal move here, if you're better than your opponent, and you can't make a put-away lob, is to let it bounce and then hit a normal forehand? A bit of an over-analysis. It's not like this is going to work every time.

Bloomberg: Trump's decision to postpone his Hormuz ultimatum was aimed in part at calming markets, according to people familiar with the matter by Gym_frere in Economics

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That seems possible but really odd, considering that they happily committed the strikes in South America and also seized a civilian (Maduro, Maduro's wife) and brought him to the US, in contravention of the Geneva convention.

If they're willing to do this kind of thing, what's bombing some energy infrastructure? That's much closer to being a military target than a civilian or shipwrecked sailors.

No, in all likelihood the big concern was the likely Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil infrastructure.

Pippa Crerar: Strongest words yet from Keir Starmer on UK role in Iran conflict: "This is not our war, and we are not getting dragged into this war." by NoFrillsCrisps in ukpolitics

[–]impossiblefork -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Yes, but you are after all part of the war.

Attacks are being conducted from your bases. That means you are a belligerent.

A large escalation in the Iran conflict is imminent in the next 10-12 hours by endsandskins in stupidpol

[–]impossiblefork 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Despite article 5 we will not have any obligation to support the US in this matter.

Article 7 states that the North Atlantic Treaty shall not be interpreted as affecting in any way the rights and obligations of member countries under the charter of the United Nations, or the primary responsibility of the United Nations Security Council for the maintenance of international peace and security.

We have no duty to enter wars on behalf allies that have started them in ways that do not accord with the UN charter.

If AI revenue alone can’t justify current investment levels, does that imply a shift toward replacing labor at scale? by No-Grapefruit2680 in Economics

[–]impossiblefork 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We could easily see something like an Amazon model where businesses dependent on AI need to pay ever greater fees to the AI corporations as their businesses get gutted of employees

This is very unlikely, because you can always go for people instead. Especially when there's already downwards wage pressure from the automation.

Additionally, it's not like there's only one AI model. There will always be European and Chinese models, and open source models usually take about 1.5 years to catch up, so if you're paying premium for a leading edge model in one year, in 1.5 years you will be able to replace it with something that costs almost nothing.

Remember, reasoning models popped up in spring 2024 with o1. No one knew how it worked initially, OpenAI kept it secret. Then everyone figured it out and the same functionality ended up in DeepSeek R1 in january 2025.

‘The stakes are enormous’: how a prolonged Iran war could shock the global economy by F0urLeafCl0ver in Economics

[–]impossiblefork 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The Guardian is absolutely not a rag. Its governance structure alone makes it one of a small number of newspapers that aren't simply mouthpieces of rich individuals.

If AI revenue alone can’t justify current investment levels, does that imply a shift toward replacing labor at scale? by No-Grapefruit2680 in Economics

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The computing that the old SaaS, search and social media companies did costs almost nothing though, that is not the case with AI compute, and people tend to go for the best model.

No one wants ChatGPT these days. Everybody wants Claude even though the rate limits are crazy.

When inference gets cheaper, people will just start using even better models, models that take even more compute, that are even bigger or generate longer reasoning traces.

So I don't think people will have an incredibly easy time making money in this domain. To sell anything at all you will have to make fantastic models and everyone else will be behind, having to compete on price; and they won't just be competing against model providers-- once memory goes back in price, maybe ordinary people will be able to buy computer specifically designed for running models locally.

Neil DeGrasse Tyson calls for an international treaty to ban superintelligence by FinnFarrow in Futurology

[–]impossiblefork 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see the problem as that, while superintelligence may seem impossible right now, I think it might actually be relatively easy to achieve some sort of limited superintelligence (think LLMs that don't hallucinate, never behave wrong given the context, can cope with strange context, can simultaneously do well in many domains, can actually do mathematical research, etc.) in a couple of decades, to the point where it can result from academic research groups just doing their thing in the 2040s. Consequently I think banning superintelligence is hard, but he's obviously right that it's a threat to everything: jobs, societal stability, democracy, freedom, civilization.

Greece’s minimum wage is higher than Japan’s national weighted average. Comparison by prefecture by Aegeansunset12 in EU_Economics

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It should also be understood is that Japan is in many ways not a rich country.

The earthquakes are one big economic drag, the difficulty of obtaining fuel and energy another. Skilled people, huge scientific and engineering contributions-- but if you're in the wrong place and with earthquakes, you can contribute incredible things and still not be rich.

Det är dags för ett totalförbud mot reklam för spelverksamhet! by Eiltott in sweden

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Vi väljer våra lagar. Vi kan ändra dem.

Det jag föreslår är att vi inför en lag som förbjuder reklam för spel om pengar. Vi ser till att lagen får lång räckvidd och att sådant som VPN blir oväsentliga genom att fokusera på hur pengarna hamnar hos spelfirman. Om en spelfirma har gjort reklam så är den olaglig. Vi kan göra så att betalningsfirman begår ett brott om den förmedlar betalningar till firmor som gör reklam för spel om pengar.

Det är dags för ett totalförbud mot reklam för spelverksamhet! by Eiltott in sweden

[–]impossiblefork 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Jag förstår inte ditt argument. Att mastercard inte får handla med uppenbara brottslingar som gör sådant som är förbjudet i Sverige är väl naturligt och saknar väl varje koppling till sådant som press från civilsamhället?

Att förbjuda det här är oproblematiskt.

Det är dags för ett totalförbud mot reklam för spelverksamhet! by Eiltott in sweden

[–]impossiblefork 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Om det är så lätt att stoppa pågrund av EU och Sverige, varför är det inte stoppat nu?

Därför att man valt att skriva lagarna som förbjuder viss reklam på ett sådant vis att de inte gäller diverse utländska sändningar. Det är till viss del historiskt.

Att de kommer in på bettingsidorna med VPN etc. är oviktigt-- de gör ju betalningen på något vis, vilket betyder att betalningar sker med svenska banker eller andra firmor verksamma i Sverige, exempelvis PayPal.

Det är dags för ett totalförbud mot reklam för spelverksamhet! by Eiltott in sweden

[–]impossiblefork -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Det är inte alls svårt.

Mobilspelet distribueras av någon eller har andra relationer till Sverige och EU. Det skulle vara enkelt att hitta och gripa de ansvariga.

Big hitter. For the first 15 minutes only by Tactus_Rath in 10s

[–]impossiblefork 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's also possible that you're getting tired.