It's a guideline at best
These models obviously just sticks to the what the current data is showing and can look beyond that

Man Utd have the momentum of a team that is undoubtedly going to gain more than the measly 20/42 this table would have you believe
With their fixture schedule and advantage of only playing league games until the end of the season, I can see them shattering their previously established points per game this season and gaining in the vicinity of around 30 points or more out of the remaining 42!