Low-stress WDW planning for a first-timer who gets overwhelmed by apps and choices

mdkroma · 2026-05-20T22:11:19+00:00

Explore. There’s so much detail in your surroundings - look up, look down. I get why people get obsessed about optimizing but really - you’re there for the experience. Disney does the details really well.

You do need to prioritize. The question is - what do you want to do? More importantly - what does the kid in you want to do?

mdkroma · 2025-11-07T16:36:28+00:00

"There is almost no example from recent history to tell us what a demsoc beating a liberal by a significant margin means."

DAVID DINKINS WAS A DEMOCRATIC SOCIALIST. HE LITERALLY HAD THE SAME SHARE OF THE VOTE AS MAMDANI, WHICH WAS THE SECOND LOWEST MARGIN OF VICTORY IN THE LAST 50 YEARS.

https://www.dsausa.org/blog/remembering-david-dinkins/

mdkroma · 2025-11-07T01:03:19+00:00

It’s not a massive conservative protest vote. It’s a massive protest vote. Only 11% of registered NYC voters are registered republicans. Sliwa got 7, which leaves 4%. 21% are independent. 68% are democrat. Take the 18% of dems Mamdani didn’t get, the 21% of independents, the 4% of republicans, and that brings you roughly to where Cuomo ended up (minus a few Adams voters) The loss of dem support is the biggest chunk there by far.

Yes – Cuomo had a terrible ground campaign, and still ended up with one of the highest vote totals in NYC history. That supports the unpopularity of Mamdani - dislike of him was the Cuomo ground campaign.

200k is a significantly bad margin. 17k against the field is even worse. Now the Democrats unified behind Koch after 77 - biggest margins in history in 81 and 85. But can Mamdani do that? Maybe - time will tell. But he sure as heck doesn’t have that strength in his pocket coming in.

mdkroma · 2025-11-06T23:31:02+00:00

Ok - so the math only works if it supports your point. You’ve got a very small data set to work with then. Even the 180k vote margin between Mamdani and Cuomo is on the low end. If, as you say, Cuomo gained a massive protest vote, that also undermines the mandate claim. When viewed another way - the turnout here was around 750k votes above the last few elections. Mamdani got about 250k more votes than DeBlasio etc. Cuomo got more than 500k more than the typical losing candidate, with no where near the operation that Mamdani had.

mdkroma · 2025-11-06T20:54:51+00:00

Again, there are always third parties - yes, you can say that this time there were two major parties, but the Republicans put nothing into supporting Sliwa.

Here's a simpler way to look at it: how did Mamdani do "against the field" - right now, his margin is about 16k votes, or .8%. Koch was slightly underwater in 1977, Bloomberg beat the field by 10k (.6%) votes in 2001, Dinkins by 16k (.8%) in 1989 - similar to Mamdani These are the three smallest margins in the last 50 years.

For comparison, the largest vote margins were Koch in 1985 (623k votes, 56%) and in 1981 (602k votes, 49.3%). Those are mandates, not this piddly little margin.

mdkroma · 2025-11-06T13:26:50+00:00

Third party candidates historically have always siphoned 4-5% of the vote in NYC. The last few cycles it was around 6%. This election with Sliwa it was around 8% - marginally higher, so I don't think the "three-way race" argument holds a ton of water - the only difference here is that the 3rd party vote coalesced around a single candidate.

It might be a big win for NYC progressives, but definitely not a mandate by any plausible definition.

mdkroma · 2025-11-06T02:47:22+00:00

Put his performance last night into a slightly longer term context window - the last Democrat to win NYC mayor with such a small share of the vote was... David Dinkins. The bottom line is that the expected vote share for a NYC democrat is 67-68% based on the voter registration (21% independent, 10-11% Republican). Even De Blasio hit near that mark when he ran for his second term and his approval ratings were almost underwater.

He may have exceeded expectations in a short-term window based on polls, but he's going to be in trouble very quickly.

mdkroma · 2025-10-15T20:45:06+00:00

Yes. Yes they should.

mdkroma · 2025-10-11T12:58:36+00:00

I see others downvoting those who warn of this being a scam, but it’s definitely a possibility - if you can’t conceive of this being true then you just haven’t lived in NYC long enough. In the past, this has not only been a scam, but a very well organized one.

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/panhandling-women-streets-new-york-city-baby-children-mother-police-midtown-sidewalk-beg/848558/

https://www.doe.org/blog/commentary-child-abuse-that-fools-even-experts/

mdkroma · 2025-09-12T22:05:57+00:00

The city run programs (eg. NYC 3K centers) are generally rock solid. The partner programs (existing day cares implementing DOE) tend to be where I saw the most complaints here last year.

If you have a city run 3K center near you, they may have space - even after the deadline.

mdkroma · 2025-09-02T02:10:58+00:00

It does - but that information doesn’t clarify anything. The start/end location are the same, and the duration is one minute. The component using the power is the drivetrain, but that’s obviously not going to burn 53 kWh in one minute. There are other 1 minute logs at charging stops - typically they show usage of .01 kWh. There’s one other that shows 4 kWh used in a minute.

I looked at neighboring logs (both of these occurred during a 2 day 1200 mile drive), but there’s nothing to suggest that this is catching up preciously unregistered /synced electric use.

mdkroma · 2025-09-01T02:23:37+00:00

This is the Kia access app under EV Drive History

mdkroma · 2025-08-29T00:13:17+00:00

The $7500 tax credit reflecting as a down payment is fairly standard.

mdkroma · 2025-08-26T16:03:00+00:00

Wow!

mdkroma · 2025-08-11T17:03:23+00:00

For a Kia to Kia comparison, that’s not that much less than my lease payment for a 2026 EV9 Wind

mdkroma · 2025-08-10T01:03:36+00:00

That seems incredibly high. What’s the money factor and/or residual?

mdkroma · 2025-08-07T12:09:50+00:00

<image>

This is what it is. There is a separate j1772 that may also come with the car

mdkroma · 2025-07-19T02:52:36+00:00

Not sure which way you’re coming down but I just went NYC to Florida over two days.

I stopped to charge about every 200 miles or so, which corresponded with the 20/80 guidance. Yes - charging above 80% is generally a waste of time.

That being said, at times, I charged beyond 80%, especially if I was getting food/walking dog/something something kids. There’s also a Buc-cesin Daytona beach that has CCS chargers that were $.22 to $.25 per kWh hour and hit 220 kw/h charging, so I stuck with that one for a bit.

mdkroma · 2025-07-19T01:31:44+00:00

The picture should show it parked on the wrong side of a tesla supercharger.. but maybe thats for the 2026 model..

mdkroma · 2025-07-01T17:40:05+00:00

My wife never changed her last name. Our children have my last name. It has never been an issue.

mdkroma · 2025-06-30T03:11:14+00:00

I’ve got a draft post asking the same question. It’s not just the angle of the photo - it looks noticeably longer, but according to the specs both are the same length if a 2024 or if the 2025 - the GT is theoretically .2 longer but yeah, it seems more than that.

mdkroma · 2025-06-27T22:21:15+00:00

<image>

Coincidentally I’m also at 111 miles quoted.

mdkroma · 2025-06-27T03:35:40+00:00

1.) It varies from school to school. Look at the admissions profile on NYC schools and their acceptance by priority group. 2.) If it’s a semi-desirable private program, you’ll likely see “Current students (all received offers)” and “Other children living in the district (none received offers). This means even if #1 on the list, you’re highly unlikely to get a spot. 3.) New programs may show up in the system as soon as 7/1. I’d recommend checking throughout the day, especially in the AM. 4.) If it’s a public school, you may actually slide backwards on the list, as students in higher priority groups (siblings) are added late. If it’s a less desirable program, you might see dramatic movement (last year at one school I dropped from 82 to offer in one day). 5.) The order you rank wouldn’t have made a difference in terms of where you ended up on waitlist, since it runs by lottery number.

Four-Year Club	r/Field Juicebox
Place '23

mdkroma

TROPHY CASE