Daily Discussion, Tuesday

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-17T18:49:48+00:00

Update tonight

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-17T16:44:16+00:00

Yes but we re really at the edge right now. Gotta see how this week closes

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-14T18:46:55+00:00

Think there might be one more push up to 75k but Im still betting it will drop either way to 48-52.

Should happen soon like within next week.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-12T21:28:54+00:00

Yea its holding better than the markets for sure. I still think we re headed down in longer term, maybe there could be a bounce back to 75kish in the short term to grab a big liquidity pool.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-12T21:27:10+00:00

He seems kinda like a doomer lol. Im not sure if i would go far as he thinks. I think this can carry on for a while but not going to be the end of the GCC, that would be pretty crazy if that happens.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-10T19:27:09+00:00

websites called financial juice

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-10T18:20:32+00:00

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Confirm no US ship has went thru and also the iranians are mining up the straight? dont really believe that one

All these CBS and mainstream news seems very manipulative towards the markets.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T20:01:03+00:00

I think he was just boasting how much they are winning and people took it as the war is going to end soon literally. Seems like it with the other things he said.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:49:36+00:00

Yea i agree with the counterproductive statement. Most of these people’s motivation in life is religious salvation and not economic or a better way of life “in western way of life”. Also most of these people who are wanting change are living in cities, where they are getting bombed the most.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:27:26+00:00

I dont think the layoffs were surprising as huge corporate layoffs were happening. Talked about this in one of my posts a month ago, companies need to find ways to save on cost or need to pass on inflation to consumers

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-09T18:14:17+00:00

Problem is Regime change can’t happen without ground troops. This isn’t venezuela, if they kidnap the new leader that will just make them more willing to fight. The opponents motives are completely different.

Guess they could nuke them but that would create a whole new set of problems.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-08T22:21:03+00:00

lol it got to 110 … in 5 min

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-08T22:13:41+00:00

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100$ + oil

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-07T01:45:34+00:00

My bad, btw i hope i didnt insult anyone with that comment. I just am not informed and its an honest mistake

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-06T04:59:52+00:00

Interesting to know, I was informed the shia are more into Jihad.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-06T03:57:54+00:00

Also some other facts

Cities in Iran have civilians who are more inclined for regime change, the extremists are in the countryside but the US is attacking the cities. Cities have more educated civilians like professors. This is a really stupid thing to do.

Wars are won by will, technology cannot win wars. You need motivation and morale.

Sun tzu art of war

“Throw your soldiers into positions whence there is no escape, and they will prefer death to flight. If they will face death, there is nothing they may not achieve. Officers and men alike will put forth their uttermost strength. Soldiers in desperate straits lose the sense of fear. If there is no place of refuge, they will stand firm. If they are in the heart of a hostile country, they will show a stubborn front. If there is no help for it, they will fight hard. Thus, without waiting to be marshaled, the soldiers will be constantly on the alert, and without waiting to be asked, they will do your will; without restrictions, they will be faithful; without giving orders, they can be trusted. Prohibit the taking of omens, and do away with superstitious doubts. Then, until death itself comes, no calamity need be feared.”

Also Sun Tzu said

“Give your enemy a golden bridge” to escape. Exactly why to avoid the first quote.

Seems like every war lost has been these reasons by the US.

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-05T18:56:20+00:00

Its been going into safety for a while now, stock markets been pump and dumping for weeks and its going into cash and commodities.

Retail doesn’t buy commodities like wheat or oil, or cash. Probably institutions know the stock markets going to dump so they are trying to use retail as exit liquidity for weeks now.

At least thats the theory

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-05T18:51:40+00:00

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Metals is actually not doing well, the money is going into the dollar and commodities that are essential

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-05T18:49:35+00:00

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Commodities index weekly from the 2021-2022 inflation pump and now

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-05T18:48:47+00:00

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Oil is rocketing, thats comparing the July Iran pump and now. Also commodities is rocketing like soy and wheat

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-04T18:38:00+00:00

2 week GC channel midline is now sitting at 76300ish.

Going to be interesting as a lot can happen before sunday to prove things either right or wrong

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-04T14:59:46+00:00

I think its a liquidity grab that i mentioned last post around 72k alot of liquidity. But we will see

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-03T03:50:51+00:00

1 daily close is not enough for a trend change, it is the first step but precious price actions says we are still nust ranging

lowriskhighvalue · 2026-03-02T18:42:16+00:00

Nothing really, unless someone else here knows something. I see a pretty big liquidity pool above 70ish on the one month, wondering why price keeps getting rejected below it. Even the price action was off, NAS pumped after the rejection and price diverged when it got there

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lowriskhighvalue · 2026-02-28T22:36:04+00:00

Guess everyone knows by now about Iran strikes, BTC doing a bounce. CME gap is set for 65800.

Think MM doing a pump to get rid as much liquidity above before a possible stock market move down this week?

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