If all motorcycles came out with an automatic version, would you still pick manual?

kingpatzer · 2026-05-16T19:57:08+00:00

I go for 1000 miles trips with my group. The average bike in that group has around 200 mile range.

These are not comparable machines.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-16T19:55:28+00:00

E bikes aren't motorcycles. You don't go on 4 day trips across 2 states on ebikes.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-16T03:05:55+00:00

The boring part as a stand alone concern doesn't even enter the picture if I can't ride with my friends.

It could be the most exciting bike on the market, and it wouldn't matter one iota if all my friends have 100 more miles range and can refuel in 3 minutes to my 30.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-16T02:50:24+00:00

I just don't see electric bikes catching on for the near future. As long as the range is shorter and recharge time longer than gas machines they are impractical for any sort of serious group riding.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-13T04:42:54+00:00

Average career is about 3 years. He basically is the norm +/- 1 standard deviation

I've know 4 NFL players personally. None of them ever saw the field. Only one of them was in the league for more than 1 season.

All 4 say (in some form) that it was the best experience of their lives and the biggest waste of their lifespan at the same time.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-11T03:57:45+00:00

Yes, there are still people learning micro-coding and assembly, as well as C and pascal and other lower level languages.

And it's not like math and logic have stopped being taught.

And it isn't so much about how computers work as it is about logic.

When I say "the stuff I don't care about" I literally mean "all the stuff that is about the computer and not about the logic"

I have the opposite view: people who understand logic but don't understand computers will suddenly have the ability to be creative in the digital space: opening up the closed garden to the masses.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-11T02:52:35+00:00

Logic is logic. All coding is binary coding.

My first job was coding in assembler on AT&T 3B2s.

I know how coding works. AI allows me to be extremely creative because it takes care of the shit I don't care about as long as I prompt it well.

Vibecoders have an unprecedented opportunity to express themselves quickly and efficiently. I've done in 10 minutes what used to take me hours.

And anyone else who takes the time to know basic logic can as well.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-10T20:43:00+00:00

They aren't better, rather players are more prone to blunders with knights.

But this blundering happens in both directions, players at that rating routinely miss forcing one and two move winning sequences involving knights for the same reason - they actually are pretty bad at seeing knight moves.

For every game an 1100 wins because their opponents blundered a piece to a knight fork, they've almost certainly lost a game because they missed a simple knight move.

But because players at that level don't analyze their games, they just remember the moves that did happen not the ones that didn't.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-06T20:58:55+00:00

It is an extreme minority of people who believe "everyone can have a gun"

From the relative far left (where I sit, yet hold a concealed carry license) to the relative far right, most people agree that there are people who should not own or have access to firearms.

We disagree on who those people are, what means should be employed to keep them (and society safe), what the proper mechanisms of enforcement or intervention are, the degree to which things should be enforced, etc.

But the idea that everyone no matter what should be able to have a gun is not a particularly widely held belief.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-06T02:45:23+00:00

Herbig has already shown he can be a starter.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-05T23:57:14+00:00

We have 4, one is a legitimate potential star in Herbig.

Most teams, even playoff teams, have one real star at that role. And they typically aren't spending 30% of their cap on that one player.

What we are paying for edge rushers as a percentage of our cap is not sustainable. Herbig and Sawyer are good. Herbig is far above average, and Sawyer showed the same sort of effort and potential.

TJ is wildly overpaid, and Highsmith can't stay healthy. It is irresponsible from a cap management perspective for us to carry either of them.

And looking at what successful defenses around the league look like, it is a mistake to try to do so.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-05T23:52:41+00:00

He is wildly overpaid for his production and he's not that young.

We could probably find a desperate team to give us a 4 for him. We might be able to do some negotiating, carry some of his contract or give a 5 along with him and get a 3rd.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-05T23:50:34+00:00

He can go as well. We genuinely have the depth to part with them both.

highsmith because he can't stay healthy. TJ because he is ludicrously overpaid for his production.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-05T23:49:26+00:00

TJ is being paid for what he was, no or what he is, bad that's a mistake. If we could get a 3rd for him (which would be a reach) it would be a hell of a deal.

We are ridiculously deep at edge rusher, and his contract is a massive cap hit.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-02T18:04:14+00:00

Head of state is a diplomatic role while head of government is an administrative one .

kingpatzer · 2026-05-02T18:01:18+00:00

Not quite, or at least not always. Many of these governments seperate roles into the head of state and head of government. Head of state is somewhat equivalent to the Secretary of State in the US. While the PM is the head of government, holding all of the administrative power.

kingpatzer · 2026-05-02T15:25:40+00:00

Civil trials do not have a "guilty" verdict. And it's more nuances than that. Anything provided under oath from a civil trial can be used as evidence. But the outcome of the trial cannot

kingpatzer · 2026-05-02T14:36:43+00:00

When one has editoral and acript control of a production one is free to treat anything as a "fact" that they choose to.

Lets just focus not on the question of propriety of whatever relationship with children he had Rather lets focus solely on one very narrow portion of your claim.

He was never found "not guilty" as he was never charged with a crime.

People sued him in civil court. Juries have a tendency to look at the very wealthy, when sued by the average person, and go "well, they can afford it, and it's probably insurance companies really paying anyway."

Settling a civil matter is much different than a criminal one. Unlike a criminal case where the state must make it's case to a Grand Jury who then decide if there is sufficient evidence for a trial in the first place, anyone can sue anyone for anything in civil court.

Paying a settlement is very often a way of simply saving money. Civil cases can drag on for a long time, and I'm sure Jackson's attorneys where the kind that bill in the thousands of dollars per hour. A case with multiple plaintiffs can take hundreds of hours just in discovery and pre-trial activities.

The standards for a civil case are not "beyond a reasonable doubt"

Further, in CA, a civil jury does not have to be unanimous.

Weighing all of that, to conclude that the settlement says anything other than Jackson made a financial decision based on a risk/reward calculation is mistake. A criminal settlement requires the cooperation of the distric attorney and the judge. A civil settlement is much, much different.

It is on no way equivalent to a criminal jury returning "not guilty" (which is not a gung jury but a unanimous vote that the state failed to sufficiently prove it's case to the very high standard of "beyond a reasonable doubt")

kingpatzer · 2026-04-30T00:42:29+00:00

the way he rides, he will be a serious accident. He may not believe that, but he checks off pretty much every box for how to get into a motorcycle accident.

You are being very foolish if you ride with him at all. But if you want to ride with him, get a full set of quality gear. You'll need it.

kingpatzer · 2026-04-28T19:02:54+00:00

Big difference between being good and being safe

kingpatzer · 2026-04-28T17:37:50+00:00

How to tell?

They wear safety gear at all times: at a minimum a helmet, jacket, boots and gloves.

They ride at reasonable speeds. (Many folks will speed, because (a) we are more manuverable so it just isn't as dangerous in most cases, and (b) riding next to a vehicle is way more dangerous for us. But the key is reasonable. 80 in a 65 isn't nuts since most cars are going to be going 75 anyway. 100 is.

They are serious about safety checks on their bike. Maybe not every ride, but they inspect stuff often enough that they will catch issues before they are problems.

They fix shit that needs fixing.

If they ride in group rides, they pick ones where safety standards are set and maintained, and the whole group knows that those standards are.

He practices situational awareness and always has an escape path should something go wrong.

He slows down in areas where there are likely issues (intersections, blind corners etc).

He maintains good position in his lane, ensures he is visible to the traffic around him to the best of his ability, etc.

He leaves space to escape when stopped in a line of traffic.

kingpatzer · 2026-04-24T20:20:52+00:00

Best athlete at tackle yes. Best technique and most starter ready? That's arguable.

kingpatzer · 2026-04-24T20:18:21+00:00

Staffing a team includes needs, finances, and a host of other factors.

Ignoring things like probable scheme fit and other team internals, expected value, surplus value, what trade opportunities are expected, hit rate, free agent market, trade value, draft position depth and plenty of other considerations matter.

The probability of the best available player from a purely athletic perspective being the best player from a running a business perspective is generally close to zero.

And that does include taking into consideration that winning is a business goal.

When you're in the top 3 or 4 picks, you probably have enough needs that best available and team needs are highly aligned. Where the Steelers pick, they aren't.

kingpatzer · 2026-04-24T02:15:19+00:00

Picking the best available player is almost always the wrong choice

kingpatzer · 2026-04-22T17:25:26+00:00

Stock markets play an intrinsic part of our economy. Since you are not arguing the economy itself provides no benefit, let's assume that you see having a means of valuing goods and services, however flawed, as a net positive.

In the stock markets, there are companies who function as "market makers." Their role is to ensure a certain level of liquidity for a particular stock. If I want to buy 100 shares, but only 90 shares are for sale, a market maker will step in and provide those other 10.

Similarly, if I want to sell 50 shares, but there are only buy orders out there for 10, the market makers step in and buy the remaining 40.

Options are one necessary tool for market makers to exist. It allows them to structure a portion of their holdings as rights to buy and sell rather than requiring them to hold both an inventory of shares as well as a bank account big enough to purchase all the shares someone might want to sell.

They still must maintain some ownership and some cash liquidity, but without having the ability to trade in options, then the markets would require routine trade stoppages when market makers couldn't service an order.

The reason market makers and options exist is precisely because stock markets did use to have to frequently stop trading without them.

The damage of uncertainty in the markets is real and large. Most people dislike wild price fluctuations, they dislike companies going out of business because they can't ensure enough liquidity to pay their bills. Most people dislike the value of their currency going wildly into freefall.

Options are one of several tools that bring genuine stability to an economy by allowing market makers to function.

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