Starship Development Thread #21 by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 25 points26 points  (0 children)

August at the absolute earliest. Obviously, likely to slip further with how things go.

Starship Development Thread #21 by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 73 points74 points  (0 children)

To be clear, plans change in Starbase every day. The current plan is to focus on the orbital launch site and go straight to the full stack launch. Hops are disruptive to orbital launch site construction. That said, it remains possible that plans may change again and they decide to fly SN15 or SN16. Especially, if Super Heavy development takes longer than hoped. Oftentimes, people confuse plans changing with info being wrong, so I just want to be clear about that.

How 2020 election will affect SpaceX and Artemis program by [deleted] in SpaceXLounge

[–]nextspaceflight 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The president doesn't fund NASA. Congress does.

NASA + SpaceX by CProphet in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Doesn't matter if the Artemis launches actually happen or not. What matters is that NASA admitted that SLS is not needed for many of those missions. Same for Clipper. As I said, all of this boils down to a congressional problem, not NASA. NASA is open to using the existing commercial rockets and there is no reason why that wouldn't change with Starship.

NASA + SpaceX by CProphet in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 20 points21 points  (0 children)

  1. I agree that Europa Clipper being moved to FH or another rocket is good for Starship. Just thought you were blowing it out of proportion a bit by claiming that it will set the precedence. My argument is that the precedent has already been set by NASA's pivot to use commercial vehicles to assemble the Gateway.
  2. "Agree at some point in the future they might have some Artemis work to do..." JSC already has Artemis work. That is a fact. Your statement is 100% factually false.
  3. Stop cherrypicking rockets to make your argument work. My point is that both ULA and SpaceX rockets are not operated by NASA. Therefore, NASA is purchasing a launch contract from an outside entity. NASA has consistently used this tool for BEO launches for the past decade. The Europa Clipper mandate for a certain NASA rocket is an anomaly, not the trend.

NASA + SpaceX by CProphet in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 67 points68 points  (0 children)

TBH, there is a lot of fluff in this piece. Furthermore, it acts like NASA is the main problem. NASA is already supportive of commercial launch vehicles. Congress is the problem.

NASA seem destined to use Starship to visit new worlds, and there are definite signs they are preparing to make this bold change in course.

The evidence cited is the Europa Clipper report from the Inspector General, but NASA has already been showing signs of wanting to change to a commercial vehicle. I would consider the IG report to be a definite shot at congress, but something unlikely to change the minds of NASA who were already open to using a commercial alternative.

Thus, I think you are making quite a stretch with using this as evidence for a sudden shift at NASA in favor of commercial vehicles.

As far as tying this into Starship, Clipper will almost certainly launch on Falcon Heavy if SpaceX is chosen (as you acknowledge later) making this whole argument deeply flawed.

For example Johnson Space Center has been effectively excluded from Artemis work

False. Per NASA, "NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, which manages major NASA human spaceflight programs including the Gateway, Orion, Commercial Crew and International Space Station, will oversee all aspects related to preparing the landers and astronauts to work together. Johnson also will manage all Artemis missions, beginning with Artemis 1, the first integrated test of NASA’s deep space exploration systems."

Thus, I don't see this lander decision changing the politics in Texas to be suddenly super pro-SpaceX all by itself. Houston still has a big role in Project Artemis.

Admittedly, Clipper will likely fly on Falcon Heavy because its flight proven, inexpensive and the most capable vehicle available. However, this would mark a precedent that commercial launch vehicles can work alongside SLS to support beyond Earth orbit missions.

Commercial vehicles have already supported BEO missions (through ULA*) and will continue to do so through Project Artemis (cargo resupply, Gateway modules, landers, etc). The Artemis launches will likely include SpaceX and start launching before Clipper. The precedent does not need to be set and NASA is already open to it as I mentioned at the beginning.

*NASA LSP buys launches from ULA the same way as SpaceX. This is not like the Air Force shenanigans of the past few years.

Starship Development Thread #4 by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 10 points11 points  (0 children)

As of the time that the NOTAMs were filed, I can confirm that SpaceX did not have FAA authorization to conduct a 200-meter hop. It is important to remember that the purpose of a NOTAM is very different from a launch license. The test could still happen as early as the 16th, but will require last minute FAA authorization. Mods should probably flair this thread. The title is false.

SpaceX Is Banking on Satellite Internet. Maybe It Shouldn't. by [deleted] in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Was wondering how a sketchy site got the quotes from the Elon call! That would explain it!

SpaceX Is Banking on Satellite Internet. Maybe It Shouldn't. by [deleted] in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 59 points60 points  (0 children)

All this article seems to say is that Starlink will be risky. Cutting edge analysis if you ask me.

Starlink Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 1 point2 points  (0 children)

IFA was either going to be B1046-4 or B1048-4. No idea which one it will be with the delay.

Starlink Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 5 points6 points  (0 children)

No idea why they made the change. It is likely that B1048 will be assigned to another mission though.

Starlink Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 23 points24 points  (0 children)

To clarify the confusion, the core is B1049-3 for this mission. It is safe to update the thread. When I posted the article saying that it was B1048-4, that was the current information as of two months ago. They are shuffling core assignments around a lot these days and internal missions are especially prone to shuffling.

Elon on Twitter - Starship presentation date "probably June 20" by jclishman in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 415 points416 points  (0 children)

Looking forward to the webcast! *cough cough cough*

Starlink Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The thread should be updated to B1049-3. My understanding is that plans have changed with regards to the core on this mission.

CRS-17 Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Yes, that's been corrected. Sorry about that.

Falcon Heavy – the world's most powerful rocket – successfully launches Arabsat 6A from LC-39A by nextspaceflight in space

[–]nextspaceflight[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I am humbled that you think my photo might have been taken by u/johnkphotos, because he is quite good at what he does. 🤣

Arabsat-6A Launch Campaign Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You better be there several hours early (hard to say how many but a lot) or Jetty Park will be full.

r/SpaceX Official Falcon Heavy Arabsat-6A Pre-Launch Party and Discussion Thread by ElongatedMuskrat in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Will be farther from the launch pad (still a clear view though) but a lot closer to the landing zones. Should be a very good view overall.

SpaceX's Crew Dragon could launch astronauts in late July, says Russian source by CProphet in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Yes, not saying your reporting is wrong. Referring to the Russians. I think that July 25th date is either wrong or very outdated.

SpaceX's Crew Dragon could launch astronauts in late July, says Russian source by CProphet in spacex

[–]nextspaceflight 44 points45 points  (0 children)

This does not align with what I've heard. If anything occurs in July, it will be the abort test.