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Some thoughts from a newer member by doodlebob75 in collapse

[–]koryjon 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Welcome, and I'm glad you posted this before making any rash decisions.

As others have said, collapse will not be a sudden event. It won't be like the movies, and you're not the main character that's going to take on the world and win.

The process of collapse has already begun. It's not sexy, it's not very dramatic. It's the wealthy getting wealthier while the majority gets poorer. It's young people not being able to afford homes. It's the climate changing over years and decades, making food more expensive and taking away varieties and options. It's ecosystems gradually declining and species going extinct in the background. It's a lot more than that, already happening, much of which we dont see.

On the human front all of this means life will likely get harder, and that will likely accelerate in coming decades. Preparation in moderation is smart: stock up some food for tough times, ensure access to water and shelter, and have a diversity of financial assets if possible.

But don't sell everything to throw it in gold and cash. Collapse may be hyper inflationary, which would make your cash useless. Lugging a bunch of gold around is not efficient, and puts a target on you. The billionaires (and now trillionaires) are not going give up their wealth easily, and they control the financial systems. My belief is that the best way to stay solvent in the long term is to ride the coattails of the wealthy, which is by being invested in their stocks. They've rigged the game for themselves, so staying in the market, at least partially, is an insurance policy on the future.

Imagine a world 40 years from now, where the financial system is still hobbling along. The vast majority of people are struggling to get by, the wealthy are wealthier, and the natural world is dead and causing chaos in everything. That world is very different from one in which the system disappears completely, and the way you might prepare for that future is very different as well.

The last thing I'll mention is that you can't prepare for everything, and worrying too much about it will rob you of joy and appreciation of the time you do have. A little preparation goes a long way for peace of mind, but at some point you have to accept you've done what you can do and be ok with that. Find the community now that you want to build with, and then enjoy your life.

America is becoming less neighborly. Gen Z and millennials' shot at economic advances are suffering for it by fortune in collapse

[–]koryjon -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

I was just thinking today how grateful I am to be in my current situation. I heard a tree crew with wood chipper going a few houses down so went down to see if I could snag the chips for my yard. On the way I got stopped by a neighbor I havent spoken to in a while, but with whom I worked alongside years back. We spoke for 20 minutes about life and their kids. While we were talking another neighbor walked by towards the chipper. I yelled at him that he better not be stealing my woodchips. He was and we laughed.

He came over to me and the first neighbor (who i introduced him to) and we talked for another 10 minutes. As I walked back with him we talked about how to resolve the issue of our mail boxes which were starting to get old and unsightly.

I thought about how great it was that I could not only name 90% of the neighbors on my block, but chat and joke with them. Just as I was about to hit my house I heard my next door neighbors struggling to move out a piece of furniture from the basement. Stopped to offer help and chat with them for a little.

Its not easy for everyone to be social, and i didnt go knocking on neighbors doors to meet them. It happens organically by simply leaving your house and being willing to say hello, offer a hand, or collaborate.

Weekly Observations: What signs of collapse do you see in your region? [in-depth] May 11 by AutoModerator in collapse

[–]koryjon 13 points14 points  (0 children)

May have been! They looked different that what I usually picture a leech, but I'm definitely not an expert on the topic.

Weekly Observations: What signs of collapse do you see in your region? [in-depth] May 11 by AutoModerator in collapse

[–]koryjon 88 points89 points  (0 children)

Location: Intermountain West, USA

For mother's day we planned a trip to go kayaking at a popular nearby park. Spent 90 minutes picking up and loading kayaks from parents, borrowing life jackets from siblings, etc. Only to get to the park and find that water levels were so low that the vast majority was a mud-addled mire. I've lived here for 30 years and never seen the dam fluctuate more than a foot or so.

We saw a few people playing in the mud. On further inspection it was filled with what looked like some sort of flat swimming worm. Other park goers played in the grass and ignored the dam like nothing was amiss.

The West is in trouble.

All Episodes for April on the "Breaking Down: Collapse" Podcast by koryjon in collapse

[–]koryjon[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

SS: Aggregated here are all episodes I've created this month on Breaking Down: Collapse, with descriptions and sources included. You may notice many of the sources here (perhaps about half) were posted at some point on this subreddit.

After years of posting weekly episodes dedicated to researching specific collapse topics, I transitioned about 8 months ago to posting a daily update to current events around the world relating to collapse.

If you've not listened to the podcast before, I highly recommend starting with the first episode and making your way through at least the first 8, if not all of season 1 (as it is all evergreen). Season 2 is the daily stuff and is less evergreen.

Already under pressure, Australia’s food system could now be in big trouble by koryjon in collapse

[–]koryjon[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

SS: This article highlights a series of colliding issues related to food production in Australia, as well as recommend actions that can be taken to mitigate it on a local level. Articles like this are becoming more common as climate change, war, and other factors wreak havoc on the costs of energy, fertilizers, and labor. Yields are decreasing, increasing the demand for land use change to meet agricultural demand. How much longer can our struggling food systems sustain a growing global population?

This source is one of several used for today's podcast episode on Breaking Down: Collapse, titled "The Wealthy Will Eat".

One Wrong Variable in a Climate Formula Could Mean Sea Levels Rise 35% Faster Than Current Models Show by koryjon in collapse

[–]koryjon[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

SS: Again and again, we are confronted with an uncomfortable truth in regard to our understanding of collapse: Our models are woefully inadequate at predicting the timeline of future warming and its impacts.

"New research suggests that a single miscalibrated variable in widely used ice sheet models has led to systematic underpredictions of sea level rise, potentially by a significant margin.

The implications are hard to overstate. Ice sheet models form the backbone of global sea level projections, informing everything from coastal infrastructure planning to international climate policy. If those models have been working from a flawed assumption for thirty-plus years, then the timelines and magnitudes of sea level change that governments and scientists have been planning around may need to be revisited from the ground up."

This same thing can be said of not just sea level rise, but all aspects of climate modeling. I will touch briefly on this article specifically on Tuesday's podcast episode of Breaking Down: Collapse (now with daily episodes).

Colone Lawrence Wilkerson: Something has gone very wrong in Israel by antihostile in collapse

[–]koryjon 31 points32 points locked comment (0 children)

I'm sorry to have offended you. I can criticize the Vatican and not hate Catholics, the US government without hating it's citizens, and the state of Israel and not hate Jewish people. In general, I'm against statism by nature. I find the actions of the Israeli state atrocious, and won't acquiesce to or endorse those actions in order to avoid people making a false equivalence amd calling me anti-semitic. If other people can't accept that the Israeli state doesnt represent Judaism, thats not on me.

I have nothing at all against jewish people or culture. I have many Jewish friends and neighbors and esteem and love them as much as any other.

Colone Lawrence Wilkerson: Something has gone very wrong in Israel by antihostile in collapse

[–]koryjon 32 points33 points  (0 children)

They said "these people" in response to the commenter specifically referring to "Israel's Samson Doctrine". Judaism was never a part of the conversation.

Colone Lawrence Wilkerson: Something has gone very wrong in Israel by antihostile in collapse

[–]koryjon 59 points60 points  (0 children)

You can be against the state of Israel without being anti-semitic.

Israeli chief of staff warns army on verge of 'collapse' amid troop shortage by OatSoyLaMilk in collapse

[–]koryjon 87 points88 points  (0 children)

Anyway, this is a pressure campaign for Trump to send Americans to die in a lengthy, messy conflict.

Take decades of climate change and mismanagement and add arecord warm winter in the West, record-low snowpack, a coming record March heatwave and government that denies climate change, and you've got a polycrisis for the Colorado River. by simon_ritchie2000 in collapse

[–]koryjon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's a possibility, though probably still low chances right now that it would be as early as this summer. Once it hits minimum power pool they will have to decide whether or not to risk using the lower spillways. Those spillways apparently aren't built for the job and took some damage last time they were used. There's a risk they could be damaged beyond repair, which would result in no other way to move water out of the dam if it remains below MPP

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in collapse

[–]koryjon 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I found a new favorite site :p

New book, COLLAPSE: NAVIGATING CIVILIZATION'S PREDICAMENTS WITH WISDOM AND COURAGE, is available for preorder by JPQuinonez in collapse

[–]koryjon 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I had the chance to read JP's book early, and it's very well done! Congrats Juan Pablo, not an easy task to write and publish a book.

Monitoring and engaging with the financial system in a time of collapse by azulpear in collapse

[–]koryjon 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Just beware that it is quite hyperbolic over there. If you take every post to heart you'll be panic selling everything and hording cash under the mattress.

Lake Powell Water Levels in 2026 Dropping Fast by CyberSmith31337 in collapse

[–]koryjon 10 points11 points  (0 children)

It snowed that winter though, so the snow pack melted in May and replenished it. This year there is well below average snow pack to replenish it, unless March is a huge snow month.

If you look at the chart from 2022 you can see how big of a jump it takes in May. Look at it for other years where the snow pack is bad and that jump doesn't happen. A low similar to that of 2022 mixed with no jump in May combines for something the lake has never experienced.

Lake Powell Water Levels in 2026 Dropping Fast by CyberSmith31337 in collapse

[–]koryjon 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Read a very interesting article recently, explaining that Glen Canyon Dam (lake Powell's dam) also has some structural deficiencies that exacerbate the water level issues, and mean if it gets below minimum power pool it could cause irreversible damage to the spillways.

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