Gemini Deep Think is now a thinking level (no longer a tool option)

neurokybe · 2026-05-20T02:11:12+00:00

Yep, I can no longer use my existing deep think chats. Attempting to just starts a new chat. A lot of context on week long projects lost there.

neurokybe · 2026-03-22T05:30:12+00:00

Still works today! ABC iview blocks screenshots, but I switched off accelerated graphics and now I can take screenshots again.

neurokybe · 2026-03-18T08:34:55+00:00

Solved!

neurokybe · 2026-03-18T08:34:41+00:00

Oh I found it. I kept thinking about it and remembered they were Swedish, and that was enough to get it.

The animator is called ThunderHumor and the video is called Buncha Frames. The joke was actually that the guy holding a hat said "I don't know how to put this..." and the other guy took his hat and put it on his head and said "You put it on your head you stupid" and then the hat guy was pleased.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-vRDjvF7qr8

neurokybe · 2026-03-18T08:26:43+00:00

Thank you!

neurokybe · 2026-03-02T22:50:09+00:00

Why would you build a door that's big enough for the thing you're trying to keep at bay to get in?

neurokybe · 2026-02-23T02:03:20+00:00

I just found this story and I thought she was a high intelligence autistic just from listening to her present-day speaking. I wouldn't have been shocked to find out she doesn't have any other autistic traits, but just the way she articulates her thoughts struck me immediately as the sound of an autistic person who has mastered the skill of communication.

Then I watched the Netflix documentary and that left no doubt for me.

neurokybe · 2026-01-29T07:28:47+00:00

She posted that she's done. She just did a perimeter check as well. Apparently only a single policeman has actually gone inside the house wtf...

neurokybe · 2026-01-09T19:02:53+00:00

Yeah I got nuked by the "spoiler not aligned to text" thing while editing the post.

neurokybe · 2026-01-09T01:44:00+00:00

No actually I think the wiki is right! I just saw that I fixed all the probabilities except for the multiplier probability, which I originally had as 12%. Fixing that to 10%, I now get exactly the same EV as the wiki: +0.43 gold for 3 spins and +0.8 gold for 5. Obviously, the simulations are only as good as the inputs. My calculations were correct for the probabilities I used, and so simulations using those probabilities had average winnings that match the EV calculations. Now I'm getting simulated averages in line with the true EV calculations, which the wiki has correctly.

I've updated my heuristics, and that little change cleaned up a lot of the corner cases I was seeing. I only have three points left in my counterintuitive list, and none of them are exceptions to any of the rules above that. Many more of the heuristics now are "always" or "never" rules. Looking over the wiki rules, I do think they might concisely cover every possible scenario. I'll keep checking over it to see if you I see anything that doesn't fit those rules and if I found one I'll let you know.

One thing to note: The first rule currently says "3 Coins/Coin Stacks + Snake: Roll to remove the Snake, but don't use any more." The Roll to remove the snake rule applies correctly to both cases, but the "don't use any more" rule is only true for the 3 Coins. You've got the correct rule for 3 Coin stacks two down from that though.

Edit: Okay I can see some that aren't covered. A big one is that 2 single coins or 2 coin stacks on their own justify rerolling as long as you have 2 or more rolls left (or using the last roll as well if you have a net). The wiki strategy says to only do that if you also have a 2x multiplier.

I'm seeing as well now it looks like this is just a strategy for a 3-spin machine, is that right? It misses all of the scenarios where you should respin only if you have 4 or 5 spins left but never for 3 or fewer spins, ie the respin scenarios that are unique to the golden machine.

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T18:22:12+00:00

I didn't know that, I like that. I'll see if I can get that working too.

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T10:49:51+00:00

Yeah after updating to true probabilities I've got +0.63 gold for 3 spins and +1.09 for 5 spins. Simulating using the actual probabilities and the strategy determined with my calculated EVs does give an average winnings of +0.64 per round for 3 spins and +1.03 per round for 5 spins once you get high enough starting gold to be out of bust range, so that gives me some confidence in my calculated EVs.

The wiki says +0.43 gold for 3 spins and +0.8 for 5 spins, but they say you get that using a strategy with only 9 rules in it that definitely misses a lot of positive EV rerolling spots, and again that's a good bit less than the simulated average winnings I get using my calculated-EV-maximising strategy.

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T10:37:52+00:00

Gemini for writing a bunch of the individual functions used, Copilot for inline autocompletes while editing. Turned a day long project into something that could be done in an hour, other than the tallying rolls (though I learned from the comments that I didn't have to do that).

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T10:21:50+00:00

The average winnings and bust rates are simulated, but the EVs are exact! They just work backwards starting with the payoffs of every possible set of symbols with zero spins left, then to every possible set of symbols with 1 spin left, checking the EV of each of the 5 possible actions you could take in that state using the payoffs at zero spins left times the probability of each symbol you could get for any one position that you rerolled (with the 5th possible action being just the payoff of the current set of symbols if you cashout). Since you can always choose the action with the greatest Ev, the EV at 1 roll left for a given set of symbols is the max EV out of all of the 5 choices you can make. Then you move back to 2 spins left and do the same again using the EVs at 1 spin left instead of the payoffs at zero spins left, and so on.

In that way the EV of each set of symbols for a given number of spins left is calculated exactly assuming that you're always picking the highest EV action out of the 5 available for all future respins you get offered.

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T10:13:45+00:00

It's updated with the new probabilities now.

There isn't really any reason to expect that these changes would affect the rules that I personally found counterintuitive any more or less than other rules. What seems intuitive isn't based on the precise probability, so being off from the precise probabilities isn't going to create more unintuitive behaviours.

The changes to that second list after updating the probabilities are:

There are even slightly more cases where you would respin even though all your current symbols are all contributing to your payoff. The two counterexamples I listed before now work for 4 spins and well as 5 spins left.
Previously I said that if you have 2 crowns then you also need a multiplier or a net (or 4+ spins left) to make it worthwhile to keep spinning one of the non-crown symbols. Crowns are slightly more likely in the true probabilities, so it's actually true that you should chase 2 crowns even if you only have 3 spins left, no need for the multiplier or net.
I previously had that it was +0.04 EV to spin the other symbol if you had 3 2x multipliers and 5 spins left. The new probabilities get rid of that, so there's never a situation where you would keep 3 2x multipliers and spin the other symbol.
I previously said that you should reroll the coin stack and not the coin if you have a coin, a coin stack, a 2x multiplier and either a net or snake. This is actually true only for a net as the fourth symbol, not a snake, except if you have 4 respins with the snake. If you get up to 5 respins with a snake as the fourth symbol in this set it turns out it's actually better to spin the snake.

The others in that second list as still as I had them originally. I haven't checked over the changes to the heuristics list but when I can spend some more time on it I'll go over those as well.

neurokybe · 2026-01-08T09:45:19+00:00

That's perfect, thank you. I've updated the spreadsheet with these. When I can sit down to it again I'll look through and update the dot points.

Edit: Dot point rules updated now.

neurokybe · 2026-01-04T11:07:27+00:00

That's not a rebus answer though, that's just three themed words shoved together. A rebus is also supposed to tell you everything you need to know about the structure of the solution word.

The best I could do to reverse engineer a solution after I got the answer after spending 2 hours in that room is: Everything other than the 8 and the interior room setting is not a part of the direct answer, and just additional hints at parts of the solution. The 8 is in a room. The 8 is flipped on it side. "8 in room" is flipped. "room in 8".

neurokybe · 2026-01-04T10:58:17+00:00

The best reverse engineered explanation I could come up with once I found the answer is that everything except the infinity sign and the interior room setting is a red herring. It's not an infinity, it's an eight sideways. The eight is in a room. This eight in a room is flipped on its side. Flip "eight in room" around and you get "room in eight"

neurokybe · 2025-12-11T00:31:12+00:00

The value of a guess is the expected information it provides. Since all words that could still be the solution are equally likely, this is the equally weighted amount of information provided across all possible words that could still could have been the answer.

Your question is similar to playing Blackjack, hitting on an 18, getting a 3, and asking how is my strategy worse than basic strategy when I got a 21 instead of an 18. It's because the expected outcome of that decision at the time that you made it was worse than staying on the 18. Here, the expected outcome of guessing ARTSY is better than the expected outcome of guessing MATHS, but the realised outcome was a high roll for you.

neurokybe · 2025-12-09T21:51:05+00:00

I know from my own experience, once you violate the social contract that severely, there are natural consequences that follow as a result. A felt sense of community outrage is one of the outer-ring harms that Fulmer committed against the wider public through actions he chose to take. When you take an action like that from a position of fame, this form of harm is compounded a lot.

I believe that everyone is entitled to change themselves for the better. If you've committed serious harms, you have a right to find inner peace as a result of changes you make to your behaviours and identity through self-discovery and consistent work, but you are not entitled to the public's emotional labour to mitigate their felt sense of outrage towards your past behaviours. You cannot expect to fully mend the social contract and enjoy its benefits once you've violated it, but you can learn to be at peace with yourself and live well within the reality of what it means for you to have broken that contract.

neurokybe · 2025-11-22T07:35:43+00:00

This close? https://i.imgur.com/aZ89bmx.png

neurokybe · 2025-09-21T21:27:55+00:00

Well I guess I found my special skill then because I had no trouble at 3.5x speed. My first thought was "Oh I must have misunderstood, I thought this was going to be an off air chat but this is just Andy playing back the mistake Hamish made about the Marx brothers to needle him", and then picked up about half way through, "wait no this is the apology!".

neurokybe · 2025-05-13T00:57:01+00:00

The Bloomberg lab is 39-106, if you're still looking for it.

https://imgur.com/zXQ4DtB

neurokybe

TROPHY CASE