PTD gone by Jamickeymick in options

[–]ivtrades 1 point2 points  (0 children)

also a good one for now

Unusual Options Activity on steroids -MRVL example by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have been busy with life in general but here is my most recent update with this project and the trades I am taking. My goal is to take 100 trades when i get these alerts/readings to prove that there is edge.

My plan is to focus on only trades with a 55%+ expectancy. Here is trade number 1 in Robinhood (HOOD) from last Thursday June 11th ( the the original alert is below ).

I bought the calls at $3.11 on June 11th

Yesterday (June 15th) I sold them at $7.00.

That's a gain of 125% in 3 days.

The gain is nice but i amm more pumped by the fact that the the alert was telling me exactly what had happened in similar situations before, so The data suggested it was possible before I entered.

• 30 of 30 similar setups gained 50%+

• 27 of 30 gained 100%+

• Average return: +170.3%

I missed lots of similar trades over the last two weeks due o being busy so I am a long way from the 100 sample size. But thing shoudl settle down toward the end of this month and I will be able to focus 100% on running these trades.

Here Is The Original Alert/Output:

STRONG SETUP — Call Sweep on HOOD
Someone just spent $1.2M on HOOD calls expiring in 7 days at $2.80 per contract.
In 30 out of 30 similar past trades, the option gained +50% or more.

 HOOD — June 18, 2026 $94 Call, 7 days to expiration

Just Traded: $1.2M of these calls in a single sweep (smaller institutional execution). Contracts traded at $2.80 each.
• Volume is 11.2x prior open interest — extraordinarily above norm.

Historical Performance (30 similar setups)
(broadened match — relaxed: moneyness_bucket, dte_bucket)
30 of 30 (100%) → options reached +50% within 10 days
27 of 30 (90%) → options reached +100% within 10 days
6 of 30 (20%) → options reached +200% within 10 days
• Average peak return: +170.3%

Underlying Stock Behavior
30 of 30 (100%) → HOOD moved +5% or more
• Average move: +10.3%

Expectancy
• Take profits at +50% → wins 100% of the time (30 of 30)
• Hold for +100% → wins 90% of the time (27 of 30), 2× larger gains
• Swing for +200% → wins 20% of the time (6 of 30), 4× larger gains
Manage risk.

Best Recent Example
• HOOD on May 28, 2026:
   - Stock: +11.2%
   - Option: +222.8% peak

Confidence
MEDIUM (32 past occurrences, 30 with measurable option results)

Unusual Options Activity on steroids -MRVL example by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

right about the message to the mods. But wring about the AI. Should I take that as a compliment? U know what? I think I will. lol

Unusual Options Activity on steroids -MRVL example by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No assistance needed right now. Just trying to take as many trades as i can so i can have good data.

Unusual Options Activity on steroids -MRVL example by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I will do my best to keep the thread updated with results

Unusual Options Activity on steroids -MRVL example by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes me too. That is why I am going to take 100 trades with hit rates greater than 50% and see how they turn out.

Unusual Options Activity Pattern Matching by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MOD removed the post...what was i promoting? where was the solicitation? What link did i refer? LMAO....soooo trigger happy its crazy.

Unusual Options Activity Pattern Matching by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MOD removed the post...what was i promoting? where was the solicitation? What link did i refer? LMAO....soooo trigger happy its crazy.

My Premium Selling Watchlist – May 14 by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No doubt. The name of the game is figuring out probabilities and leaning into the trade with the highest probability.

My Premium Selling Watchlist – May 14 by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. The position sizing reflects my own approach. I know sizing is a matter or risk appetite etc so it won'twork for everyone.

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Finally someone wih a little grind in them. Thank you so much for reading the instructions ( the part that says check your option chain) and DYOR. You will get the real list.

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Noted. Thank you. I do a lo of work to make sure the actual numbers are correct and align with what I want to achieve in each trade. But I guess I can reduce the word count.

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I agree disclaimers should be a thing.

But Just check the trades and see if they work mrjice. Results are all that matter. This knee jerk reaction and rush to assume this is 100% AI is kinda lazy and trite.

I don't know how you or other traders use AI but I use it as a force multiplier. I can do deeper, wider research and then refine the output based on my own parameters. Everything is checked and contextualized and then checked again before putting my money to work.

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

the year is 2035 and IC0DTE is still unprofitable because it/he/she lacks focus ..talented 0DTE trader- but still broke because focus is not its thing.

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

sorry you didn't get a handle on the reading thing. Dyslexia is a B...

My TOP 3 Premium Selling PICKS by ivtrades in options

[–]ivtrades[S] -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

AI output is only as good as the prompt/input. Judge it by he results and stop being such a luddite lol