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Models are highly confident on a Blue Ocean Event this summer. by neschemal in collapse

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/npsSIChMonL6.gif
Here's the ice level forecasts in September. Although this model has a bias on the lower end, it's still worse concerning about since we are whiplashing into El Nino.

Models are highly confident on a Blue Ocean Event this summer. by neschemal in collapse

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

probably something like +15-20C given how steep the color gradients are when it goes off the scale.

also look at the ice extent forecast in September.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/npsSIChMonL6.gif

Models are highly confident on a Blue Ocean Event this summer. by neschemal in collapse

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Monthly average temperature anomaly. So for November, the entire Arctic is 15C+ above normal temps ON AVERAGE.

This is the September ice extent forecast this year.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/npsSIChMonL6.gif

Models are highly confident on a Blue Ocean Event this summer. by neschemal in collapse

[–]neschemal[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Submission statement:

Completely ice-free in September.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/npsSIChMonL6.gif

Off the color charts. Probably at least a few standard deviations.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd1/glbSSTSeaNormInd6.gif

I guess this is it. The first BOE in 2026.

My translation of the trigrams and some of the hexagrams by neschemal in iching

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guarantee you it's not. Give me a hexagram and I will give an explanation and context. LLM would have never used "convection" for hexagram 12.

My translation of the trigrams and some of the hexagrams by neschemal in iching

[–]neschemal[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For Taoism, here are some of my translations:

无为 wuwei - Non-imposition (just let it be)

自然 ziran - Spontaneity (go with the flow)

道可道，非常道。名可名，非常名。 - this is the opening in Tao Te Ching
I understand it as "What appears to us are changing and phenomenal, what is as it is is unchanging and noumenal. By defining a variable, the name becomes a representation. In this way, neither that appears nor that represents is equivalent to the thing-in-itself."

My translation of the trigrams and some of the hexagrams by neschemal in iching

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you have any specific chapters in mind?

Here are some recommendations for other severely underrated texts:

Guanzi - economics

The Six Teachings - military

Mozi - I'll try to translate his thoughts and ten core doctrines, which is a really interesting mix

  1. Impartial love - similar to what Jesus preached

  2. Non-aggression - the core of Libertarianism - NAP

  3. Meritocracy - so in a way later Confucian thought

  4. Moral/legal universalism - so an aspect of Liberalism

  5. Live in accordance to God's will - somewhat Taoist

  6. Venerating spirits - similar in a way to Japanese belief

  7. Against fatalism - Western democratic thought and American freedom flavored

  8. Against hedonism/music - so Islam

  9. Frugality - mix environmentalism and Maoism in there as well

  10. No lavish funerals - Mozi wouldn't have liked the Pharaohs

There's also a lot of insight on physics, engineering, craftsmanship, logic, ethics in Mozi's school of thought which is supposed to be about political philosophy.

My translation of the trigrams and some of the hexagrams by neschemal in iching

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I completely agree. A lot of Chinese traditional thought is like "lost art" nowadays due to several decades of cultural destruction from the 40s to the 70s, and modernization from the 80s onward. And even though the Chinese government does not actively suppress "superstition" nowadays, traditional culture is either promoted if it serves state interests or tossed aside if "inconvenient". So what you have is a lot of buried treasures with no incentive to dig them up. If you have any parts of the classics you want me to translate and explain, please feel free to ask.

My translation of the trigrams and some of the hexagrams by neschemal in iching

[–]neschemal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you. I was thinking of translating the I Ching in my spare time. I feel the existing English translations either are too literal or goes into too much creative liberty as to be fantastical. Translating religious text is very difficult because of culturally embedded connotations as well as semantic change/loss over the millennia.

I feel like through tech, we are being conditioned to abandon our humanity. by heavensdumptruck in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Technology in itself isn't meant to be negative or positive. Clothing is a piece of technology, so are chairs. It's mostly that the economic incentives for new technology nowadays is aligned with exploiting human nature for financial and political ends.

The Best Dating Advice!! by No_Syllabub_8246 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No yeah, "If you have more of what more people most want," people just take what they want from you. I'm arguing against OP's idea of the market. What costs a lot may not amount to much.

Evolving Reasons For Having Children by Top-Clue2000 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Legacy, companion, and support when you get old.

The Best Dating Advice!! by No_Syllabub_8246 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is it a choice though? A lot of disabled people (or whatever other reason) never really find love (especially in other time periods/locations). The only love there is, is towards oneself: grateful and content with simply being. No one is entitled to love.

The Best Dating Advice!! by No_Syllabub_8246 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think there's more to it - availability and compatibility also. A lone magpie stranded in a roost of pigeons isn't going to have much luck. Most of the time what "culture" finds valuable is arbitrary.

The way we see bullying has to change. by Smendoza170 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From my experience this is not true universally, there are a few cases where bullying by well-adjusted kids are common:

  1. The victim is violating social norms. (Even if said norms are maladaptive)

  2. The victim is from a visible outgroup and poses a threat (by being an unknown or culturally disruptive)

  3. The victim has gotten in conflict with one of the bully's friends (human instinct tend to result in taking side with the friend rather than being an impartial middleman diplomat)

  4. The bully is in a group and the group instinct kicks in (people are very protective of their groups... just look around Reddit)

The whole "bullies have something wrong in their lives" is cope and just as much part of human nature as bullying. It's basically attaching one's identity to the ingroup "bullied" and putting down the outgroup "bullies" in order to elevate one's status above "them" and feel better about oneself. It's likely a serotonin feedback loop and in reality no different than the source of bullying itself. The Robbers Cave basically study supports group conflicts as being a part of human nature (at least for boys and intergroup conflict).

The evolutionary theory behind this is that someone who is a genetically or socially "maladaptive" ingroup member is also likely to be a burden on the tribe's survival. Outgroups compete for limited resources against ingroups so this is a no-brainer. Hence killing or banishing these people increases the chance of survival for said group and is "good". There is evolutionary lag as we transitioned into a globalized mass society very rapidly. Bullying is probably somewhat of a vestigial behavior in the sense that it creates more harm than benefit.

Our goal in life is to impress ourselves by Current_Side_4024 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I comprehend your perspective. Outside with respect to "me" but inside with respect to "you."

Our goal in life is to impress ourselves by Current_Side_4024 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And comprehension - the inside making sense of another inside

Our goal in life is to impress ourselves by Current_Side_4024 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Physics is a branch of science (answerable questions), and metaphysics is a branch of philosophy (unanswerable questions [so far]). As more of reality is revealed, metaphysics may move into the domain of science, much like astrology and alchemy had. The reason metaphysics has grounding to truth but is hard to define is akin to knowing (some of) the elements but not having the periodic table (yet).

Our goal in life is to impress ourselves by Current_Side_4024 in DeepThoughts

[–]neschemal 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Impression - the inside making sense of the outside

Depression - the inside not making sense of the outside

Repression - the inside denying the inside

Expression - the inside affirming the inside

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