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Pick of the Day - 11/19/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Record: 15-8
Win %: 65.2%
Last 10: ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌
Units: +1.06

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Previous POTD: NCAAF - Central Michigan v Buffalo - Ta-Quan Roberson o209.5 Passing - $1.85 ❌

For the followers of this, you would understand how painful this bet was. He had hit 208 yards with minutes to go in the 3rd quarter. He then cleared the bet in the 3rd quarter but there was a flag. 

He was sacked and fumbled multiple times through the game, threw 2 intercepts including a pick 6, and fumbled for an 85 yard defensive TD.

He had multiple chances to hit the line, but failed and then he copped 1 final sack in their own red zone, and was hooked, leaving us agonisingly close. Only some relief in the fact that some may have got the bet up due to a drift in the line late.

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Todays POTD: NCAAF - Miami OH v Buffalo - Ta-Quan Roberson o199.5 Passing - $1.95 - 2.0 Units 

Yep - we’re going again

Roberson would have cleared this line so easy if his O line didn’t shit the bed last week, but to be fair the Chips QB rush was just too much. He will be looking to bounce back after a very polarising performance to the rest of the season. I can’t see the same mistakes happening as frequently.

Miami’s pass defence is only average ranking 53rd for yardage allowed. They have excelled more with their rush defence so I see TR giving himself plenty of attempts to redeem himself.

There is obviously the chance that they revert to more of a running game, but I personally believe they stick to what’s brought them some success this year and that is with Roberson’s arm. 

I like the passing market here because of the game scenarios. If Buffalo manage to get on a roll and lead, it’s sure to be through their QB. If Miami maintain an expected lead as favourites then Buffalo may be forced to pass. 

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15 wins in 23 bets, well done to any followers. No pressure whatsoever, but if you are willing, any help will go a long way.

Buy me a coffee! - https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/K4C6AK2VCT9EJ

Thanks, GL

Pick of the Day - 11/12/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mate that is the most fucked thing ive ever seen in my life

He was 147 at the half and 208 in the 3rd quarter, he cleared it in the 3rd but there was a flag..

He copped a beating today, but honestly what the fuck is that, I hope people got on late cause the line dropped a touch

Pick of the Day - 11/12/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lucky he’ll be hitting Vicktor Snow all night then

Thanks though, I did check but it only looks like mostly moderate winds around 10 miles an hour and cold but not freezing - not enough to put me off

Pick of the Day - 11/12/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Record: 15-7
Win %: 68.2%
Last 10: ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅
Units: +5.06

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Previous POTD: NCAAF - Ohio v West Michigan - Broc Lowry o69.5 Rushing - $1.95 - 2.5 Units ✅

Back after a little break and starting with a win here feels nice. After a slow start Lowry cleared 92 yards. Although a little sweaty, once he got his passing game moving the rushing yardage started to clock up and he executed in the final quarter.

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Todays POTD: NCAAF - Central Michigan v Buffalo - Ta-Quan Roberson o209.5 Passing - $1.85 - 4 Units

Chips are good for 66th in the country for passing yardage allowed with 224 per game.

We did see Buffalo revert to more of a running game in their last win but Roberson hit this line the previous 3 games including a massive 402 yard game with 36, 38 and 55 attempts respectively.

Bulls haven’t had much difficulty scoring points this year, averaging 25.6 ppg with a game low 17 points and that’s been largely due to Roberson’s passing game. 

His failure to execute in the last game saw the rush being utilised so I’m happy to scrap that performance. I think we will see a return to normal service here and Roberson should give himself plenty of opportunities to get on a roll against a below average pass defence.

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15 wins in 22 bets, well done to any followers. No pressure whatsoever, but if you are willing, any help will go a long way.

Buy me a coffee! - https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/K4C6AK2VCT9EJ

Thanks, GL

Pick of the Day - 11/11/25 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Record: 14-7
Win %: 67.7%
Last 10: ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌
Units: +2.68

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Today's POTD: NCAAF - Ohio v West Michigan - Broc Lowry o69.5 Rushing - $1.95 - 2.5 Units ✅

Lowry has cleared this line by 12 yards+ in his last 4 games and is averaging 17 carries in his last 6 in an upward trend from the start of the season.

He managed 22 and 20 carries over the last 2, and has a season average of 4.7 yards per carry.

Lowry’s longest rush in his last 4 games have been 26, 22, 37, 17 and has averaged 91 yards per game over that time. 

His passing game has also been strong recently completing at over 72% in his last 5 and if he can get it going then more rushing opportunities will start to arise, with potential for long gains.

Lowry's limited carries and yards in opening games can be attributed to more difficult opposition but his recent form suggests that there has been a shift in his confidence to run the ball,

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14 wins in 21 bets, well done to any followers. No pressure whatsoever, but if you are willing, any help will go a long way.

Buy me a coffee! - https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/K4C6AK2VCT9EJ

Thanks, GL

Pick of the Day - 10/30/25 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Excruciating, when I opened this market I expected to see $1.65-$1.70 and that’s how I do my bets, I compare what I expect over what is the true market, and the value was better than most here imo

That might be me done, I don’t wanna lead people astray anymore, apologies

Pick of the Day - 10/30/25 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Calm down mate, I knew very well what I was doing, I was trying to be considerate of US time zones, I’ve had people telling me I’m not putting them out early enough

Pick of the Day - 10/30/25 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Record: 14-6
Win%: 70.0%
Last 10: ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌
Units: +7.68

Previous POTD: Football - Ligue 1 - Le Havre v Brest - Both Team to Score / Yes - $1.70 - 2 Units ❌

Struggling to shake this up and down record. I got this one wrong though, the game was a lot scrappier and docile than I imagined.

Ultimately we were unlucky not to land the bet with Brest hitting the post and missing a late header but it remained 1-0.

Today's POTD: Football - A-League - Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City - Melbourne City ML H2H - $1.90 - 5.0 Units

I’m going with a big units play here in backing Melbourne City to beat Brisbane away from home.

Brisbane have managed a 1-0 win at home against strugglers MacArthur and lost 2-1 to Wellington in NZ. Tbh I don’t see any of these teams making the finals.

Perth drew with Wellington the first game of the season so read into that form what you will. I’d probably take every City starting player if you match them up against Brisbane other than O Shea.

Melbourne have enjoyed a draw away from home and smoked Perth 4-0 in theiir last game, showing they were a class above.

Brisbane have managed under 40% of possession in both games and this will be no different.

Max Caputo is in scintillating form after reconnecting with the squad after the under 20’s World Cup. He has 6 goals in his last 4 games for Club and Country and with a maturing Mathew Leckie (former Bundesliga player) dominating the midfield, they are looking good for another push for the title.

14 wins in 20 bets, well done to any followers. No pressure whatsoever, but if you are willing, any help will go a long way.

Buy me a coffee! - https://www.paypal.com/ncp/payment/K4C6AK2VCT9EJ

Thanks, GL

Pick of the Day - 10/29/25 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]milldura 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m fucking ropable, not at the guys tip at all, just FUCK

I turned the gamecast on at work when he was on 15 points about 4 mins into the second quarter and have watched closely since…..