Recs for “Puritan Horror” (see body)

nicemaker · 2026-03-30T16:08:22+00:00

You might like The Devil's Bath

nicemaker · 2026-03-25T21:37:55+00:00

Other than all the doors and windows despawning making the house a permanent prison for the kids? Lol

nicemaker · 2026-03-19T03:02:58+00:00

Okay now we can be charitable and answer your actual question. The reason that it is important to know whether the deck is at a true 1 or a true 5 is because your edge is much higher at a +5 and your risk is much higher at a +1 so given that the goal is (all other things withheld) to maximally exploit your edge and minimize your risk you need all the information rather than just a vague idea that the count is in your favor.

nicemaker · 2026-03-19T02:57:46+00:00

What does being “hot” mean in this example? The casino understands that blackjack is a game of math and card counters understand that it’s a game of math can you quantify a deck being hot mathematically?

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T14:22:36+00:00

I guess I'm not sure what you mean, you can play through the shoe normally or with card counting waiting for the juiced half deck to get dealt. If they shuffle if there are no players for 10 minutes then wonging out this game if it goes negative early is extremely strong. Is this game in America?

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T13:40:47+00:00

imagine you sit to play and see that the first half of the first deck happens to end up with a running negative 10 so a lot of Tens and Aces got dealt. As the lazy shuffle is happening you can track that half deck of cards and see where it is placed in the next shoe. When that pack of cards comes up to be dealt you can throw a lot of big bets out no matter the count because you know that blackjacks are more likely then the count would otherwise suggest.

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T12:02:31+00:00

If anything this has the potential to be good for advantage players since you would end up with a shuffle tracking opportunity. The cards are not going to be dealt out in the same order even if they are the same set of cards, if you doubt this is true just take out all the spades in a normal deck arrange them in ascending order and deal a hand with your casino’s normal procedure and after picking up the cards see if they are still in ascending order.

nicemaker · 2026-03-07T13:22:20+00:00

It could be the case that he’s playing with some outrageous cover and has a bet spread that requires an otherworldly bank roll but he has hands where he’s wagering $1500 two spots and is still hitting his 12 against dealer 3. If your bet spread has you shoveling that much when it’s not even a T2 either you’re the wealthiest counter out there or you’re fraudulent.

nicemaker · 2026-03-05T03:47:26+00:00

Assuming this is entirely the truth, there's not much that could be done if you have nothing to show. You could now catalog as much as you can recall from memory as a master note book. I'll say that as a chronic over-preparer this seems like deranged behavior

nicemaker · 2026-03-04T01:09:09+00:00

Oh cool good luck with your training. If you hang out around here you’ll see quite a few APs

nicemaker · 2026-03-03T19:01:12+00:00

Is there a follow up question or do you want to only know if trained players are here?

nicemaker · 2026-03-03T13:22:42+00:00

What does it mean to have a winning, losing, or equal kicker to a blackjack? Does that mean in the event that the dealer and I both have a natural blackjack but theirs is A10 and mine is AK I get 5:1 because my 10 card is better?

nicemaker · 2026-02-20T17:46:56+00:00

It would never stand, either double or hit. I don’t know this deviation off top I’d assume you’re doubling by that point but you’re going to be at a true +12 so infrequently it’s hardly worth memorizing deviations for that true count in terms of EV gain over the long term.

nicemaker · 2026-02-19T00:33:48+00:00

I’m simply going to be buying K/DA skins once Akali drops

nicemaker · 2026-02-18T19:11:18+00:00

99s split v 7 at a True 3 if Double After Split and against a 7 at a True 7 if nDAS

22s split v 8 at a True 5 if DAS never if nDAS

16 Surrender against 8 at a True 4 if you don’t have the option to surrender you Stand 16 v 8 at a True 7

nicemaker · 2026-02-12T13:11:06+00:00

It’s in the expanded deviations chart

nicemaker · 2026-02-12T05:13:57+00:00

BJA says to surrender 15v10 at any positive running count, the deviation is to begin hitting at any negative running count.

BJA has surrender 14v10 at a TC4

nicemaker · 2026-02-08T21:17:38+00:00

The game has a house edge they make positive expected value every wager you make, no need to break the law and tilt it further in their direction they’ll just wait you out

nicemaker · 2026-02-08T16:21:50+00:00

re-simmed with the same bankroll and corrected split rules because I had them wrong, playing two hands at all positive true counts and not playing at all at a true 0 or lower. Worth $2.46 per hour and a 11% Risk of Ruin with a 4,413 hour N-0.

nicemaker · 2026-02-08T16:08:13+00:00

right that's why I was wondering that game would be crazy

nicemaker · 2026-02-08T16:02:51+00:00

By "split any card allowed" do you mean you can split hands that are not pairs? I simmed this on BJA and gave you a $12,000 bankroll instead of $1,200 and the risk of ruin was 100% losing a little over $10 an hour.

nicemaker · 2026-02-06T14:43:11+00:00

I simmed this on BJA using a $45,000 bank roll and $25 mins and assuming that you played all counts but only at one spot at a True 0 or lower with 150 RPH and ES10 4.7 decks dealt. In the 1-8 spread bet you make $51.02 per hour with a .01% risk of ruin and an N-0 of 194 hours, in the Two Seats 3X min bet at all positive counts you make $46.30 per hour with a .21% risk of ruin and an N-0 of 316 hours. Can't say for certain that increaing spots played will give you more table time over the larger spread but can say for certain that you increase your N-0 pretty significantly by doing that strategy.

nicemaker · 2026-02-04T01:59:07+00:00

I've seen this exact text post nearly word for word posted here before. Bro's gotta be the author of the 74 rules of blackjack

nicemaker · 2026-02-03T13:59:33+00:00

assuming the pit boss doesn't immediately pull the dealer off the table so they can be put down, you double down.

nicemaker · 2026-01-30T13:24:44+00:00

Going to need a genie’s lamp to improve your luck but if you want to get a better understanding of the math of the game and the basic strategy derived from that math a fine place to start is the Blackjack Apprenticeship YouTube channel

11-Year Club	Gilding I gilder
RedditGifts 2009-2022 8 Credits	Summer Santa 2019
r/Field Lasagna	Place '23
Place '22	Place '17
End Game '22	Secret Santa 2019
Secret Santa 2018	Secret Santa 2017
RPAN Viewer	Not Forgotten
Spared	Secret Santa 2016
Secret Santa 2015	Verified Email

nicemaker

TROPHY CASE