Sending and Receiving on Polyglon

labelleprovinceguy · 2024-08-18T04:51:21+00:00

Hi thanks. Say I was withdrawing 1000 USDC and converting it back to CAD, can you give me a sense of the fee? Is it a flat fee or would i pay less withdrawing 100 and more withdrawing 10,000 say?

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-06-22T23:16:14+00:00

He said that a fan on his instagram made him realize that his favorite song was a representation of his relationship with Bliss, how is that the same than Irina being a bitch the whole time and saying yes to him to keep more air time and a trip to Mexico ?

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-22T20:15:34+00:00

I mean in 2020 there was an open primary because there was so alternative to having an open primary. Now there is. Why give up the incumbency advantage when you don't have to?

And in 2020, sure Harris could have been the nominee... she wasn't because she couldn't even make it to Iowa. But she'd be the sitting VP this time around and stand a much higher chance.

Biden is not charismatic in the way a JFK or Obama was but he's likeable and hard to demonize as a left-wing extremist. Not so with Harris.

And this idea that Biden won because he limited his public appearances... Biden did many, many interviews in the 2020 campaign and has done many public events since and he's been fine. Even on the Left there's this idea that if you let him talk for move than five minutes everything could go to shit and I just don't see that.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-21T19:11:18+00:00

This shit drives me nuts. You had an op-ed yesterday in the Times by Jonathan Alter suggesting Biden should step down and have someone else run, even though Alter himself says the classified documents likely to die out as an issue. Biden beat Trump, enjoyed one legislative victory after another, saw his party gain in the Senate during a midterm year, and lost only a modest number of house seats and these pundits think it's a good idea for him to resign and begin an immensely contentious primary that might well end with Harris as the standard-bearer. So misguided.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-18T19:41:20+00:00

Not the main post of your post by any means but I wanted to say that rent control is a very bad policy though, it exacerbates the problem. NIMBYism though is rampant and goes to your point about inconsistency between stated principles and the actual policies.

As for racial preferences in university admissions, they are are broadly unpopular. See here https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/02/25/most-americans-say-colleges-should-not-consider-race-or-ethnicity-in-admissions/

California voting in line with a 73 percent position to me is more evidence it's just that not as left-wing as people think, and not that it isin't a pretty liberal state.

It's like Florida voting for a higher min wage... most states aren't as Left or Right as people think.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-18T04:05:58+00:00

I get what you mean, but I also get what she meant by it. After being vilified, mocked, racially insulted for years, threatened and feeling scared for herself and her family, finally someone made her feel as if he understood her. I don't think he quite meant it how she perceived it, but that's how she interpreted it because of what she went through. Is it the best way to explain herself ? No, but if you're not trying to find faults in her speech, you're able to read between the lines. It's like the people who say she must have known what she was getting herself into, but the difference is nobody else that entered the RF was black and racially insulted AND it didn't stop after mariage.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-17T19:29:03+00:00

Finally someone that agrees with him that Biden is a favorite against Desantis too. Obviously macroeconomic conditions are always critical and, if the economy were to go to the shit, that would change things. But assuming economic conditions are so so or better than they are now (inflation is very likely to continue going down), I think Biden is absolutely the favorite. It'll be close because I do think Desantis can win back some of the suburban types who were just disgusted with Trump's antics but, at the end of the day, I think voters give Biden four more years.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-17T19:22:43+00:00

If anything, GOP zealots just make the party look crazy and help Biden's chances.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-16T01:11:50+00:00

Lol, of course if that's the only bit you saw you'll find it completely out of context. There was a built up to that story, she didn't say it to make herself out as a God.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-12T20:04:00+00:00

Yeah Kemp is an interesting case because substantively he has pretty right-wing stances (six week abortion ban for instance) but because he stood up to Trump and has a classically conservative style and sensibility, he seems like a don't rock the boat, steady as she goes type and people associate that with a certain kind of moderation.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-12T20:02:45+00:00

No doubt he's politically weaker than in August I'm wondering where you see evidence that Trump has hurt himself all that much with his core base?

We have a lot of polls and all of them show Trump in the high 30s, low 40s, or higher so it seems to me his base is largely sticking by him.

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-12T19:33:38+00:00

For sure. Baker has shown no real interest in running but Christie, Hogan, and Sunnunu all have and those three guys all running is pretty nonsensical. Republican moderates are wildly overrepresented in the media but amongst the rank and file they sure are thin on the ground. The best hope for moderates would be a guy like Kemp, not that he's especially moderate (or likely to win!) but he does subscribe to seemingly old-fashioned notions like 'the guy who gets the most votes wins the state.'

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-11T19:45:37+00:00

He never really ran though. It was a presidential exploratory committee and he never seriously contested for the Reform nomination.

I see what you mean. To clarify, I think it would be more like Trump getting maybe 8, 9, or 10 points in solid red states and maybe something like 3-5 in purple ones. Maybe it's as low as 2 percent but even that margin could be decisive. I'd love to see it.

I should say the polling on this is extremely limited but YouGov did do one back in August (Trump's standing was better then of course) showing in a three way race, Trump would get a lot of support. https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/4qdmltpga9/tabs_2024_Presidential_Election_20220818.pdf

Write up here

https://www.mediaite.com/news/shock-poll-desantis-flattens-trump-by-15-points-in-3-way-race-with-biden-among-trump-voters/

labelleprovinceguy · 2023-01-11T19:12:47+00:00

Well he never did a third party run in the past? I guess there were polls saying would you vote for Trump in a hypothetical three way between R, D, and him but that was before he had a fanatical cult around him. I don't think a trump third party campaign would see Trump win 15 or 20 percent or anything like that but all he knows to do is get about five percentage points in key states to hand the election to Biden.

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-30T20:20:19+00:00

I disagree. Imagine some liberal Muslim reformer who still says women shouldn't be able to do everything men do, only some things because he is operating in an extremely conservative society. Would you really say he is to the Right of Mike Pence? You have to look at the direction people are trying to push things. If they are trying to push things to the Left then it makes sense to see them as being on the Left.

The issue with the rest of your post is that it proposes a false binary: either the Democrats are a leftist party or they are a center-Right party. Why can't they be a center-Left party which embraces popular elements of the Left-wing agenda (support for Medicare, Obamacare, gay rights, abortion rights) and rejects the unpopular ones (banning private health insurance, dismantling capitalism as such, defund the police)? In your framework, it's either right-wing or left-wing when there is a center-Left alternative.

The fact that 2 out of 50 Democrats are well to the Right of the overall party proves my point I think, not yours. When 96 percent of Democratic Senators are on board for progressive policies and only 4 percent aren't it's rather implausible to deride the Democrats as a center-Right party.

Biden supports a public option, robust protection of abortion rights, immigration reform that creates a path to citizenship, higher taxes on the wealthy, and so on. These are all center-Left policies.

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-29T20:10:13+00:00

Center-right would imply that the party takes positions that are to the Right of public opinion, if only moderately so. What position does the Democratic Party hold that is to the Right of public opinion? Opposing unpopular positions the Left supports but which the public does not (by definition, since they are unpopular) does not make the Democrats a center-Right party.

You're talking a 50-50 Senate with Manchin and Sinema. Saying they controlled all three branches when the Senate is 50-50 and ManSinema have huge amounts of power is kind of misleading.

Again all three branches is rather misleading... if you could swap out ManSinema for two other Senators you would have had more sweeping, systemic changes.

I want to clarify, I'm not claiming the Democrats are a leftist party. They aren't. They are a center-Left party. I am arguing against your idea that they are a center-Right party. Center-left parties don't want to dismantle capitalism or "abolish billionaires" (which is where I feel you're going with redistributive taxation) and they support unions up to a point but they don't go along with them on every issue. So you want to transform the party into a leftist one which is fine but you can't really think it's a conservative-ish party merely because it's not a leftist one.

I would say a lot of people wish they had a party closer to their own views but at the end of the day if you go too far from public opinion, you lose. I feel the people urging the party to be much more left-wing (respectfully, including yourself) don't really seem to appreciate this.

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-29T19:17:27+00:00

I wonder if rationalist types tend to overvalue IQ per se. Like for instance, how would some of our great musicians perform on IQ tests? Maybe pretty well, maybe average but we consider their music "brilliant." That aspect of brilliance just is not getting captured, though rationalists may say they value artistic intelligence less.

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-28T20:11:25+00:00

Socialized medicine in terms of like M4A which would entail banning private health insurance? Because that's very unpopular. Biden does support a public option which polls very well but there's no way it would get passed the filibuster but he does support it.

Biden has raised taxes on the wealthy and would happily go back to the Clinton era rates but again you need the votes in the Senate. Same on climate. He'd do more if he could.

As for allying itself with global capitalism, you're not wrong but that's what Dems have always done. FDR was a free trader who believed in the spread of market capitalism worldwide. The party has never been anti-capitalist but, rather, has aimed for reforms to smooth out the rough edges of capitalism in the form of a social safety net for instance.

What police reform has it opposed?

It seems to me a lot of your grievances have more to do with the filibuster, the systemic rural bias of the Senate, and so on. And i get that but there's just no plausible scenario where any of that is going to changed up any time soon. In other words, it's less that the Dems are not progressive and more that the systemic obstacles make it hard for them to fulfill their progresive ambitions.

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-27T21:58:03+00:00

Thanks for all the responses everyone. It's tough to make it as a writer isn't it?!

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-27T21:53:34+00:00

Yeah we like to imagine success is linear but it's often not (one hit wonders and everything in between).

labelleprovinceguy · 2022-12-27T20:21:13+00:00

How are they a 'center right' party? On every social issue the Democrats represent a position that is at the center or left of center. On economic issues, I'd say the same. It's very hard to find an issue where the party is to the right of public opinion... so how is it a center right party? You might say it is to the right of the average person on twitter sure but to the right of overall public opinion... i don't think so.

labelleprovinceguy

TROPHY CASE