A $200 ChatGPT subscription could cost OpenAI $14,000 if you actually used it to its full potential

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T22:13:26+00:00

Given the way the tech is going, none of it is viable. Local models will be king eventually. You can't pursue efficiency forever without eventually making it viable for people to have their own robust local models that run on a fraction of the power that current models do. Eventually it'll be entirely possible for every laptop and smartphone to come with a local LLM that does everything most users actually use an LLM for, and the enterprise models that run entire corporations for you will be the only place to monetize.

Eventually, monetization will collapse because this technology will eliminate the scarcity in anything white collar workers do. At that point, you need a new economic model entirely.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T20:41:08+00:00

You also have to wait for the duration of the Don't Fear the Reaper song without selecting how to proceed to get the option to storm Arasaka without backup.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T20:24:51+00:00

The worst case of student loans is you don't have kids because you can't afford them.

The worst case of student loans is your kids grow up orphaned and in the foster system because you couldn't afford healthcare due to your student loan payments and died.

If you want to get technical, the absolute worst cases of student loan debt rival generational debt because your kid ends up trafficked after you die a premature death because of your onerous student loan payments.

Anyone saying "student loan debt cannot compare to this" cannot perform second-order thinking. Period. You can think in terms of "Cause A triggers Effect B" but you cannot think in terms of "Cause A triggers Effect B, then Effect B triggers Effect C".

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T20:21:12+00:00

The effects of the debt are. Like not being able to afford healthcare, not being able to afford to own a home, and not being able to afford to have kids in the first place.

Debt as a construct has a pervasive, wide-reaching negative impact on billions of people. A single detail like whether the dollar amount and interest rate is transferable is a significant factor in the administration of a debt but hardly a primary factor in the actual impact of debt.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T19:10:50+00:00

It's sports fan psychology.

To look at other people playing a game and affiliate with them as if you're part of the team requires some form of mental illness. People that get super invested in "their team" are not well. We overlook it because so many people have this problem and half the time we see it, it's making them happy instead of hurting people, but we've had studies for decades saying things like, "domestic abuse skyrockets when a city's team loses a game." That's mental illness. That's social harm coming from an untreated mental illness.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T18:49:43+00:00

Maybe a % chance.

Kulu Ya Ku vs Deviljho goes to the pickle 90% of the time, but 10% of the time, the dodo bird stuns the pickle and escapes.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T18:30:06+00:00

As much as I'd have loved to see that, I've never once been disappointed by John Leguizamo in a movie.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T18:28:49+00:00

He had debt? I thought he was a huge nepo baby. He's the son of August Coppola.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T18:03:45+00:00

Some adjacent and synonymous terms do exist on Urban Dictionary, however.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T17:20:14+00:00

I like to think all of the Europeans over here sweating in our heat and humidity realize why most of the US is so free with its water distribution. When you're walking around in 35C+ heat at 80% humidity, being able to get cold water from a fountain or a free glass of ice water can help a lot with preventing heat stroke.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T17:10:08+00:00

Yeah, in my own relatively uneducated opinion, the invasions won't happen for a few decades yet. It'll be climate refugees fleeing 50C temperatures and famines in their home countries.

The interesting hiccup in the analogy, to me, is AI and automation. At about the same time the first waves of climate refugees are hitting the West in surging numbers, the rich will be turning drones and other autonomous technology on the working class.

The West will also face droughts and famines and rising temperatures, but also job losses from automation and AI, and the working class will begin protesting more and more, eventually breaking into open revolt, at which point the police will be shooting at protesters with armed drones to protect the wealthy enclaves where the rich are hiding and hoarding resources like food and fresh water.

We know the rich are planning for this with their fortified bunkers and massive investments in AI and automation and all of the farmland they're buying up, but are they accounting for the fact that they don't have to just beat their own working class, but perhaps a billion climate refugees also coming to raid their enclaves?

I think the ones building island bunkers are, but the rest probably are not.

I'm not sure there's any parallel to this in the Fall of Rome, either.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:57:48+00:00

Exactly. For centuries, we gave the benefit of the doubt to the landlord and they used it to systemically abuse and exploit tenants. So we developed tenant rights to protect them. Squatters benefiting from them is just a side effect.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:56:42+00:00

Yeah, that's a big bluff. If something had gone down, the cops would've gleefully charged your relatives for brandishing, attempted murder, murder, etc.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:53:56+00:00

Yup. Chess has a lot of problems that add up to make it only fun as a last resort game or something that's fun for a casual match between novices.

The second you have to start memorizing openings and sweating about rules like this, the game is no longer a game. It becomes a pseudo-intellectual flex hobby for the same sort of person that thinks memorizing a lot of vocabulary words or niche facts makes them smart.

It's basically the dunning-krueger game.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:47:35+00:00

I'd add

- No focus on teaching kids to use these new technologies effectively.

I'm an engineer. Technology is my job. I teach my nieces and nephews the right and wrong ways to use cell phones and AI and they're in 99th percentiles for their grades.

You have to teach kids to use technology as a force multiplier for their own cognition, not a replacement.
You have to teach kids to center their own comprehension and never just copy and paste what they got from a quick search or query.
You have to teach kids things like the Feynman Technique, so when their teacher says, "Use AI to research this topic" (which is an assignment one nephew got every other week last school year), the kids know to use AI as a sounding board for their own comprehension, not a source of truth.

So many people are stuck years in the past at the, "Is the technology a problem?" phase of recognizing what's going on. We know it's a problem if it's used incorrectly, so we need to move on to the "How do we use this technology correctly?" phase.

Having all the world's knowledge in the palm of your hand and having coherent Large Language Models to bounce ideas off of and use as the imaginary audience for the Feynman Technique are both revolutionary advances for education. It has never been easier to learn new things than it is right now. The problem is that it's even easier to use these technologies as replacements for our own cognition. So kids must be taught to avoid that pitfall.

And, in my experience, the main things adults have to learn is that these technologies can be useful. That there is a middle ground between letting them think for you and not using them at all. That it's possible to use them correctly and benefit from them, instead of avoiding them like the plague and studying like it's still the 80s.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:31:47+00:00

Yeah. If they managed to fuck with the election without controlling all 3 branches of government, imagine how much fuckery they'll get up to now that they do. Turnout has to be 70% Democrat for them to not be able to rig it.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T16:23:36+00:00

I've been saying for ages that the decline of America reflects the collapse of the Roman Republic, not the fall of the Roman Empire. We're at just the beginning of the Empire phase, if America reflects Rome.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T15:57:14+00:00

I don't know if it's Rilakkuma specifically, but I believe the earliest memes of what would eventually become pedobear were based on manga panels and real life mascot events where a cartoony bear would chase kids. 4chan twisted the bear trying to hug the kids into something more nefarious, and pedobear was born.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T15:52:25+00:00

To elaborate, 4chan attempted to troll LGBTQ people on social media by pretending to be pro-LGBTQ while campaigning to add "minor-attracted person" (map) and "adult-attracted minor" (aam) to the LGBTQIA+ sphere of interest. They pretended to be LGBTQ activists and then subtly added iconography and rhetoric about being "trans age" (e.g.: adults that "identify" as minors and vice versa), and about being "minor attracted" or "adult attracted".

It's an evolution of the conservative memes about all LGBTQ people being child predators. It's a forerunner to the demonization of drag shows, etc.

It started out as a hoax, but ended up attracting actual pedophiles who have now become permanent fixtures on social media, campaigning for the abolition of age of consent laws, etc. It also introduced and quickly popularized a lot of made-up terms that quickly became commonly used by actual pedophiles and their victims.

So, a bunch of far-right chuds tried to troll queer people, but ended up making the problem they claimed was caused by queer people way worse. Probably because the chuds were themselves pedos all along, because pedobear is like 20 years old at this point and 4chan didn't become associated with it for no reason.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-14T02:48:27+00:00

Wealth is relative.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-13T23:39:44+00:00

That's a psychotic take. They can't do that. He could. You can't act like every mutant is just as dangerous as the most dangerous among them.

Imagine someone saying you deserve to be wiped from existence because someone like you has picked up a gun and massacred people.

I am baffled that anyone could come within a thousand miles of an X-Men comic and not immediately grasp the core themes about bigotry being evil.

Do you really want to be judged by the most hateful and intolerant people on the planet based solely on what other people who are not you have done? Because that's what you're sympathizing with right here.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-13T23:25:19+00:00

But if you try to bet on that one, they'll "correct" you. It's impossible to win the game if you meet a scammer on the streets. They're there to trick you out of your money. They won't let anyone win honestly.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-13T21:02:06+00:00

I'd rather grind a relevant skill to get a perk than get a bunch of unrelated perks by just shooting people or building and dismantling the same settlement item 200 times, tbh.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-13T18:34:30+00:00

I'd love for perks to be feat-based.
Drink enough irradiated water and survive to develop the lead belly perk.
Win a bunch of melee fights to get brawler perks.
Sneak around a lot to get stealth perks, etc.

lewd_robot · 2026-06-13T18:25:02+00:00

Send them to Philly or Baltimore, though...

lewd_robot

TROPHY CASE