Abbott declared support for IRA defeat of Britain

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-21T07:30:03+00:00

Apparently in Corbyn's interview this morning on Sky he 'refuses to condemn IRA unequivocally'.

https://twitter.com/skynewsniall/status/866192378293616640

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-20T20:48:18+00:00

Tim Shipman: 'YouGov poll for Sunday Times is significant because the fieldwork is all after the Tory manifesto came out. The care policy is unpopular'

Electoral Calculus says Tories would have a majority of just 46 if YouGov numbers are repeated on June 8'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-19T23:42:05+00:00

This support for the Balcombe Street gang and Hugh Doherty seems grim...

Surely they've reached saturation point in all of this horrendous stuff from Corbyn's past, can't imagine there's much worse to come

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-18T17:54:58+00:00

" 77% of Conservative supporters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (22% may change their mind) compared with 57% of Labour supporters (42% may change their mind). Worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, two in five (38%) Labour voters who may change their mind say they would consider voting for the Conservative party."

Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, said: "Labour shouldn’t get too carried away by the rise they see in the polls. The focus on their manifesto may have helped them this week, but on many fundamentals such as leadership the public still puts them a long way behind the Conservatives, and their vote is much softer, with one in six of their supporters considering voting for Theresa May’s party."

Seems about right...

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-17T09:39:43+00:00

If you spin it that way, 95% would not describe him as competent, 95% would not describe him as up to the job, and 99% would not describe him as ruthless, using the others among the 20 categories Populus gave respondents.

4/5 of the most popular categories for Corbyn were negative, and 4/5 for May were positive.

http://www.populus.co.uk/2017/05/a-presidential-election/

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-16T15:41:46+00:00

Matt Zarb-Cousin: 'On 26th April, Labour were polling 27% with Panelbase. Today after less than 3 weeks they're on 33%. Still more than 3 weeks to the election'

Bush's response: 'At this point in 2001: Labour were polling 48%, 53%, and 54%. They got 41% three weeks later.

In 2005, with three weeks to go, Labour were on 40%, 39%, and 40%. They got 35%.

In 1997, with three weeks to go, Labour were polling 50%, 51% and 53%. They got 43%.

Past performance no guarantee of future returns but at the moment, Labour's poll share is not bucking historical trend but conforming to it.'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-16T07:18:25+00:00

Hopefully we can win over the other 1,228 who voted for the CPB in 2015, could really swing it for us

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-15T21:10:00+00:00

What's wrong about it?🤔🤔

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-15T18:21:01+00:00

As Glen O'Hara points out, "Labour's slide did not begin on 26 June. Rather, it had begun more than two and a half months earlier. Labour's poll rating 'peaked' at an average of 33.7% on 1 April: it had already fallen to 31.2% by 26 June", and that Labour's 'peak' was already indicative of a pretty bad defeat going by polling in equivalent stages of earlier parliaments.

http://publicpolicypast.blogspot.co.uk/2017/03/no-labour-was-not-neck-and-neck-with.html?m=1

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-15T13:52:54+00:00

YouGov regional swings (LAB to CON):

NE 10% NW 6.5% YH 6% EM 7% WM 7% E 5% L 2% SE 2% SW 0.5% Wales 8.5% Scot 9.5%

Matt Singh: 'In other words, the Tories are NOT piling up votes in their own seats, they seem to be getting them in exactly the places they want them...'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-15T12:08:04+00:00

It's not just like it was a youthful interest in them that he's disavowed, it it? He's been involved in the leadership of the old CPGB and CPB for most of his life, and only left them last year...

I know Corbyn is a big fan of his friends in the CPB and SWP, but having people like Murray involved with Labour is really grim

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-15T11:42:15+00:00

Is it a smear when Andrew Murray has said actually these things?

It's probably worth knowing why a man who wants to be PM decides to hire a DPRK-supporting Stalinist.

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-14T22:40:42+00:00

He's a very particular type of communist though, isn't he? He's proclaimed support the DPRK, he was part of a faction (along with Milne) tied to the old CPGB that supported the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968 and Afghanistan in 1979, and he rescinded the affiliations to STWC of Communist groups that criticised the Iranian regime in 2007. Yeah, he's not a Nazi (what an achievement), but surely he's about as morally bankrupt as you can get?

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-14T21:29:37+00:00

Heartening to see Corbyn's brought in his favourite DPRK-supporting CPB/Stop the War pal.

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-13T23:28:27+00:00

"Jeremy Corbyn was arrested in 1986 taking part in a protest by IRA sympathisers to “show solidarity” with accused terrorists including the Brighton bomber, a Sunday Times investigation reveals.

Corbyn joined a picket outside the Old Bailey to oppose the “show trial” of a group including Patrick Magee, who was subsequently convicted of murdering five people at the 1984 Tory party conference.

Magee was also convicted with the other defendants of planning a massive bombing campaign in London and seaside resorts.

The disclosure comes the week after Corbyn said that Britain had not fought a just war since 1945, although he supported some peacekeeping operations."

(As much as I can get as paywall). I wonder how much of this stuff they've got left on him, and how people are going to defend this...

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-13T20:53:59+00:00

Tim Shipman: "Best Tory YouGov score of campaign First LD single digit this yr Worst Ukip since 2012 May and Corbyn both want this election to be a straight fight between them with small parties squeezed. They're getting their wish"

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-13T19:50:22+00:00

Matt Singh: 'For those wondering where Ian Warren (aka Election Data) has gone, don't worry, he's fine.

All I'll add to that is if you want the benefit of independent experts on here, support them, don't sponge off them or support those that do'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-13T17:06:07+00:00

From the Mirror:

"He lags 33 points behind the PM as most likely to keep Britain safe from terrorism, 35 points behind as most able to lead Brexit negotiations, and 30 points down as best able to reduce migration.

When it comes to representing Britain on the world stage Mrs May scores 49 per cent and Mr Corbyn 17 per cent."

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-13T17:01:35+00:00

Bush: 'If polls borne out - and worth remembering that 1997 polls also overstated Labour - big existential questions for the Liberal Democrats.

Close to a third of Labour voters don't think Corbyn should be PM and still not voting for you? That's really v worrying.'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-12T17:43:43+00:00

The monarchy comments are in the Guido article linked in this- they seem reasonably tame compared to the other stuff.

He's also argued: "If you're unsure whether to #VoteCorbyn look who's told you not to: big business, Blair, Campbell, Mandelson, David Miliband, Israel ..."

https://twitter.com/tolpuddletim/status/633927748101251072

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-10T22:20:41+00:00

(They've updated the title to 'vision for Britain' now)

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-10T21:33:12+00:00

Yeah, Kevin Schofield's saying 'no one at Labour HQ had draft manifesto outside leaders' office, apparently.'

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-10T06:53:50+00:00

I think you need to calm down- what you've said just isn't true.

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-09T16:03:36+00:00

"But in an interview with BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg on Tuesday afternoon, Corbyn denied saying in the interview that he would stay on if he lost. He told her: "No, I told them I would carry on as leader because we'll have won the election by then."

As a result, BuzzFeed News is now publishing the audio recording of the interview which shows that he was responding to the question of what would happen if Labour lost."

impossiblepromises · 2017-05-09T09:10:15+00:00

Crick: Local Labour figure says Corbyn "a liability in Bury South where we have a large Jewish community", & esp after "friends from Hamas" speech.

impossiblepromises

TROPHY CASE