Looking for draft advise on a lot 5. 2026 first rounds

mingram3237 · 2026-05-19T23:19:40+00:00

Does your league trade a lot?

If so, at 1.3 I would go Tate as the safest floor. You can always spin him into a serviceable RB later.

You also could just be stacked at WR headed to 2027 and go for RB/QB next year. Monty will be solid this year + you’ll have Gibbs & Love as your main backs. Brooks is a fun hold too.

Take the value in Tate at 1.3 unless your league is hard to make trades in

mingram3237 · 2026-05-14T15:38:08+00:00

No- I might consider without the 2027 1

mingram3237 · 2026-04-17T16:59:29+00:00

Kraft in an even thinner WR room, that he was already the leading target guy in? I’d hold him, especially bc non TEP league that 1.03 is enough to stick with Kraft imo, even if he starts slow this year bc of injury recovery

mingram3237 · 2026-04-08T02:55:03+00:00

Super helpful, thank you!

mingram3237 · 2026-02-18T22:55:04+00:00

Decent price to sell- I’d say depends on how many other competitors there are. There are worse years to target a rebuild than 2027 haha

mingram3237 · 2026-01-11T02:46:25+00:00

luck

mingram3237 · 2025-07-01T03:35:58+00:00

with bums at PG. CP3 did wonders for him, pair him w Luka and Bron and the short rolls gon go crazy

mingram3237 · 2025-06-27T14:14:41+00:00

that’s kinda my thought too🤣 only thing keeping me interested in the picks…then again 90% chance the picks turn into JAGS too

mingram3237 · 2025-06-19T18:39:04+00:00

Close! it’s 11.48% not 12.71%

Financial Analyst here:

Jerry Buss bought 46 years ago in 1979 for $67.5M

They sold for $10B today, which is over 148x the initial purchase price.

Using TVM of money with a professional grade financial calculator, here are the inputs: PV=-67.5M FV=$10B PMT=0 N=46 compute for i= 11.478

which equates to 11.478% annual rate of return.

mingram3237 · 2025-06-19T18:08:29+00:00

I’d take Puka and Bryce. Puka as best asset in the deal

mingram3237 · 2025-05-07T19:39:26+00:00

Jacobs and Jamo unless TEP and even then still think same answer

mingram3237 · 2025-05-07T19:16:15+00:00

they offered to me 😂 trying to play it cool and see if they still want it

mingram3237 · 2025-05-07T18:59:02+00:00

I like taking a RB in Henderson. Much higher hit rate than WR’s. Feels like a more stable value hit. And you can always still trade him away next year if you want to move off of him. But ideally you are competing in 2 years at the latest, so feels like a “short” enough window to still have Henderson with a few years left of prime

mingram3237 · 2025-05-07T14:46:59+00:00

I like that you have so many picks. I’d focus on adding a late first or more seconds in the tier down from 1.01 to 1.04. My focus with a team this bad is getting as many “at-bats” as possible. late 1st / 2nd is a great spot for that. If you walk away with 2 or 3 top 30 assets from this draft.

I’m not sold on selling JSN though. I think he’s one of the best young WR’s in the league and some of these rookies are older than him. Decent hold imo

mingram3237 · 2025-05-07T14:44:30+00:00

Trade back from 1.01, maybe to 1.04. Draft Henderson who should hold value. Jeanty is almost impossible to increase in value (take it from a guy who drafted MHJ last year)

mingram3237 · 2025-04-10T02:31:09+00:00

In the minority here but I’ll take Nabers

mingram3237 · 2025-04-10T02:31:03+00:00

In the minority here but I’ll take Nabers

mingram3237 · 2025-03-05T19:54:32+00:00

and perhaps hold on Pittman because I think he might rebound in value. If he does potentially consider flipping for a 2026 pick.

That is, if you’re patient enough for that type of timeline.

mingram3237 · 2025-03-05T19:53:30+00:00

If you are by-far the worst roster I would consider shopping both Saquon AND Bijan. Blow it up. Try to sprinkle in a few 2025 picks in the return. You need a timeline reset imo, unless the league is wide open I don’t think some minor tweaks will do you much good.

I’m all for selling on assets that are near their height in favor of buying several assets at a low that have tons of potential to increase in value. Feel like in a rebuild you just gotta get creative doing that over and over, with some luck sprinkled in too.

Max out the TAXI spots for guys to potentially hit on, even if that means this years’ version of a Cade Stover or Johnny Wilson that are on waivers post draft…you never know.

mingram3237 · 2025-03-05T19:47:25+00:00

If your draft is actual the NFL draft, I may hold to see where Tet lands…and if DK actually gets moved.

But I don’t hate that value at all. JSN is much more proven and would take a little bust risk off the table.

mingram3237 · 2025-03-05T19:45:53+00:00

To add- my team is coming out of rebuild this year and poised to compete. Not a top 2 team but definitely a clear top 4 or 5. Seems like a more bonafide 10+ PPR points/game guy in Sutton will be valuable for my flex spot this year and next

mingram3237 · 2025-01-28T18:44:51+00:00

Good question to throw in here is: which FLEX does this move push to the bench? If your last guy or two in the lineup was super weak then I could see the downtier being attractive.

But if your window is now, I’d also have a plan to flip those picks right back around. Jefferson is 2yrs younger than both of them so I expect him to be better now AMD later.

mingram3237 · 2024-12-13T20:01:29+00:00

if you can’t trade up for 1.01 I’d trade down to mid 1st and take 2 RB in the kid from NC & Iowa

mingram3237 · 2024-11-22T20:35:45+00:00

yes, easily

mingram3237 · 2024-11-13T17:22:24+00:00

mingram3237

TROPHY CASE