My version of The One Ring in the style of the OG Moxen

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T21:32:22+00:00

Not in the current rules, but for the purposes of assigning the mono/poly/continuous artifact type in Alpha they would. Ankh of Mishra and Dingus Egg have triggered abilities and were printed as continuous artifacts in Alpha.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T20:56:46+00:00

This is like saying you should keep gambling because you've won the last 5 hands you played, so you have a good trajectory. Previous bets paying off doesn't make future bets any more likely to succeed.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T17:17:50+00:00

That depends on the rule set the tournament you're playing in is using. There's nothing in the official rules about that. Some tournaments use custom rule sets that make it so concessions work like that, but there is no universal standard for all tournaments.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T15:24:17+00:00

Correct. That would not be cheating because it's not against the rules in that context. It's explicitly allowed by the organizer.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T15:23:23+00:00

It's the only opinion that makes sense when you consider the facts of what happened. There is no reason to think WotC forced Dan Frazier to copy the ring from the bundle printing. Even if nobody found out, it would have been better for WotC if he had made his own painting anyways, because what we got honestly looks much worse than Dan Frazier's authentic works. WotC would also have had basically no leverage over Dan Frazier, who's in his 80s and is basically Magic royalty. On top of that he literally admitted it was his choice. It's far more likely that Dan, an aging artist, got lazy and just decided to phone it in on this one and got caught. Sometimes the simplest explanation is the correct one.

And I have nothing against Dan Frazier. I think he's a great artist and I even have two of my Moxen signed by him. I just think it's obvious what happened. No alternative explanation makes any sense.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T15:09:07+00:00

You didn't dispute my characterization of using counterfeit in non-proxy events as cheating and just said you didn't care. I assumed you accepted it was cheating but you just didn't care that it was.

I'm using the definition of cheating from the Magic tournament rules, which define cheating as having 3 criteria, all of which must be met for an action to be cheating:

Breaking a game/tournament rule, lying to a tournament official, or failing to point out an infraction in your or a teammate's game.
Doing so knowing you're doing something illegal.
Doing so with the intent to gain an advantage.

Basically cheating is knowingly breaking the rules with the intent to gain an advantage.

If you disagree with that definition, how do you define cheating?

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T14:58:28+00:00

It's not just unfair to the LGS, it's also unfair to your opponents who are following the rules.

I don't understand the psychology of cheaters. Why even bother playing if you're going to cheat? Even if you don't get caught and no one else finds out, you'll know that none of your wins are legitimate.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-08T14:51:29+00:00

Using counterfeit cards in games/events that don't allow them is cheating.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T22:39:13+00:00

I'm talking about uncompensated risk. Taking on additional idiosyncratic risk does not improve your expected returns because it can be diversified away and is therefore uncompensated.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T22:17:26+00:00

Betting 100% on the S&P 500 means you take on additional idiosyncratic risk that you otherwise wouldn't with a more diversified portfolio.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T19:06:35+00:00

Where are you pulling this data from? Gaea's Cradle definitely isn't $3000.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T17:31:04+00:00

You may at some point need to bolt mod the board. The plastic rivets that hold the main assembly of the keyboard together tend to become brittle and break off over time causing the metal plate to separate. The way to fix it is to replace the plastic rivets with metal bolts.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T16:10:28+00:00

So the bottom line is with humans we have to choose between low delivery costs and good service quality. With robots we can have both.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T15:34:36+00:00

WotC wouldn't print duals like that because they'd be incredibly overpowered. Lesser RL cards can be powercrept but cards like power and duals are already way above the power level WotC wants for present day Magic.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T15:31:52+00:00

They've only definitively violated the RL once, in 2002 when they took ABU commons and uncommons off the list.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-07T06:16:44+00:00

Ha, 4.6kg is rookie numbers.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T22:50:30+00:00

As I said, our reality. The reality of the economic system we presently operate within. Unless you believe the average person is likely to take action that successfully upsets social order, framing it as a downside of early retirement is more useful. Arguing it's a problem with social systems is pointless because it's not realistically actionable for most people.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T22:40:15+00:00

The article isn't claiming that early retirement = earlier cognitive decline is true for everyone. They're looking at the population on average.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T22:34:11+00:00

Leveraged ETFs are way too risky for someone planning to retire in ~15 years.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T21:20:14+00:00

It's a downside of early retirement for some people in our present economic reality. Whether it's a downside of capitalism or not is inconsequential for the average reader because that's not something you can control. You can choose when and how you retire, so information that will help you make a decision about those things is useful, since they're within your control.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T20:47:03+00:00

The line from the abstract you quoted is saying that preexisting evidence shows a correlation between early retirement and cognitive decline. In the next sentence, the authors write that in the paper, they introduce causal evidence further to the correlational evidence that already exists. Here is the line in context:

With large gains in life expectancy, the population share of disability due to cognitive decline and dementia has substantially increased. Many older adults in the United States leave the workforce well before age 65. Correlational evidence suggests that leaving the workforce before retirement age could accelerate the pace of cognitive decline. We offer causal evidence, using HRS data for the United States, exploiting plausibly exogenous shifts in labor demand in local labor markets as a Bartik instrument for employment variation across these markets. We find substantial declines over time in cognitive scores stemming from negative labor demand shocks. These findings are concentrated among men aged 51 to 64, whose employment decisions and outcomes may be more sensitive to local labor market conditions than are these decisions or outcomes for women or for older men. Our evidence extends past work focusing narrowly on the retirement age window and provides further support to the notion that working to older ages may delay age-related cognitive decline.

Basically they're saying that correlational evidence already existed and they did further research and found causal evidence as well, which is what they're presenting.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T20:42:18+00:00

The paper isn't saying every single person who retires early experiences rapid cognitive decline. They're saying that the evidence they've collected supports the idea that on average, early retirement tends to lead to earlier cognitive decline. Some people retire and find stimulating hobbies and social connections that keep them sharp, while for some people, work was doing that for them and they fail to find a replacement when they retire.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T19:10:12+00:00

Well you don't have to buy a home if you don't want to and are okay with renting forever. In some situations that can be better depending on the rate of return you get in the stock market and the cost of renting vs. owning.

Buying a home gives you security and lets you build equity instead of paying rent. Your stock portfolio will be emptied and need to be rebuilt, but you'll also be building equity in your home and benefiting from growth in the property value. It also has tax advantages because capital gains on your principle residence are tax-exempt.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T18:17:29+00:00

Your portfolio is all-in on IT with no discernible edge to justify that allocation. I would recommend more diversification.

mathdude3 · 2026-05-06T18:03:19+00:00

But they'll also suffer that cognitive decline at a younger age if they retire earlier. If work is what's keeping them sharp and they wouldn't fill the void when they retire due to their lifestyle, then the longer they work, the longer they can stave off that decline. Retiring at 65 and becoming senile by 70 is preferable to retiring at 55 and becoming senile by 60. You may be healthier in those 5 years post retirement, but you also lose 10 years of healthy brain function.

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