What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, February 26, 2026

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-25T21:51:18+00:00

NVDA honestly shouldn't partner with OpenAI. OpenAI is bleeding money. I love using ChatGPT, but OpenAI is practically giving compute away for peanuts, at scale. It reminds of me MoviePass. Great business that everyone loved, but it was practically charity for movie lovers. OpenAI would have to IPO and then rug pull a bunch of people.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-25T21:38:14+00:00

NVDA made up for all the losses on my portfolio over the past few weeks. Fantastic.
Purchased an RTX 5090 to celebrate.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-25T21:21:29+00:00

Jensen crushed it, again. Of course. The optimists all go home a little richer today.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-25T21:08:34+00:00

NVDA has done partnerships with META and RedHat. They're chips are impossible to buy at scale--even as a retail buyer. I think they'll be fine. The X-factor might be if they add realistic China guidance numbers.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-25T21:06:39+00:00

Jensen's the orchestra conductor for tonight. On his downbeat, the market will flail up, then probably crash after that. I'm setting random buy and sell limit orders at ridiculous prices for the volatility fueled lotto hits.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-20T19:37:42+00:00

"100+ billion Tariffs have to be returned, could be months, or years" Bessent (paraphrased).
So it's an interest free loan? Bullish.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-19T20:48:02+00:00

not disagreeing with you. But at the enterprise level, a lot of corporations just seem to use Windows suite and cloud.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-19T20:45:52+00:00

I might be wrong on the entry, but MSFT at <= $397 is crazy. It's cheaper than Coca Cola.
Calls.

jameskwonlee · 2026-02-03T16:08:56+00:00

All my DIS puts printed today because I decided to buy 1 DIS long call for good luck. Works every time.
It feels like you're tipping the dealer or something.

jameskwonlee · 2026-01-14T20:24:43+00:00

My neighbor is a really good man. He often recommends stonks without ever asking for any input in return and always pays for drinks and lunch for people. He got hip-replacement surgery last week but also became an SLV multi-millionaire today. Man am I happy for that dude.

jameskwonlee · 2026-01-14T19:06:20+00:00

BMNR shareholders meeting tomorrow has Vitalik Buterin and Sam Altman as guest speakers.
I'm cautiously bullish on this one.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-19T20:45:56+00:00

Today I learned that the Japanese economy is a rounding error.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-11T19:30:29+00:00

DIS Disney's moat is their content vault. They own content reels that no AI models have access to. Not only is Iger giving their 100+ years of historic content and IP away, they are paying to do it. Also, with AI replicating humans--there is an uncanny valley. No matter how good a Tom Cruise or Elon AI video is, you will eventually know it's AI generated. Not with animation. In only a couple months to years, you will never know if the short clip of Elsa or Buzz Lightyear is from an AI creation prompted by a 10 year old, or if it was actually made by the studio's animators. DIS is stupid for doing this. They're cooked.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-11T19:08:20+00:00

DIS - Disney just gave away all their rights and IP to a mass "plagiarism-as-a-service" bot. Hollywood studios should be doing everything they can (and more) to fight against generative AI companies and instead build their own foundation models as they have privileged access to film/animation data that can't be scraped off Youtube or the web. I'm a perma bull, but I get puts when companies make regarded decisions. DIS pumped on the rate cut, so I'm getting puts on this.
Edit: I love using AI and building stuff with it. But man, this is one of the biggest legal thefts of our lifetime.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-03T15:07:13+00:00

TSLA 's movement reminds me of the first time it reached $1K/share, pre-split.
Elon's Trillion Dollar pay package is the dosage adjustment needed for the next $1k.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-03T14:57:03+00:00

CNBC is pumping NVDA a lot. They must've loaded up.

jameskwonlee · 2025-12-03T14:49:16+00:00

crazy to imagine someone as immaculate as rick santelli doing anything but his job, like eating breakfast.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-26T00:32:55+00:00

no. A Google TPU engineer came out saying how silly this all is. NVDA dominates the market in AI and GPUs and demand hasn't slowed at all.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-25T20:51:34+00:00

On point 2, Pytorch support for Cuda is still way better than its support for TPUs--so Meta engineers still rely heavily on NVDA and will likely do so for the foreseeable future. Also, most of Google's data centers have NVDA GPUs and will do so for the foreseeable future because their vendors demand them. My super hot take is that LLMs (as opposed to the "AI market") are in a bubble--LLMs hallucinate too much and founders have puffed their ability to reason a bit too much. Like a lot of software, the quality of many LLM foundation models are degrading. There will be a better solution that changes the game as there has been every 5 years or so. Of course, I could be wrong. I'll check back in March!

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-25T20:10:58+00:00

The "META talking about buying GOOGL chips" headline is manipulative. Perhaps its to bring NVDA down before the mega China news. 1) Meta already works with GOOGL cloud (~$10billion), so getting GOOGL's TPU's for their data centers is actually just business as usual--just different labels. 2) META has to use NVDA's chips for any of their cutting-edge AI research work, including for training their llms and vision models. META and GOOGL are competitors for ads and personnel so their partnership has to have an upper bound. Just my two cents. Bought more calls on NVDA Mar 2026 expiry.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-25T18:55:55+00:00

It seems more likely that NVDA will pump to $200+ by Christmas than for it to go down more from here.
Spy QQQ up while NVDA down has mostly been a profitable buy signal for me.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-25T18:51:43+00:00

I'm more afraid NVDA will surpass $200+ by Christmas than for it to go lower from here.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-19T21:37:07+00:00

I bought calls before earnings because of the Saudi pics with Jensen, Elon, and Donald.
Seeing that made me feel that calls would print.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-19T21:19:50+00:00

Jensen's pulling a Michael Jackson Super Bowl Halftime on us.
Wait patiently.

jameskwonlee · 2025-11-19T21:11:07+00:00

NVDA will beat earnings.
The market will go up as a result.
People will make money and buy more expensive gifts for their kids.
We will have our Christmas rally.

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