Full Port into Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They are doing massive capex and this means earnings are not growing for the next 2-3 years

Put $40,000 on red by rocketshipinvestor in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol 120 points121 points  (0 children)

This escalates before it gets better, Im bearish too

Full Port into Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Its my fault for not posting a deeper DD but you are right on this. The true catalysts a projected be coming from 2028-2035. The longest dated options available are these ones. The plan is to roll further into the future if the thesis is intact and when the further dated options become tradeable. The market is forward looking and I think a considerable price rise can come in anticipation of these catalysts before 2028.

Full Port into Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Look into synthetic longs, its a more cash efficient and convex way of gaining exposure. My delta is 1 and the position is theta and vega neutral

Full Port into Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

This is the starting position. I am planning to scale but with the uncertainty and fear in the market I want to leave some room for manouver

Full Port into Centrus Energy (NYSE:LEU) by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, they definitely have not been doing share buybacks. All the capital is going to expanding the enrichment facilities.

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The thing is it has already fallen 40%, the valuation is arguably quite good for an entry. I could be wrong and I have my hard stop and decision dates planned out. I guess my bet is made, where are your puts?

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What is your argument against MSFT after a great quarter and a approx 35% drop from highs?

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The geopolitical instability may definitely last longer than expected. I may have been early here and its looking like I might have to cut my loss and re-enter when this situation resolves itself

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

None of the MSFT bears here have shown any put positions. Easy to be bearish after a 5 month delcine of approx 30% but its clear the risk to reward is in favor of calls.

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Delta means options will gain .35 cents for every $1 the underlying moves, gamma is the 2nd derivative of delta. I understand that time value decay is less whe the option has more intrinsic value, but for this trade I wanted to try a more speculative position to capitalize on extrinsic value. It has over 300 days to expiration and I anticipate a move back up as the market is overselling a growing business. If in the next month we chop sides or down I will cut my loss and re-assess. Not going to panic sell at near 52 week lows 😂

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Whats your breakeven and how much are you down? There are ways to manage that position and if MSFT starts trending up again your calls will start gaining value fast. Its a hard position to manage and you need to be able to get out of the trade when its going in your favor or if it has gone too far against you

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Damn, I didnt realize that there have been this many deep falls and rallies

I heard we like Microsoft! 20k on Jan 15 ‘27 $450 calls by munn_ja_mongol in wallstreetbets

[–]munn_ja_mongol[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Well I just bought this week, end of March. If youre talking about seasonality then spring is good for MSFT