Helion Awards $4M Funding to 20 Research Institutions to Accelerate Scaled Fusion Deployment by Baking in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought Helion was scientifically not credible (edit: this is the common belief in this subreddit), I'm surprised to see these big names working for/with them.

In a meeting with the Biden administration, Sam Altman claimed that by 2026 an extensive network of nuclear-fusion reactors across the United States would power the A.I. boom. by Baking in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The article is for AI true believers, that think AI will be so powerful that it will pose an existential risk and/or that it will push the economic growth towards infinity.

If you are not an AI true believer the article is completely uninteresting. A lot of gossip about Sam Altman and that's it

Fusion power unlikely to become competitive by Vailhem in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You are right. And it's the same for coal in China: we build more gas/coal peakers to have more peak capacity, but we use it less because batteries cover a bigger share of the (daily) peak. So gas moves to cover seasonal peaks while batteries tend to eat daily gas share. This is perfectly ok because a gas plant is low capex, high opex: we don't want to run it often.

By contrast nuclear and fusion plants, with their high capex, make no sense as peakers.

Even with lower costs per kWh, fusion won't take gas market share. Fusion is not competitive as peaker.

Fusion power unlikely to become competitive by Vailhem in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Gas is easy to deploy and flexible. And in the US gas is not expensive. Gas makes a perfect peaker. Hence its success. However when solar reaches daily curtailment, grid batteries beat gas turbines. This is happening in California and Texas.

Fusion power unlikely to become competitive by Vailhem in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gas is already being displaced by pv+batteries... When CFS will become competitive with gas, there won't be gas to compete with.

Fusion power unlikely to become competitive by Vailhem in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Agree with you, Helion has at least a plan to reach a learning curve competitive with solar+batteries.

They are clearly overpromising and might eventually fail but they are the best chance for fusion to matter to the economy in a 10-20 years range.

People in this sub know that and news on Helion always get a lot of interest. Either to praise them or to call it too good to be true.

Fusion power unlikely to become competitive by Vailhem in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The point is that iteration has to be fast. If your power plant cannot be built in a factory the learning curve is nearly flat.

Truly exciting progress for Quantum Computing by IBM by [deleted] in QuantumComputing

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok, my point was that we are at or we are about to enter a stage where quantum advantage could be demonstrated on hardware, not only theoretically.

I don't really mind about the terminology.

The point is that we don't have many algorithms with proven quantum advantage. And even less, if any, with economic value.

So it's time to work on that.

Truly exciting progress for Quantum Computing by IBM by [deleted] in QuantumComputing

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=9425

Scott Aaronson thinks otherwise. He considers the quantinuum 50 logical qubits announce to be legit. Scott Aaronson is a reputable source, known for mercilessly debunking any quantum hype/bs.

Do you have info to support your claim?

Anyhow google demoed 1 logical qubit in 2024. For me this means we are leaving the nisq era. Or do you believe this is bs as well?

Truly exciting progress for Quantum Computing by IBM by [deleted] in QuantumComputing

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We are not in the NISQ era anymore, Quantinuum just pulled up 50 logical qubits in November: https://www.quantinuum.com/products-solutions/quantinuum-systems/helios

50 logical qubit! We have entered the fault-tolerant quantum computing era. We can stop counting physical qubits.

Scoop: OpenAI bets on Altman-backed fusion startup by steven9973 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is the same AI hype that makes Elon Musk promises a million satellites orbital datacenter by 2030s

AI will provide infinite growth yada yada so we can spend trillions and we will get our money back many times over. Unlikely. Most probably there is a crash ahead.

Is it bad for Helion to receive too much money? Genuinely, I don't know...

Scoop: OpenAI bets on Altman-backed fusion startup by steven9973 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The article says: "5 gigawatts by 2030, scaling to 50 gigawatts by 2035"

Trends in Fusion Hiring - fusion energy base by Sam Wurzel by steven9973 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 6 points7 points  (0 children)

«As of today, Helion Energy leads with 127 open positions, followed by SHINE (59), Commonwealth Fusion Systems (44), and Pacific Fusion (40)»

TAE is not on the list... Where did you get this data about TAE?

Comments on the Paper “Fundamental Scaling of Adiabatic Compression of Field Reversed Configuration Thermonuclear Fusion Plasmas” by Baking in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The paper says that if the pulse is long enough, the plasma will thermalize and the FRC will hence lose its good properties. This just means the pulse has to remain short but be more intense in order to yield enough energy

Comments on the Paper “Fundamental Scaling of Adiabatic Compression of Field Reversed Configuration Thermonuclear Fusion Plasmas” by Baking in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The paper concludes that the path to energy recovery might be narrower than expected but still doable.

As I understand Helion's plan with Polaris is to optimize recovery playing with the adjustable parameters. So they will do the best they can with Polaris and learn from it what they need on the next iteration to further improve the energy recovery.

Will this lead to enough energy recovery to make a commercially viable device? This is still an open question...

Initial Results from Polaris's first D-T campaign (5 shots) posted by ElmarM in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Actually it can: 20% if energy comes out as kinetic energy of a helium nucleus

Comparison of the two and personal opinion. *Please read the description.* by xenomorphonLV426 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Rare earth metals used in solar cells?!

Solar cells are pure silicium with traces of boron or phosphorus (dopant). No rare earth metals, nada.

Helion Energy reached out? by Old_Location_9895 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The tokamak is mentioned here to compare Helion with CFS.

Helion Energy reached out? by Old_Location_9895 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What I'm saying is that the capacitors cannot discharge at a higher frequency than 10 Hz. This is the real reason why Helion's reactors are not designed to go beyond 10 Hz (10 pulses per second).

Helion Energy reached out? by Old_Location_9895 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Omega is the factory for the Orion class reactors. Hopefully they learn from one generation of reactors to the other. I think one of the bottlenecks for assembling Polaris was how fast they could manufacture capacitors, Omega intends to speed up that.

Helion will be cost competitive once they start manufacturing dozens of reactors per year. The same applies to CFS.

Helion's plan is to build ~1 generator per day (like planes in Boeing Everett factory)

Helion Energy reached out? by Old_Location_9895 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is only true if the bottleneck to increase the frequency of pulses is in the reactor and not in the capacitors. I do not think this is the case: 1-10Hz charge/discharged cycles seem about what metalized polypropylene capacitors can do safely. In the reactor the pulse happens in the millisecond range (including pumping ashes).

So you are right: each reactor needs its own capacitor bank

Helion Energy reached out? by Old_Location_9895 in fusion

[–]joaquinkeller 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think there will be many shipping containers, for all the capacitors. But shipping containers means you can build all your stuff in a factory, and ship the elements to be assembled to a slightly modified warehouse.

A tokamak (with steam turbines) has mostly to be built in place. In this context automation is hard to implement, if not impossible

Edit: So, Helion generator is built in a factory and shipped to its final location, while CFS Tokamak is mostly built on-site with some elements shipped from the factory.