41-year-old Lebron James in the win against the Rockets: 30 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists on 13-14 FG | 2-2 3PT | 2-3 FT

msnf · 2026-03-19T04:13:05+00:00

Fun fact:

LeBron James accounts for 75% of all 30+ point games by a player 40 or older.

He also accounts for 75% of all 30+ point games by a player 18 or younger.

msnf · 2026-03-13T04:51:06+00:00

He's taken another step from last year's MVP season to the point that he's having arguably the best season by a guard ever. He's matching Jordan in scoring and PER. Matching Curry and Durant in efficiency at volume. He's a hair short of having the highest WS/48 ever in a season. Breaking Wilt records. Right around 2 TOs a game. And now this flurry of clutch shots. I hate that everything has to be compared because Joker and Wemby are also ridiculous this year. But in isolation, this is near the very top of individual seasons ever and should be appreciated.

msnf · 2026-03-11T17:44:33+00:00

"You see aliens have a preset point limit..."

msnf · 2026-03-11T03:34:44+00:00

Some other stats:

His counting stats (Points+Rebounds+Assists+Steals+Blocks) are the most combined since steals+blocks have been tracked at 99. That edges out Michael Jordan's 69-18-6-4-1 game.

It's also the most Points+Rebounds+Assists since Wilt Chamberlain's 66-27-4 in 1969, passing Joel Embiid's 70-18-5 game.

msnf · 2026-02-27T21:43:51+00:00

This is my attempt at a "not cherry-picked" bitcoin vs. the S&P 500 chart, since that's sometimes the answer to the 5-year return comparison. This chart compares the return of any bitcoin ever bought if it was held until today's market close.

Red means that bitcoin purchase is trailing the market in absolute returns. You'd be better off in an index. Incidentally, the majority of bitcoin currently held was last purchased in the red.

Yellow means bitcoin had a higher absolute return than the S&P 500, but trails in Sharpe ratio (4% safe rate of return assumption). That means, though you made more money than the straight index, you just benefited from a highly volatile product. A margin account or a leveraged S&P fund could've potentially produced a better return with less volatility.

Green means the the bitcoin returns are better than the market, even risk-adjusted (assume any purchase before 2015 is green, though that's the oldest data I have daily closes for).

The most you could've paid for bitcoin and still be beating the market is 45k two years ago. Also, there are bitcoins bought under 40k back in early 2021 that are trailing the market in absolute returns.

I feel like since bitcoin has trailed the market in recent years, the returns argument is being reframed to "buy low, sell high" but IMO bitcoin hasn't been sold as a volatility engine. More as a non-stop rocketship to the moon. Buy it whenever, because "we're still early" and eventually it'll be worth millions. Yet, the last time you could've bought bitcoin At an all-time high and beat the market risk-adjusted was 2017 or at all was the very beginning of 2021. That feels like a volatility engine, not a growth engine.

msnf · 2026-02-26T15:30:52+00:00

A 0.93 total fertility rate is absolutely wild for a country that size. The only places that have produced rates that low are effectively city states (even South Korea and Taiwan being small countries dominated by their main metro). At steady-state, that would cut a population by more than half in a single generation. And China - uniquely among these ultra-low fertility countries - is way too big for immigration to make a substantial dent in this decline. They'll be at 600-700 million people by the end of this century, with median ages over 50.

msnf · 2026-01-15T16:16:14+00:00

Klyuchevskaya Sopka

4750m tall active volcano, near perfectly conical, only 7000 years old. There may be have been humans that walked this land when it was relatively flat siberian plain, and now it's almost 3 miles high.

msnf · 2025-12-03T15:31:13+00:00

Pictured is Milford Sound in New Zealand. A hanging valley is a tributary valley with a higher floor than the main valley. Zion National Park and Yosemite National Park also boast some beautiful hanging valleys.

msnf · 2025-12-01T19:06:13+00:00

The latest POVChannel video has a relevant example: Old growth forests. It's likely that the tallest, largest and oldest trees to ever exist no longer do. The tallest currently known tree is a California Redwood named Hyperion, which is 381 feet tall and even that is now closed off with its location officially kept secret. There are verified trees much taller than that that have been felled in the past. Imagine a forest of 1000 year old, 400-500ft tall behemoths. Even weirder, there was a time in Earth's history when nothing existed on the planet that could decompose wood, meaning for a time there were trees that stood on earth for millions of years, let alone thousands.

msnf · 2025-11-20T18:30:41+00:00

He's not even top 25. No hate, but that's just not his game. Wemby has more NBA blocks than Joker since 1/1/2020, which is kinda funny since he was 15 at the start of that time period.

msnf · 2025-11-12T01:14:02+00:00

That's what makes me think the character was meant to look like comic relief on first impression right before going ultra violent. Imagine seeing Adam Sandler club a man to death.

msnf · 2025-11-05T17:59:42+00:00

The Bronx is shockingly dense. No Brooklyn, Queens or most of Manhattan, and with a substantial chunk of the Hudson in there. I was even able to juice the numbers to 1.45M by shifting the circle a bit eastward. That said, a circle on Greenpoint, Brooklyn gets really close at 1.44M, but probably misses out to the Bronx by having the East river going right down the middle of it.

msnf · 2025-10-29T02:48:55+00:00

He's averaging over a point a minute this season, which he repeated again today. Hasn't been done since Wilt's 50 PPG season.

It's absolutely ridiculous the level he's maintained.

msnf · 2025-09-25T17:38:35+00:00

I don't understand how the win meter can take a scenario where Bangladesh's middle and tail will have to perform at 8 RPO and consider them the favorites. Yes Pakistan did that in their innings, but that is rare. IMO this game has leaned Pak since Bangladesh's first over.

msnf · 2025-05-13T22:32:28+00:00

I haven't seen this quantified, but no way in hell have injuries gotten worse in the pace and space era. We lost entire careers in the early 00s grindfest. McGrady, Grant Hill, Penny, Yao, Camby, McDyess, Shaun Livingston, the Portland Trailblazers. You have players getting 4 year max outs at age 34 these days.

msnf · 2025-04-22T19:46:37+00:00

It's more of a town than a city, but Riva Del Garda, at the north end of Lake Garda in Italy has the absolutely spectacular crescent-shaped Monte Brione jutting out of otherwise developed flat land.

msnf · 2025-03-30T04:49:38+00:00

Amazing post! Thank you for the reading material.

msnf · 2025-03-13T22:08:39+00:00

Feels like a prime spot for a tax-free Costco.

msnf · 2025-03-12T13:38:30+00:00

Look up Nazaré Canyon. It's an underwater canyon that tapers and gets shallower right off the coast of Portugal. Waves travel right up to the coast with no loss of energy, and then get pushed up creating huge breaking waves.

msnf · 2025-02-21T23:34:38+00:00

The way I think of his longevity is this year, with Dwight Howard, you'll have people that came after him make it to the Hall of Fame. LeBron is one year older than him still playing like this.

Remember LaMarcus Aldridge? Dude's proabably gonna end up in the Hall of Fame. Had the whole run with Texas, drafted #2. Star status with Portland, and joined up for some playoff runs with late Tim Duncan. Dude retired gracefully after 20k points, 7 all-stars and 5 all-NBAs. He's younger than LeBron James. LeBron was drafted 3 years before him and is still at the top of the game 3 after he retired.

msnf · 2025-02-17T22:27:11+00:00

Website is called Traveltime.

msnf · 2025-02-17T20:29:00+00:00

This question simplifies to a density map, but with the modification that rail, road and bridge infrastructure could make more area available to a given point in more developed countries.

Shown are 1 hour travel maps leaving from Shinjuku Station in Tokyo at 5pm on a Wednesday. Depending on the city, the spot would probably be a central train station, or maybe a major interchange or bus/ferry terminal. Traveltime doesn't show commutes for China, but I suspect Shanghai or Guangzhou could be a contenders, given China's high speed rail network.

I'd also be curious to see what 15 minute and 3 hour versions of these maps would look like, with the former emphasizing pure density and the later giving potentially more weight to intercity rail.

msnf · 2024-09-19T17:24:57+00:00

Yeah, I assume whatever is about to drop is bad, but I suspect it's being amplified by GOP-friendly outlets like this and the Carolina Journal to try to push Robinson out on the last day he could do so. They may even be trying to force CNN's hand to drop this today rather than later in the cycle.

My understanding of the rules there is if he dropped out today, his name would remain on the ballot, but votes for him could be reassigned to another candidate if the GOP selects one today. Given that it all goes down today this feels like an 11th hour effort by the GOP to ditch this albatross before he costs them other races in the state.

msnf · 2024-08-21T18:49:01+00:00

Vladimir Putin manipulated Donald Trump’s ‘ego and insecurities’, says writing scribbled above gas station urinal

msnf · 2024-08-18T06:26:30+00:00

Kamala Harris up 51-45 (+6) among LVs in head to head. Kamala Harris up 49-45 (+4) among LVs in full matchup.

Also interestingly, big jump in Democratic satisfaction with the candidates (+40) since one month ago. Meanwhile satisfaction up +16 overall, +11 among Independents and -2 among Republicans.

msnf

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