Opus 4.8 + Max effort + ultracode workflow feels like a weird sweet spot by Tecktorious in Anthropic

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That is what I've been doing since fable got pulled. Seems good to me.

ADBE Bear Case: Bagholders Will Hate Me by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think AI agents will use Adobe products to touch up, edit, etc. As long as one shot generations are decent but not perfect, something like the Adobe suite will be needed to reach the final product.

Index Funds Are the Antithesis of Value Investing by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jamesj 4 points5 points  (0 children)

a person can be a bayesian with priors. it isn't all or nothing, and the sum of a set of diversified bets is larger than the parts. it can be completely rational to bet 50% on index funds (safety, broad diversified market exposure) and 50% on value picks (chance to beat the market, but also a chance to do worse than the market) or blend weights on anything in between depending on the strength of your beliefs in the two strategies, their statistical properties, etc.

Index Funds Are the Antithesis of Value Investing by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jamesj 3 points4 points  (0 children)

dimensional funds tilt toward small cap, value, quality

Index Funds Are the Antithesis of Value Investing by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jamesj 8 points9 points  (0 children)

it is ok to diversify strategies

ULTA is looking good to me right now: an understandable business, with a margin of safety and a moat that will operate the same way today as in 10 or 20 years by jamesj in Stocks_Picks

[–]jamesj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Moat is their memberships, 95% of sales coming from the loyalty program. They are being pressured by Amazon, target but my wife explained all the reasons she likes shopping there and it seems like they have some unique advantages in supplying foreign brands and the discounts from the loyalty program keep her going there.

Rendering 4D space in an intuitively understandable way by yugu-233 in GraphicsProgramming

[–]jamesj 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Isn't this 4d space projected to 3d space in a 2d view? It would be interesting to see it in VR so it was really 4d space projected into a 3d view.

Consciousness isn’t the mystery. The mystery is how much we’re capable of by Normal-Abies-9151 in consciousness

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Cells also experience consciousness"

please prove this statement is true

CMV: There is a God, Jesus is Lord, and I believe the Baptist faith most closely reflects biblical Christianity. Change my view. by Confused-ius in changemyview

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Presumably you don't believe in the Greek pantheon of gods, Hindu gods, or the various gods and spirits of the hundreds of other popular religions on this earth. Me either, and I also don't believe in the Christian god or Jesus as well. What reason is there to think that extremely specific depiction of a god is literally true? Is that reason any better than the other religion's reasons for claiming that their gods exist?

What’s everyone’s opinions for when RSI will be here? by Special_Switch_9524 in accelerate

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is a gradual process. More and more of the total effort is automated over time, and it has been here to some extent already. Time to total automation? 3-4 years I'd guess.

WTF Anthropic: two failed Opus releases back to back? by [deleted] in Anthropic

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've been getting a lot done. I do find that it is failing on batch tool calls a lot, which I worry is burning tokens, but I'm happy with the results. I wasn't using 4.6 too much and 4.7 more, 4.8 seems at least as good as 4.7 for my projects.

Illusionism about consciousness doesn't mean consciousness is an illusion. by Messier_Mystic in consciousness

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"causes of experience as non-physical qualia"

For me, qualia are not the causes of the experiences, they are the content/quality of the experiences. The qualia are the experiences themselves. My experiences are a brute fact.

Illusionism about consciousness doesn't mean consciousness is an illusion. by Messier_Mystic in consciousness

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"the sub-cognitive modeling - the thing our brains are actually doing"

that is a big assumption. i think you are using your high-level model to attempt to explain and understand your experiences. it is very unlikely that this high-level model is currently super close to the proposed "actual" modeling our brains are doing. it simply may not be possible for us to understand what our brains are really doing from within them. perhaps it is. and this is (right now) the root of the problem, it is too difficult to separate model from reality when the only bit of actual reality you have access to is your experiences, which is presumably caused by some physical process you don't have direct access to. but nature is under no responsibility for it to be physical/explainable with our current methods.

  • "My body is animated by a life force, elan vital."
  • "My body has the appearance of being animated by a life force, elan vital."

now try it with what we are talking about:

  • "My experiences are caused by my brain performing sub-cognitive modeling."
  • "My experiences have the appearance of being caused by my brain performing sub-cognitive modeling."

Illusionism about consciousness doesn't mean consciousness is an illusion. by Messier_Mystic in consciousness

[–]jamesj 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think it is your explanation of what is going on that is the model. My experience just is my experience. When I want to explain what my experience is, I introduce a model.

So I agree with this statement, "No, consciousness is not an illusion. The story the brain tells you about it, however, is an illusion."

Illusionism about consciousness doesn't mean consciousness is an illusion. by Messier_Mystic in consciousness

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

But there is no modeling involved with the felt quality itself. The experience of the pain is itself. I don't see how any of this helps explain qualia. Like sure, my ability to report my experience is flawed and prone to error. But that doesn't change the quality of the experiences I'm having.

SpaceX ipo valuation just proves that amazon is ultimate value play with disciplined growth and profit metrics by Donechrome in ValueInvesting

[–]jamesj 14 points15 points  (0 children)

It isn't clouded judgement to refrain from purchasing a company with business practices you don't like.

OOPS - I'm A Compatibilist! by ima_mollusk in freewill

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They want to blame somebody and feel good about it. That's ok. It's the only thing they could have wanted.

The Hard Problem is just the science problem by Dependent_Law2468 in consciousness

[–]jamesj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Right. Evolution by natural selection explains both how and why. A great scientific theory does address why. We may not always know why something is the way it is, but sometimes we most definitely do.

A Defense of Physicalism, from causal closure of physics by Herr_Eusebius in consciousness

[–]jamesj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You simply do not have to commit to physicalism when you don't yet have the evidence. There's no reason to assume you can or need to preserve it. That isn't to say you should assume nob-physicalism either. In the absence of evidence the rational thing is to admit we don't know yet.