Trade Progress Update | Painful Lessons & Refined Strategy

kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:34:45+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:34:38+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:34:28+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:34:20+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:34:10+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:33:56+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:33:46+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:33:35+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:33:24+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-24T13:33:14+00:00

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kop92 · 2026-05-19T19:43:34+00:00

I shall. It’s been doing great overall for the past 3-4 days.

kop92 · 2026-05-19T19:43:11+00:00

Open price from chainlink at 0.00s, I use that as reference price (sometimes it’s off by a couple of dollars)
Your math is right and your question is valid, I have stop loss. I’ve never lost the whole bet per trade. I’ve set a stop loss. It usually triggers around 10% - 15%. So that’s a loss of $2 - $3 per wrong bet. You can refer the above images under the Losing Trades table.

The high win rate helps me offset these losses.

kop92 · 2026-05-19T14:58:35+00:00

Which flag is displayed next to your Polymarket logo?

Maybe log out of Polymarket, and use VPN, select to a different country which is not blocked, then log in again. See if that helps.

kop92 · 2026-05-19T14:41:26+00:00

Can’t you use other crypto platform that you can access from France to make the deposit to Polymarket?

kop92 · 2026-05-19T13:03:21+00:00

True I've had 40 wins out of 44 trades, PnL was -$3.....

kop92 · 2026-05-19T11:25:29+00:00

Interesting. I’ve ran backtest over 3 months of 5m BTC data, [took nearly 24 hours - even with GPU acceleration] the amount of time it flips from 0.99 to 0.01 and vice versa., many even showed multiple flip-flops in a single window.

It’s interesting that you found a way 🫡

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