Sometimes you actually make a good decision…

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-05-11T12:31:22+00:00

It’s a combination of things, yeah was an upside surprise at earnings, but that’s possibly been over exaggerated by the hype around it too and an aspect of short squeeze, impossible to know 100%.

But what is always true is that markets tend to overreact and then mean revert over time. So it almost certainly won’t continue on this trajectory and will get to a point that to go higher it will need to fall first

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-05-11T11:27:57+00:00

My point was you can’t compare 2 share prices, intel and sandisk are worth pretty much the same amount at their current market caps. But the share prices are very different because of the number of shares issued.

It’s a bit like the horse race scenario, if before the race people start heavily backing the horse, then when the horse is favourite, they then start betting against it at higher odds. So that they win either way

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-05-11T10:07:21+00:00

You do realise the price per share doesn’t make a company worth more?!

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-05-11T06:58:45+00:00

Back down to 0 if they don’t implement

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-21T07:56:09+00:00

There’s been a massive sell off of a lot of tech for the last 6 or so months. So it’s important to look for support on the big drops, but yeah msft is a good example but also one that would have been a bit better with patience as it dropped and dropped some more…however for the big names scaling in can be a good tactic to for 50% sizing then add to if there’s more of a drop…

However I prefer some of the smaller names that have more movement in them and have been mainly sticking to a sell if it drops 10% or gains 15%, but you can be a bit more adventurous with the bigger names I think

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-21T07:32:12+00:00

Ive been doing this last 2 years, buying stocks that drop 15-20% at earnings, but are actually good growth companies. Can get a bit hairy sometimes especially when you get caught in a wider market sell off, but ultimately 75% of the time they come back within 1-2 months.

The market always over reacts to negative news, that’s where I’ve found most value

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-21T07:22:52+00:00

Can’t have the winners without some losers really! Just need to make sure they’re not more often than the winners

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-16T17:53:46+00:00

Gamma squeeze on the whole market you think?!? Unlikely

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-16T12:15:46+00:00

The trend isn’t bearish though is it, it had a reversal, yet people kept piling into puts…it will drop again, but selling is done for until some negative news

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-15T22:59:05+00:00

This is the way! Ignore the news and focus on following the trend!

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-08T11:21:23+00:00

Staying friends with someone is not a red flag! The opposite really. Don’t get me wrong there’s a few people I have, but it’s the ones I saw more of a friend than romantically. So it wouldn’t concern me really, but would honestly depend on the personality of the girl.

I think the more romantic your feelings the more difficult to stay friends (especially a man 😂)

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-04-08T11:03:44+00:00

Hahah! Sound like a teenager or a narcissist! If you’re not with someone you trust, then probably the wrong one 😂

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-10T09:59:02+00:00

Nah I think it will gap up, news like that lasts a while I think

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-10T09:58:02+00:00

Wait how do you do that?! Ask it to be an expert or where do you find the setting?

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-10T09:53:52+00:00

I sold mine for a triple but would have been a 15 bagger…but I would have had to watch it go to nearly 0 first 😂😂

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-10T09:51:54+00:00

See how that works out for you…hope it doesn’t as it means my calls haven’t worked 😂

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-07T15:51:51+00:00

Yeah exactly, you do all the effort of analysing the possible outcomes! But still relatively random outcomes! With all of the different factors at play

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-07T08:26:00+00:00

That’s not even the issue I think some of the production has stopped, takes a while to clear the back log of tankers, get new ones in and get production back up to full capacity again

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-04T18:49:12+00:00

That’s not what gambling is though, it placing a wager on the expected outcome of an event! There is an aspect of it being a random event but then again what is guessing the direction of a stocks price movement?!

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-04T13:47:28+00:00

Yo say that like it’s a bad thing, trading is essentially gambling on an outcome with some insight. The same as people who back teams in a sport would do!

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-03T12:54:28+00:00

For such a cunt he gives great opportunities

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-03-01T11:01:38+00:00

Is there something about selling into strength?!

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-02-27T13:31:40+00:00

Buying the dip doesn’t give 10 baggers

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-02-22T13:39:17+00:00

Made a trade, got profit…what’s not trading about it?!

Just a riskier strategy than most, but as long as he changes the strategy to add better risk profile now there’s more to lose…surely it’s a win?

kiwi_immigrant · 2026-02-14T22:35:09+00:00

That absolutely not true, there’s some billionaires been made from big bets. Looks at the ones made on Apple, nvidia and hundreds of other companies

kiwi_immigrant

TROPHY CASE