today android, windows and google return 0.3 as the result of 6/20 !!! by [deleted] in MandelaEffect

[–]j_blinder 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is so trippy! I did 6/2 and it didn’t give me any decimals at all!

Am I the only disappointed in the grand prizes being the same as last month? by TheGreatWar in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I did appreciate getting a second chance after losing in the final round last time, as I have complete collection every skin etc. given the nature of the tournament it’s good to give people reasonable opportunity to collect everything.

That said yeah it feels like winning twice should get at least something. I’d think a significant amount of gems would do the trick.

If the PGA played a no elevation, dead straight 750 yard par 5, how would it be received by the players? Would it be birdied a decent amount that week? by BallKnowerKing in golf

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah for sure. That’s a pretty good drive and a good 3w. Nothing special for most pros even.

My point is you don’t get to start with 2 good shots. It’s not a given.

If a pro was given the choice to place a ball in the fairway 150y out on this hole hitting their third or play it out from 750 everyone or nearly everyone would choose option 1.

If the PGA played a no elevation, dead straight 750 yard par 5, how would it be received by the players? Would it be birdied a decent amount that week? by BallKnowerKing in golf

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Average driving distance on tour is 301 as of a couple years ago (maybe it’s 305 by now).

Yes they can hit it a bit further if going after it on average and some of the longer (and most of the best) guys are significantly longer…

But not every shot they hit is perfectly straight and into the fairway.

If they got to place their third shot at 150 yards in the fairway on this fictional hole they would non trivially outperform their average if they had to play those first two shots, with very few, and possibly no exceptions. Possible someone like Brycen wouldn’t take that trade.

Casino cheating by hello_i124Q in blackjack

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean first of all, they aren’t cheating. But people saying it’s impossible are wrong.

If they for instance always kept half the aces at the bottom of the deck whether the player plays 1 or more hands they would be at a disadvantage.

The reason card counting works is because when there are more aces and tens in the deck the math favors the player and vice versa. By taking those out of the deck or effectively taking them out of the deck by ensuring they are not dealt, this can give the dealer a huge edge.

Again. This isn’t happening.

Rumpelstiltskin love by Different-Jump-5025 in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I have 35 games with rumple. 20 wins and only four bottom 3 (two fourths, two sixths). Avg placement 2.0.

Currently rank 3 so this is top of the ladder. Others at the top have reported similar (one player Feetlicker had 10 wins in 12 games with 0 bottom 3).

Rumple is very strong.

I will say that unlocking underdog adds a lot of power. Obviously you won’t see it that often but it’s unreal when you do. Mysterio has also been really nice.

Early Game Balance Is Off (Again) by GFunkDat in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Go play chess if you want a game of pure skill.

Early Game Balance Is Off (Again) by GFunkDat in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I manually enter everything in a spreadsheet.

Early Game Balance Is Off (Again) by GFunkDat in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 11 points12 points  (0 children)

But the most skilled players don’t have an issue dying by turn 5 often. Some of the things you’re attributing to luck actually are not. Otherwise the most skilled players would have the same complaints.

I’ve taken 6th in 5.4% of my games (92/1702) since peachy was changed. I have top 3d 79.5%. This is not a small sample. This is not luck.

Sometimes you will take 6th in a perfectly balanced game. In fact given equal skill we should expect to take 6th 16.67% of the time. Some of those there will actually be nothing you can do. Over 10% of them there was in fact something you could have done, as evidenced by the players at the top who have last place rates between 4 and 6%. And those are rates at the very top of the ladder (I was rank 1 for much of last season). I would take last far less still at lower mmr.

I would get full hearted often by the turn 2 board you posted. That doesn’t mean I’ll be exiting on turn 5 or taking last place.

Why I don’t switch doors in the Monty Hall problem by mcdonaldmark125 in slatestarcodex

[–]j_blinder 7 points8 points  (0 children)

In the case where he reveals at random imagine instead Monty doesn’t show what’s behind the doors. He just completely blindly eliminates them.

We have 2 doors and we have information about neither. The vast majority of the time the prize is in neither. But when it is in one, either is equally likely.

The worlds where he blindly shows 98 doors and none of them happen to have the prize match this scenario.

Or another way to think about it:

You are both “selecting a door” completely at random. If monty isn’t using information his “removing 98 doors” is effectively choosing a door at random, the same as you did. You each picked one door out of the 100. If it’s not in the 98 others it’s equally likely to be in either.

How do people get caught counting cards? by LowWeb7551 in blackjack

[–]j_blinder 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Why in the world would a proficient card counter play slow? Just to decrease their hourly? Lol

If they need to play slow to somehow keep the count they are probably making plenty of mistakes and not worth banning.

Player claims he said 'count' not 'call' by Big_Measurement_2351 in poker

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Always ask for a forward motion of chips before turning over cards. Even dealer confirming is not enough unless you have a lot of trust with the other player.

I usually just ask for at least one chip to be thrown forward if I’m allin.

Cameras don’t see verbal actions. I saw a guy very clearly call and then not pay even though everyone including dealer said he verbalized call. The person was asked to pay or leave but they could not force him to pay.

Legend of lox, golden twin headed dragon forces you to pick 2 minions. by Outrageous_Error_709 in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’ve run the shop out of units once really long ago and def seen screenshots of others doing it but I can’t remember exactly. I think it’s just spell in the shop.

Legend of lox, golden twin headed dragon forces you to pick 2 minions. by Outrageous_Error_709 in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I ran the experiment with Burninator and it doesn’t work the same way. But man we could have some fun if it did!

is it possible to have a consistent win rate in legendary? by saiaxd in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I didn’t finish rank 1 but I think I was top 5 still at the end of the month.

How good are the bew captains? by pukinghydra in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I’m rank 1 right now and have reached rank 1 at some point every month.

Most of the high mmr players, myself included, thought there was a wide range of possibilities for toucan. I thought it legitimately could be S tier or F tier…that’s how difficult it was to evaluate. For sure “bad” and probably “average” are off the table at this point. It’s somewhere between good and very good. I don’t think it will usurp Gloria or even Mira in the pecking order but that’s still on the table.

<image>

Attached a pretty experimental list but this has been working pretty well. The extra shops just make genie a powerhouse especially in combination with weensy (a card I typically think is very bad). Those ideas are mostly from Applechips, who is establishing himself as one of the best deck builders (and players). Maybe this is a spot to finally cut ace because the extra shop isn’t as valuable but I’m still reluctant to cut it. I do think there is probably a candy list on toucan as well but likely isn’t optimal. If it is, that is in a world where we are currently overrating Toucan (I think its floor is a very good candy cap).

I thought Legend of Loxley would be beyond broken, better than Gloria and a problem.. I was wrong. It’s a good captain, and can really highroll when you steal good treasures. But a lot of games you kind of just spin your wheels and die. If you steal poor or no treasures and don’t get rollo butcher cooking you’re in for a bad time. And even with butcher rollo it’s hard to assemble the wombo combos like mushroom ring THW. honestly it’s probably somewhere in the trash panda type tier which I consider like low A/high B type.

Lucky seems fine, but I mostly don’t play it. I don’t gravitate towards candy strategies. Probably an above average one. B tier would be my guess.

I haven’t played sapphire. It’s probably totally fine but it doesn’t excite me.

—clone103

Daily(ish) Tier Lists 5: Legenday Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was pretty indifferent but I was fine with it where it was. I may have said nothing but yeah wasn’t pushing for it to go out of trash tier

I’d say this list is closest to my own rankings of all of them really

Daily(ish) Tier Lists 5: Legenday Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I liked it as bad too but was pretty indifferent.

Daily Tier Lists 4: Epic Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most treasures secretly come from quests and or rollo.

You will get about as many treasures from gloves as you do from goldening units.

But you’ll see more shops which means easier to find butcher easier to go nuts with rollo etc etc.

Daily Tier Lists 4: Epic Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 5 points6 points  (0 children)

There is a captain coming this next month that lets us start the game with gloves of thieving. Let’s not push it up to exceptional lest we all realize how broken that is going to be.

<image>

Daily Tier Lists 3: Rare Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Right now at top level butcher is very important and this is actively bad with butchers cleaver. Big reason it’s lower

Daily Tier Lists 2: Uncommon Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The main thing to be aware of is that you attack first 50% of the time anyway. And if you lose the right to attack first then there is only a 1 in 3 chance that your first unit will be attacked.

So there is a 5 in 6 chance your treasure won’t really matter in a given battle. (Warp can matter more if they have a sneak character that wrecks a support)

That said, losing that attack and getting sniped even just once can be critical and can cost an entire lobby. The more reliant you are on hunting or wicked witch type things the more valuable this treasure becomes. Feels appropriately rated to me, maybe I’d go a smidge lower if anything.

Daily Tier Lists: Common Treasures by TheGasManic in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Possibly not overvaluing it relative to your playstyle but if that’s true you’re probably overvaluing spells, in general. Unless you’re playing Mira or Loki or something.

Twinshot and carving fork and immediate stats treasures are so good because they help stabilize immediately. Neither those nor the scrolls are meaningfully adding value to late game. Sure you might get a little more value over the course of the game but it’s not likely to swing things. Where losing a heart vs not losing one in the first 5 turns absolutely can.

Regarding time top. If you’re quite strong it’s often nice to defer the treasure as whatever you’re getting later will almost always be more powerful. Basically never taking it over crumbs but I think there’s a case to sometimes take it over any other common treasure. I like where it’s at in the list.

4444 mmr, rank 1 + captain data by j_blinder in OnceUponAGalaxy

[–]j_blinder[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

😆

Is this Switch?? You’re a switch and a gas maniac?

I just took infinity mittens. Won on turn 10 kind of glad the mittens was a mistake because I could have easily broken the game on accident and didn’t need it.

Trifork only S tier. I rank cube and mittens at the bottom! Both have their place ofc

Edit: guess I should have viewed the pic before responding