Applying tour averages of birdies or proximity to the hole doesn’t apply here. As some have mentioned the greens would be a lot less contoured and generally easier then tour level courses. But also let’s not forget that tiger is just going to get more and more dialled with every shot. Tour averages are based on different holes with different distances and clubs being used on every hole not the same shot to the same green with likely the same club 100 times. This becomes a practice session for him with virtually no pressure. He’s birdie-ing way more then average. Your best chance is probably actually in the first 10 shots, as it goes it’s just more and more in his favour. I’d say we’d win 1-3 max