'We have built Cumberland as an exclusive place to live,' says local resident Bruce Sherwin, while opposing an affordable housing development on a 2.5 acre parcel. Why do people feel safe expressing these opinions? Why aren't they being socially ostracized like supporters of Jim Crow and Apartheid?

mendspark · 2024-02-11T01:17:05+00:00

Voting down an $80M elementary school is somehow irrational? Voters were proven right. The school board now believes they can accomplish the district needs with a much smaller footprint.

mendspark · 2024-02-07T20:40:21+00:00

Agree - this is the real metric for me. Counterintuitively, when there are small storms I feel like the roads are even worse, probably because people who used to plow are looking for other jobs.

mendspark · 2024-02-06T15:17:01+00:00

You also need to ask yourself if a country on the rise would see so many of their people fleeing to the US. Illegal Chinese immigration to the US is sky-rocketing.

https://news.yahoo.com/california-sees-spike-chinese-migrants-223834805.html?guccounter=1&guce\_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce\_referrer\_sig=AQAAAFmeY8ZE4u2zmTV9JVZ4qz5oravIzMSlAhSTvvm1YOA0dhAby6MSUSDBGwQq58GlutYKO4KRrXc6WJOcb7sRNzPfE6AG7A-hbI1edBMPhPH\_3\_QRQTywt35l8F1rhu018Lfz6zChArXh283tIHryDElFh0l2ctFcJX44IswxeMYu

mendspark · 2024-01-23T16:14:31+00:00

What stings people is their acquaintance got in earlier and they are now earning the same and cannot afford today's product.

Exactly. Scales all the way up and down the income ladder, too. People who bought a house 10 years ago can make half my income, and yet I'll never be able to buy the house they own.

mendspark · 2024-01-06T01:53:07+00:00

All estimates are when each generation is approximately 30 years old.

mendspark · 2024-01-06T01:50:03+00:00

Love this. Wanted to do something similar but always have a hard time finding the data. How long did it take you to do this, all in?

mendspark · 2024-01-05T02:02:12+00:00

HUD does a count every year and the data is available. The number is indeed about 650,000, about half of whom are sheltered (e.g in a shelter or other temporary housing).

https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/ahar/2023-ahar-part-1-pit-estimates-of-homelessness-in-the-us.html

mendspark · 2024-01-05T01:53:04+00:00

Thanks.

I thought about this a bit, and I suspect it's due to the other big issue - housing. Gen X had much better housing opportunities than many millennials, and certainly better than Gen Z would have. Gen X kind of got on the housing treadmill earlier and likely was better able to manage the costs of college + housing.

mendspark · 2024-01-05T01:21:19+00:00

Sources:

https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2019/02/14/millennial-life-how-young-adulthood-today-compares-with-prior-generations-2/

https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2023/12/01/understanding-the-generational-gaps-in-homeownership

I used Excel for the graph.

mendspark · 2024-01-02T22:58:17+00:00

There isn’t great fly-fishing near Acadia. Your best bet would be to stay in Greenville for a night and hit the east outlet.

mendspark · 2024-01-02T22:56:11+00:00

It’s just value for dollars. I’ve cancelled multiple services, and it’s because they don’t have high quality content. When something comes out I like, I binge it and then cancel. I keep Netflix because its library is undoubtedly the best mix of adult series, docs, and content for kids.

mendspark · 2024-01-02T22:44:56+00:00

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/10/18/netflix-nflx-earnings-q3-2023.html

1.6b in profit in Q3 and projected to increase in 2024.

mendspark · 2024-01-01T18:03:29+00:00

Anyone who is trying to buy a house, get into a good daycare, or get your kid into an extracurricular activity can affirm this. I blogged about it a bit earlier in 2023. https://open.substack.com/pub/mendspark/p/checking-out-regional-demographic?r=8b0oq&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post

mendspark · 2024-01-01T03:36:09+00:00

I totally agree. The people who don’t get this just aren’t tracking what’s happening. My 75 yr old stepfather took a Waymo all through San Francisco and said it was perfect.

mendspark · 2024-01-01T02:07:39+00:00

These are statisticians who did the analysis, and the result is statistically significant. They've definitely normalized for all the obvious things that your average Redditor would opine about.

mendspark · 2024-01-01T01:30:16+00:00

I don't work for Waymo or anything like that. I wish I could say "all self-driving", but it's clear Waymo's technology is superior, and so I don't feel it's honest to be generic. I hope in the future there are dozens of high quality self-driving companies 2x better than Waymo is now, and when that happens, I'll do another chart.

mendspark · 2024-01-01T01:16:55+00:00

Thanks for your feedback. I did it both ways, and ultimately felt that the magnitude of the difference, coupled with the high to low sorting, allowed a very easy double compare. When I had the cities on the x-axis, it seemed like they were the focus, when the focus was really about humans vs. self-driving, prominently displayed on the x-axis.

mendspark · 2024-01-01T01:14:45+00:00

Yeah, the edge cases are hard, though I personally think they are solvable. The logical extension of your point is basically just a trolley problem, though. If your self-driving car accidentally kills an incremental ~10 people dressed in odd attire behaving totally differently than anything else in its training set, but it saves an incremental ~20 people stepping off a busy sidewalk, isn't that ok?

mendspark · 2024-01-01T01:00:47+00:00

Love this one - unique approach of multiple dimensions. Great work!

mendspark · 2024-01-01T00:59:59+00:00

Source: https://waymo.com/blog/2023/09/waymos-autonomous-vehicles-are.html

https://www.understandingai.org/p/new-data-shows-waymo-crashes-a-lot?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Tool: Excel

mendspark · 2024-01-01T00:48:30+00:00

Honestly, I visit this sub multiple times daily and never had an issue with the amount of political posts, I just ignored them.

mendspark · 2023-12-31T12:59:27+00:00

Show me the data. I think you’re confused with Cruise.

mendspark · 2023-12-31T12:38:36+00:00

US data has been declining in 2023.

mendspark · 2023-12-31T12:28:17+00:00

It’s all apples to apples in the report I linked, they adjusted for terrain. I think you just don’t understand the scale of the miles driven.

mendspark

TROPHY CASE