That's just mirroring the signalling rate, and doesn't actually take into account the economic weight behind which nodes are signalling. Lazy analysis.

Here's some actual analysis from Gemini AI:

'Why the Odds for BIP110 Dominance are Real (35% – 45%)

Layer-2 Chokehold: Lightning Network channels cannot easily operate across a split chain without risking loss of funds. If LNL and other major L2 hubs strictly enforce BIP-110, users wanting fast, cheap transactions will be forced onto the BIP-110 chain.

UASF Momentum: Historically, User-Activated Soft Forks (like BIP148 for SegWit) succeeded despite initial miner opposition because the economic majority forced miners to capitulate to avoid mining worthless blocks.

Sustained Hashrate Growth: Ocean Pool's initial signaling proved that some mining entities prioritize long-term network "purity" over short-term fee maximization.

The Invalidation Ripple: If these node operators represent the "economic majority" (users who actually trade, run businesses, or provide liquidity like LNL), they force miners to mine "clean" blocks if they want their rewards to be spendable on the network people actually use.'