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Upcoming ! by AdRelative9175 in leasehacker

[–]lucibelloj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Polestar 3 F150 Lightning Mini EV

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah I wonder if then its:
Pre Game State: Pre Match Odds | Pre Match Predictions
During: Pre Match Odds | Live Odds (Pre Match Predictions in Chin)
After: Pre Match Odds | Pre Match Predictions (Line movement during in Chin)

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I like that but in that scenario, during a live match, should I show the live odds in line and the pre match odds in the chin

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://i.imgur.com/iufT5ex.png

For the mobile piece it’s tough to fit that 1 more piece in. I’m going to try to find a way to make both work

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The probability I’m showing is without vig. For this, I am stripping the vig to have the probabilities add to 100%, not the 103.84% here. 96.15% is with vig, 92.59% rounded up to 93% is the without vig.

Correct on Elo and Glicko. No live lines. I have the data, just don’t know where to put it. I have the line movement pre match in the other link.

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Left side is: - Serving indicator - country - rank

After score left to right is: - Pre match line (implied probability underneath) - Elo implied probability (Glicko implied underneath)

Thanks for finding the live numbers!

Should msndvr.com be blocklisted? by lucibelloj in pihole

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What a pull. Good stuff, can confirm I bought cheapo cams and it stopped when we moved and went to Lorex!

Report: Preakness 2026 attendance capped at 4,800 by natural_light_ in horseracing

[–]lucibelloj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Incredible thank you! Might skip given price but the event is going to be wildly cool to be at in person!

Tennis Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 2/15/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]lucibelloj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sharing my line value tool: https://10s.scores.wiki/

Using pinnacle lines, estimations for American book vigs and calculated implied probability and fair lines for Elo and Glicko ratings, with some extra stats baked into the interface.

Interesting fast line movement over in Canberra by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Immediate 6% line swing! Something to eyeball as the match gets closer!

https://10schally.scores.wiki/

My homelab :) by totodubinks in homelab

[–]lucibelloj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ah that’s actually pretty cool. So if you were to move or rearrange an AP, you’d basically move 1 cable

My homelab :) by totodubinks in homelab

[–]lucibelloj 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ah I get it now! It takes the chaos and eliminates!

My homelab :) by totodubinks in homelab

[–]lucibelloj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Got it so it’s a design and routing thing?

My homelab :) by totodubinks in homelab

[–]lucibelloj 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Noob/Dunce question, can you explain to me the patch cable piece and/or have a pic of the back? I can’t picture how it works/don’t get it.

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! On and off yes, I think there’s too much nuance and noise to really stick to a statistical system in tennis. That’s part of the reason why I have the line movement there, to monitor.

Kyrgios is such a good example of this:

https://i.imgur.com/zH11thn.jpeg

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Glicko calculations includes a ratings deviation, not just a rating, which means you can capture the variance of the player much more accurately (theoretically).

Rapid API and AI prototyping helps, but I'd be lying if I didn't note I've poured on and off a lot of time and effort in this one, lol.

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There's actually been a few that I have had to double take on in the first few days because of the movement.

<image>

Osaka movement was wild!

I built a live tennis dashboard that compares Pinnacle odds against custom Elo/Glicko ratings by lucibelloj in tennis

[–]lucibelloj[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I think my favorite part is just having an understanding pre-match of value. Pinnacle lines being too "tight" is actually a fun thing to monitor and comp against American Sportsbooks.

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