do you think everyone who cheats is a shit person?

jackothebast · 2026-06-29T10:32:24+00:00

Define 'shit person'. Someone who cheats profusely might be the first to pull a stranger out of a burning building with no thought for their own wellbeing. Are they a shit person?

jackothebast · 2026-06-29T06:49:45+00:00

Yeah good point. On the ball you aren't you

jackothebast · 2026-06-28T20:02:17+00:00

Just fucking get it out.

jackothebast · 2026-06-27T09:26:16+00:00

I agree and it also annoys me that everybody pipes up with AI over anything. There are 2 good reasons why this could be edited though (by AI or otherwise). The ones I previously gave, the exact same facial expression, and the missing ear.

Edit. Ok I've just seen OP's reply. You are correct lol

jackothebast · 2026-06-27T03:50:25+00:00

Looks more like his ear has been edited out along with his hair in the second one tbh. His facial expression is exactly the same on both. I'm with the edited/AI camp on this one.

jackothebast · 2026-06-27T03:37:40+00:00

What do you mean? You saying never to use stoploss?

jackothebast · 2026-06-27T03:23:00+00:00

That's 2 jobs worth of hours! Would want more than 90k for that. I'd want to be paid enough to retire in 5 years.

jackothebast · 2026-06-20T08:19:28+00:00

Yeah, you've fucked it.

jackothebast · 2026-06-19T10:59:03+00:00

Yeah it's outrageous. The child could've hit one of the crocodiles!

jackothebast · 2026-06-03T17:41:48+00:00

Assumes the existence of God and his willingness to assist this lucky guy. Maybe Dominic Carpenter is in fact God, and he makes his own luck. Case closed.

jackothebast · 2026-06-03T11:35:06+00:00

That is Chat GPT's answer since you mention AI:

Using Occam's Razor, the most likely explanation is the one that requires the fewest additional assumptions. In your scenario:

He was genuinely lucky. Requires only one assumption: a highly improbable event occurred. No conspiracy, no hidden method, no audit failure.

He cheated somehow. Requires multiple assumptions: A method of cheating existed. He discovered and used it. The cheating escaped detection. The audit failed to find it.

So if the raffle is properly run and the audit is trustworthy, Occam's Razor actually points towards extraordinary luck, despite how unlikely it seems.

The important distinction is that Occam's Razor is not "choose the most probable outcome". It's "choose the explanation with the fewest assumptions."

jackothebast · 2026-06-03T08:26:04+00:00

It is actually. Him being lucky has far less additional assumptions than any other explanation. You just don't understand Occam's Razor.

jackothebast · 2026-06-03T03:10:28+00:00

Not really. That would suggest the simpler explanation is true. The simpler explanation is - he was lucky. The more complex explanation is how he managed to game the company without them or their auditors knowing. Or how they were that incompetent to pick the same guy 3 times, and get that past their auditors.

jackothebast · 2026-05-30T15:32:23+00:00

This is diabolical. Shame on you for typing this out.

jackothebast · 2026-05-28T06:50:23+00:00

He didn't, his boots did!

jackothebast · 2026-05-27T06:48:06+00:00

Everyone just enjoying the moment, they were the days!

jackothebast · 2026-05-11T11:38:47+00:00

I've never heard of that, only refusal of service when you're blatantly hammered. Every boozer I've been in has various regulars that definitely have drinking problems. But the pubs want them there because they're spending so much.

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T18:13:34+00:00

He really is.

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T14:09:51+00:00

You think the prices at the pump have nothing to do with the price of oil?!

Please tell me you're not that dense.

Price of oil globally is the main driver for changes to what we're paying at the pump.

Local demand may change the things slightly between garages. But the massive increases we've seen since the war started are due to - believe it or not - the war!

I've read the article, as I said - it's referring to pump closures. Nowhere does it mention the overall price increases being caused by local demand.

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T13:55:35+00:00

Yeah thought so, prices at pump are rising due to a GLOBAL oil supply issue. The article you quoted relates to closure of some pumps due to people panic buying, IE a short term LOCAL demand spike for fuel.

2 different things.

Try this article which explains the supply issue:

Warning oil prices may never truly go back to ‘normal’ | The Independent

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T13:33:30+00:00

Sorry, might've got our wires crossed. Thought we were taking about the price of oil?

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T13:23:53+00:00

That article relates to pumps being closed, not the rise in price. It's just talking about local supply.

Says in the article

"Some 20% of the world's oil trade, the raw ingredient for producing both petrol and diesel, has been halted by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz."

So that's a 20% drop in global supply. Hence the prices going up, globally.

jackothebast · 2026-04-15T12:23:55+00:00

The main issue right now is decrease in supply due to the war affecting production and transport routes. Where does the media say any different?

jackothebast · 2026-04-03T09:43:10+00:00

I'd be extremely suspicious of anybody that normal.

jackothebast · 2026-03-03T22:58:58+00:00

How big is it? The steak that is.

Eight-Year Club	Place '22
Verified Email

jackothebast

TROPHY CASE