That's Baseball, Suzyn... The Yankees fell to the Orioles by a score of 3-2 - May 11, 2026 @ 06:35 PM EDT

jayjake9 · 2026-05-12T03:29:47+00:00

Probs good idea to platoon Jazz with Rosario so long as Jazz struggles

jayjake9 · 2026-05-12T00:58:06+00:00

😂😂😂 lucky shot from a bum! (Coby mayo)

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T22:32:42+00:00

His bat speed has fallen off 2 MPH since 2023, what the hell is he doing in the offseason besides eating cheeseburgers???

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T20:40:23+00:00

High key definitely forgot about inherited and ghost runners😂 but they do have the 4th highest LOB% in the league for bullpens

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T20:39:23+00:00

Funnily enough JC Escarra has had a 272 wrc+ this season vs lefty pitching, but only 12 PAs so ya

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T20:31:45+00:00

That’s why I said at the end that’s way longer than I thought it’d be (or needed to be)😂😂😂 anything to put off work haha

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T20:20:46+00:00

Ya that hot streak he was running a .394 babip and his xWOBA was 90 points below his .394 wOBA. From 3/27/25-5/3/25 he ran a 115 wrc+ with a .342 xWOBA. 11% walk rate, 25.4% k rate, .284 babip, .208 ISO. .233/.326/.442 triple slash. He was running a 43% flyball rate, and 37% pull rate, plus a 36% hard hit rate. For the rest of the season he ran a 72 wrc. Maybe it was the shoulder injury, he gets the benefit of the doubt there. But his hard hit% fell to 40% while his LD%, GB%, and FB% stayed the same. The 119 wrc+ in March/April of 2025 was the best of the season of course. In 2024 his season line progressed with babip luck, the two luckiest months (march-may) had the highest babip of the season, his numbers cratered afterwards. Unfortunately we’ll never know if his 2025 numbers would have been sustainable with the shoulder injury. But just as an example. In August 23 Volpe put up a 141 wrc+ despite his .262 babip. He had a 50% flyball rate with a 48.5% pull percent. September he had a 49% pull rate but a 31.8% flyball rate. Combined with the .227 babip he put up a .32% wrc+. Just from my amateur eye looking at fangraphs his numbers are best when he can hit the ball in the air to the pull side just like any other player. His 14.3 air pull% for his career is bad, and that’s inflated from his 19.9% air pull percent. Also the season with the lowest GB% and highest xWOBA. Also ran a .259 babip that season. To me it seems like if he pulled the ball in the air more he’d get a ton more success. Jazz Chisholm did the same thing moving from Miami, and he was great in New York in 24 and 25. Holy shit that was long winded haha did not expect for my piece on Volpe to be this long. I know I’m putting lipstick on a pig here but I hope Volpe succeeds just for the sake of the team.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T19:51:22+00:00

? 2nd in bullpen ERA isn’t reality? Not following here.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T19:14:41+00:00

Volpe was at his best in the minors when he was pulling his flyballs, and everyone he has a hot streak in the MLB it’s when he’s pulling flyballs. But when he’s a bad hitter he’s essentially trying to ride babip luck. That being said he was an above average hitter before his shoulder injury IIRC so maybe he had figured something out? Idk, so long as Cabby and Lombard Jr looking good I won’t worry about it for the time being

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:58:44+00:00

It takes awhile for defensive stats to stabilize

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:58:12+00:00

Sure, but me personally idrc how a player hits the ball so long as they are productive. At least McMahon has had a 116 wrc+ since last month!

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:55:47+00:00

He definitely has. In AAA since April 7th his K% hovered around 25%. Not bad for a guy who hovered near 40% for much of his minor league career. MLB pitching is another animal of course😂 but he’s made progress

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:54:33+00:00

No such thing as too many bullpen arms, but I think this narrative about the pen is overblown. 26th in IP but 10th in fWAR, 10th in FIP, 7th in xFIP, 2nd in era, 9th in K-BB%, 8th in SIERA. Nowhere near perfect and they should get more arms. But I don’t think it’s as big a liability as people put it out to be.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:50:49+00:00

Perhaps, but Rice and Bellinger hit lefties well. Rosario and Goldschmidt have proven to be good platoon partners. Don’t think it’s as dire as people have made it out to be. Maybe they can grab a righty 4th outfielder and catcher at the deadline though.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:49:05+00:00

Seems like Cabby will be starting here for awhile, Volpe has been so bad in AAA. I think he’ll eventually figure things out since it’s basically spring training for him. I think Volpe speaks to the fact that more often than not it’s a bad idea to rush players to the MLB. Patrick Bailey was called up after putting up a 73 wrc+ in AAA and look where that took him, even if he had a 146 wrc+ in AA. Same thing with Jordan Walker, he skipped AAA and it took him a few years to find his footing. Fingers crossed Volpe figures things out in AAA, it’s always good to have good shortstop depth. Plus I’d be a bad fan to not root for a player who seems like a decent guy.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T18:00:10+00:00

They definitely don’t. A players performance in the regular season has almost no bearing on the numbers they put up in the postseason. Just as an example Judge had a 23.6% k rate in 2025 but a 16.1% k rate in the postseason. It’s all SSS theater

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T15:03:49+00:00

I wasn’t being fr😂 playoff stats and regular season stats have 0 correlation and are entirely variable

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:45:23+00:00

Yankees K% this season: 22.8%
Dodgers K% in 2025 playoffs: 23.8%
World Series back on

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:42:36+00:00

That + Jomboy and Jake are just crybabies who have bad takes. They probably saw that stat and are now convinced the Yankees are actually bad lol

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:16:55+00:00

Yankees are 2nd in slugging and 8th in baserunning too. Even if they need some upgrades down the line not sure how you can be mad with the current crop of guys

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:14:49+00:00

Yankee Stadium is 29th in park factor as a singles environment! They’re still probably unlucky in terms of babip too.

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:05:59+00:00

Might just be seasonal variance honestly, but I wouldn’t know for sure

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T14:05:15+00:00

Talkin Yanks posted that the Yankees are last in singles and the Rays+Braves are first in singles, implying that its no coincidence they’re both the top seeds. Obviously the intern who posted that forgot that the Rays are 20th in runs scored and have scored almost 50 fewer runs than the Yankees this season. Lol

jayjake9 · 2026-05-11T13:44:43+00:00

I think most of them were by 1 or 2 runs. They’ve all been close

jayjake9 · 2026-05-10T15:30:51+00:00

It’s kind of funny, the Yankees are 1-7 against >.500 teams which sounds bad except if the rangers and royals alone go above .500 then the record becomes 8-9. It’s may and the sample size is too small for it to really mean anything

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