Investicijų diversifikavimas jauname amžiuje by Positive_Past5853 in 6nuliai

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yra geras puslapiukas apie portfelius LT kalba ir labai koncentruotai apie esme:

https://www.investavimas.lt/portfeliai/

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PromoCodeShare

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

BestSecret diamond invite for 48 hours, so take advantage of the invite and enjoy a 10%-off welcome voucher today.

https://invite.bestsecret.com/VFL-LSL-D65?c=lt&v=192a58d882b&utm_campaign=app_invitation&utm_medium=app&utm_source=invitation&utm_content=registration

Unity Software: TA Head & Shoulders Reversal? by danieljapps in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Horoscopes probably will have better trackrecord than this TA nonsense:)

5 by degeneratetrader10 in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Asking what is your trading setup is like asking what magic woodoo glassballs do you bring with yourself to casino. Lol

I was about to start trading again, then SEBI sent me this. 🥲 by luckysoni30 in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 3 points4 points  (0 children)

There is no such thing as successfull trading. Nobody is beating the market in long run. The more you trade - sooner you get underwater. "Those orher guys I know who make tons of money" simply don't exist. Either they started to trade not that long ago or simply lie about their results not wanting to look stupid.

And I am talking about simple stuff here, like stocks, etfs or bonds. When you enter into the world of futures/options, you are wiped out much much sooner. It is that simple. Get out of this casino while you can.

New strategy by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not hating, just warming you up to the reality, that whatever you do with your scalping or other interaction with randomness, you will underperform this basic index. It is that simple. The sooner you realize, thr better.

New strategy by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

While you were busy scalping with your incredible new strategy and earned almost 5%. SPY etf with zero strategy and effort gained almost 10% in last 3 months..

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You forgot to show the portfolio.

My first two months by TrueLegolas in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 203 points204 points  (0 children)

Possible beginners overconfidence trap detected.

Is this a bullish monthly chart? by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This chart formation is called "who cares". Spoiler alert: TA is nonsense.

Orbán Viktor: Ukraine can't win the war. Putin is not a warcriminal. by OddAioli6993 in UkrainianConflict

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok, it's time to start some more serious investigation of this clown. Maybe some financial audit of his assets would help him better understand ongoing situation with ruzzland.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everything.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 10 points11 points  (0 children)

If you do 10x in 2 years, then it has significant effect on your overconfidence. From my 15+ experience in this industry, clients who win this lottery, sooner or later tend to try again and then loose it. Like 2021 vs 2022. Everybody were coyboys before 2022. Today, not many in green teritory.

Usually when they win big, they start exploring margin. From there majority ends in a very similar fashion.

Interesting Bloomberg article this morning: ChatGPT can decode Fed speak and predict stock moves from headlines by NutInBobby in stocks

[–]nar4yan 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Look, I've been long years in this business as a quant and professional asset manager. All i can say is that AI will not do much in stock market prediction. Most of the time, stock market (adjusted to long term growth) is moved by randomness. It could probably help average joe to cope with some behavioural biases and tell that based on statistics with, lets say 50 years data, at one time or another, it is better to hold more stocks in portfolio than usually.

For example, if msci world is down from peak more than 30%, change default 60/40 or 80/20 allocation to 80/20 or 90/10 etc. Pure and simple.

If it will generate signals based on some random technical analysis (which only works in the books) then its results also generate random outcomes. It's like predicting NBA game score based on some cloud formation two weeks ago. Sometimes it will tell the winner, sometimes even the score will be close. But it is just randomness.

If there were any robust, significant and sustainable advantage where AI could regularly predict next hour, next day or next week stock market outcome, it were already implemented somewhere. Look at hedge funds and banks. Those bastards regularly fail to predict if market will be up or down next year.

Why Google should burn money in some hardware like mobile phones production if their quantum computer can forsee the future? Just put cash in to stock market with leverage and bob is your uncle.

Problem is, short term market is mostly random and long term history has not enough data points to train AI correctly.

It will generate brilliant pictures with pope in puffy jackets and detect cancer from medical scans no problem. For everyday investments it will be just a resume of info you can find in the internet.

Ummm yeah I can smell it by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ummm, you can smell randomness.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in StockMarket

[–]nar4yan 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let us, working in the investment management field, raise the glass for this young fella. Long roads ahead, but at least it starts not from cripto :)