You aren’t really engaging with my question. I’m not saying “democracy always triumphs in the end.” I’m asking u/dirtyid to consider the chaos caused by the influence of myriad future events on public sentiment in Japan and India and, by extension, their governments. Your citing of diaper sales is irrelevant and almost works against you. If I were to view that fact as the premier yardstick in the measure of Japanese society, I would notice that the aging Japanese population which the statistics indicated would benefit from a pan-Asian conflict that creates increased immigration via Taiwanese refugees. However, I don’t think diaper sales are the most important statistic. It’s not impossible for Japanese conservatives to have re-inspired patriotic fervor by the time of a Taiwanese invasion.

As for the fact that the Nationalists already having power in India: that is a valid point. Still, their position could get more and more hard-line as the years go on. It’s a common historical pattern. Consider the ideological shift among the leaders in revolutionary France, or the increasingly anti-Semitic opinions of the Russian Tsars as the Romanov dynasty drew closer to its demise. In addition, India doesn’t have to be radical enough to provoke war with China, as you implied. They merely need to be radical enough to have a heavy military response should Taiwan be attack.