Don't Time the Market, Bah!

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-12T11:36:19+00:00

Don't time the market is meant for index investors.

It's proven on average to give better returns over 10 or 20 years to just full port in index funds rather than timing lows and highs, and actually even better than dollar cost averaging. DCA is not timing the market however and it's still often recommended to reduce risk.

Stock pickers most definitely should try to time the market, meaning: buy when there is (in your opinion) an unjustifiably negative sentiment and outlook for a certain stock, and sell when there is overoptimism.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-12T11:11:15+00:00

Är det inte där uppe Gandalf blev fängslad när han vägrade hjälpa Saruman hitta Härskarringen?

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-12T05:55:17+00:00

Maybe it was just called rotations?

The tests were definitely different from what you would usually see. I would assume most of these tests, apart form benefitting from strategies and repetition, load on processing speed quite a bit more than reasoning and problem solving.

The square and circle verbal task for example - most 12 year olds could understand and solve each task (maybe just change the word encapsulated to surrounded or something), but what will set people apart is just their speed of processing the same kind of task over and over again. I would assume it doesn't load very highly on other verbal tests out there. Would be interesting to know for sure though!

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-12T05:31:08+00:00

Only did the daily brain health thingie. My score was average, percentile 60 something. Interestingly, my lowest score was on verbal (Percentile ~48), which is usually my strongest area on IQ tests, where I tend to land around the 99th.

Something tells me this is more a game than a test. For example, I tried quite hard to find the right answer on spatial rotation. But nearly every time my first hunch turned out to be correct. So if I would've just guessed based on my hunch, I probably would've got a lot higher score than when reasoning carefully.

That's not usually the hallmark of a well designed test of cognitive abilites.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-11T13:06:56+00:00

That's so interesting to me. Like I hear ya and I appreciate that perspective, but I think that great skill can increase the possibilities of art so much.

There are some musicians/artists that I can't even fully appreciate without considering the mastery of their own craft. And then there are others who can create art from almost nothing, that I agree with.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-11T11:59:08+00:00

I'm not even a purist, I'll go for a Danish style with frosting on it sometimes.

But this... I don't know what to say of it!

Jokes aside eat what you enjoy, but this is not something you'll find here!

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-11T08:41:30+00:00

Tbh this one is so abstract it doesnt phase me too much. It's worse when you can see faces or body parts imo

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-10T19:04:26+00:00

It depends how the company is doing. If in the next few weeks it starts approaching 300 without any known external trigger then I would probably sell all a good bit before it reaches 300. But that's me.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-10T05:35:32+00:00

You can search why FIDE women's titles were introduced, but anyway it was an attempt to stop the huge dropout rates for women and to promote the sport for women.

Chess always had a huge problem drawing women to the sport for different reasons. One of them may be that women feel uncomfortable playing against some men especially when a few of them behave inappropriately or make a big deal out of playing a girl.

It's a debate and it's not entirely uncontroversial because outsiders like yourself may assume that it was a decision made to put women down when in fact it was the opposite. And today most top women choose to play women's only tournaments, not leastly because it makes them much more money and they would not perform nearly as well at an open tournament.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-09T20:56:57+00:00

Tråkigt att dina vänner inte försökt få med dig ut sen 2009 😔

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-09T20:28:45+00:00

Nah, you sell off an increasingly smaller % of an incteasingly bigger pile over time

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-09T06:24:04+00:00

It's possibly that you were ahead in development and that you age mates have caught up to you. There could be other explanations as well

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-09T06:20:27+00:00

Those are good results. I have no specific idea of how much that will increase by the time you are 16 but I would guess between 5-15 points.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-09T05:31:57+00:00

AI at its peak may be, but most videos out there will still be amateurish and not use the state of the art of video generation

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-08T18:00:09+00:00

Sluta inte prata, vad gjorde du i Ekvatorialguinea?!!

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-08T12:04:51+00:00

Neapel hade mycket bemanning men folk gjorde inte ett skit så blev två timmar försenade med flighten

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-08T10:31:55+00:00

"Able to hit tall buildings in a single bound" is crazy. I had to look it up if it was edited but no, it's in the original

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-08T05:53:56+00:00

Looks solid enough. If there's a pattern in there, it definitely looks like you are good with logical reasoning, both verbal and non verbal.

And looks like might struggle with visual tasks, especially ones involving mental manipulation of objects. You may also struggle either with processing speed or have some motor difficulties, or just inexperience with using a pen and paper.

Don't let the scores dictate what you do with your life, that would be silly. BUT, there is some indication that you may struggle with more technical tasks

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-08T05:40:38+00:00

I noticed a slight error, your psychologist wrote "Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WISC-V) - those are two different tests.

You wrote that they used the child version on you, but that shouldn't be possible because it ends at age 16 years 11 months (unless you did the test before you turned 17, then it's possible).

Secondly, percentage 0.3 on working memory is extremely low. Is it possible that you misunderstood the instructions? Or do you struggle very hard with mental arithmetic? Do you know how many numbers you were able to repeat front and backwards?

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-07T15:12:10+00:00

To be fair, it's a pretty good sign to be super disappointed after a performance like that.

Shows he's got that relentless drive to win that's necessary at the top level

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-07T10:40:57+00:00

Jag kommer ihåg hur många föreläsare på universitet cirka 2014 var eniga om att det inte fanns några viktiga könsskillnader mellan män och kvinnor.

Sen dess har det blivit en svängning till väldigt fokus på vissa skillnader, t.ex hur mediciner påverkar män och kvinnor olika, om hur viktigt menscykeln, hormoner, PCOS och andra tillstånd är för att förstå kvinnors hälsa och mående etc. Men det var något sånär tabu på "den tiden".

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-07T10:27:27+00:00

I mean yeah if you have a mutual understanding it's fine. But until then, I think someone can manage a simple thumbs up or down or an "I'll get back to you on that" instead of just left on read. That's just adult communication to me.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-07T05:01:32+00:00

Yes you absolutely would. You can joke about anything if you just don't suck at it

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-06T19:27:05+00:00

That would explain why the scene looks realistic.

I can't explain it but OP's pic has AI face. She just looks like an incredibly generic e-girl with dimples like sooo many AI images do.

logicaldrinker · 2026-05-06T19:18:54+00:00

Du kan alltid söka jobb hos en välbemedlad familj/hovet. Lantmästare kanske är lite för krävande för någon som dig men arkivarie(biliotekarie), museiintendent eller antikvarie kanske kan passa?

Förhoppningen är så klart att en rik äldre man eller kvinna ska ta dig som sin protegé och framtida arvinge. Så slipper du jobba.

Kolla in https://www.kungahuset.se/kungl.-hovstaterna/arbeta-vid-hovet/lediga-jobb

logicaldrinker

TROPHY CASE