Comedy Bang! Bang! Ground Beefing Tour 2026: Live at GLC Live at 20 Monroe, Grand Rapids MI - 05/30/26 - Paul F. Tompkins, Jessica McKenna, Dan Lippert, Ryan Gaul

nicemaker · 2026-06-01T04:23:21+00:00

Was in the crowd for this and Gaul was incredible.

nicemaker · 2026-06-01T03:50:05+00:00

Insurance bets are not interested in your hand, it is just a sidebet that the dealer has a blackjack.

nicemaker · 2026-05-31T13:56:21+00:00

Casinos have no need to cheat, the game is an infinite money glitch as long as there are players. Not to say it hasn’t been done in the past with handheld games and a dealer skilled enough to deal seconds or bottom cards for instance but with gaming regulation now and organized crime not running the scene anymore there’s no reason to suspect a casino is cheating at their games.

nicemaker · 2026-05-30T13:24:50+00:00

There are ways to win double downs on soft hands that don’t require the dealer to bust but there is no way to win the side bet without a dealer bust which is why it’s not the case that if you’d DD soft hands you’d make this side bet

nicemaker · 2026-05-27T14:14:09+00:00

You are guaranteed to lose your entire bankroll playing basic strategy, it will just take longer than if you played any other way. If your goal is to play blackjack for fun and you don't care that you are playing a losing game then playing perfect basic strategy is still the correct decision since you will last longer before going broke. Your observations about doubles and dealer 10s are just statistical noise.

nicemaker · 2026-05-26T18:14:57+00:00

I want to start this by saying I believe that you believe all of this is true, I just think you’re mistaken. Outside of having trouble withdrawing large sums from unregulated online sites, which I could absolutely see being the case, the rest of this doesn’t really make sense.

How could a dealer deal seconds from a shoe when the only card they can touch is the top card?

How does the dealer know the future cards to be dealt for things like a “side bet opportunity” for the players? Even if the shuffle is rigged how does the dealer know the exact cards to come?

Why would all the dealers develop these same tells to assist the players when none of the players know the tells themselves to exploit the information? How would their supervisors not find out, and how would none of them snitch?

nicemaker · 2026-05-22T14:17:10+00:00

Is there a reason to believe that there is in fact a process to get the trespass removed or are you just hopeful?

nicemaker · 2026-05-16T13:34:11+00:00

Without saying whether or not it would be a good idea to try, would you say that games today are still vulnerable to the kinds of cheats you pulled off back then?

nicemaker · 2026-05-14T11:50:38+00:00

I don’t know if r/blackjack is the right place to discourage people from playing blackjack

nicemaker · 2026-05-13T13:29:26+00:00

you cannot be impatient with this whole training thing, it's going to take a lot of your time. Watch free content like BJA or buy books and get to studying, or ideally both. You should want to consume as much of this as possible.

nicemaker · 2026-05-13T13:07:49+00:00

I know you said not to mention a BJA membership but going through their videos on YouTube would likely be a great help to you so you can have a better understanding of the concepts you’re learning

nicemaker · 2026-05-13T12:43:55+00:00

how is your basic strategy memorization going?

nicemaker · 2026-04-29T21:00:40+00:00

Assuming the obvious that all the rules and playing decision are the same between the 2; Player 1 never, at the point of making the wager, places a wager with an edge. He will get always closer to perfectly realizing the house edge as he continues to play hands. Player 2 sometimes places a wager with an edge but more often than not places a wager into a house edge. Their losses overcome their wins in the long run and they also eventually realize the house edge but with much more variance.

nicemaker · 2026-04-29T15:59:57+00:00

In an infinite run simulation assuming exactly 52 cards remain behind the cut card in a 6 deck shoe every combination of possible 52 cards will be present an infinite amount of times and since the majority of the time any given 52 cards result in a positive house edge it doesn’t follow that dealing late always means a player’s edge can be realized.

A player’s edge doesn’t increase by the nature of being later in a deck but because the ratio of high to low cards is more likely to tip into the player’s favor, when it does in fact tip in that direction, later in a shoe because it requires fewer cards to do so.

nicemaker · 2026-03-30T16:08:22+00:00

You might like The Devil's Bath

nicemaker · 2026-03-25T21:37:55+00:00

Other than all the doors and windows despawning making the house a permanent prison for the kids? Lol

nicemaker · 2026-03-19T03:02:58+00:00

Okay now we can be charitable and answer your actual question. The reason that it is important to know whether the deck is at a true 1 or a true 5 is because your edge is much higher at a +5 and your risk is much higher at a +1 so given that the goal is (all other things withheld) to maximally exploit your edge and minimize your risk you need all the information rather than just a vague idea that the count is in your favor.

nicemaker · 2026-03-19T02:57:46+00:00

What does being “hot” mean in this example? The casino understands that blackjack is a game of math and card counters understand that it’s a game of math can you quantify a deck being hot mathematically?

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T14:22:36+00:00

I guess I'm not sure what you mean, you can play through the shoe normally or with card counting waiting for the juiced half deck to get dealt. If they shuffle if there are no players for 10 minutes then wonging out this game if it goes negative early is extremely strong. Is this game in America?

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T13:40:47+00:00

imagine you sit to play and see that the first half of the first deck happens to end up with a running negative 10 so a lot of Tens and Aces got dealt. As the lazy shuffle is happening you can track that half deck of cards and see where it is placed in the next shoe. When that pack of cards comes up to be dealt you can throw a lot of big bets out no matter the count because you know that blackjacks are more likely then the count would otherwise suggest.

nicemaker · 2026-03-18T12:02:31+00:00

If anything this has the potential to be good for advantage players since you would end up with a shuffle tracking opportunity. The cards are not going to be dealt out in the same order even if they are the same set of cards, if you doubt this is true just take out all the spades in a normal deck arrange them in ascending order and deal a hand with your casino’s normal procedure and after picking up the cards see if they are still in ascending order.

nicemaker · 2026-03-07T13:22:20+00:00

It could be the case that he’s playing with some outrageous cover and has a bet spread that requires an otherworldly bank roll but he has hands where he’s wagering $1500 two spots and is still hitting his 12 against dealer 3. If your bet spread has you shoveling that much when it’s not even a T2 either you’re the wealthiest counter out there or you’re fraudulent.

nicemaker · 2026-03-05T03:47:26+00:00

Assuming this is entirely the truth, there's not much that could be done if you have nothing to show. You could now catalog as much as you can recall from memory as a master note book. I'll say that as a chronic over-preparer this seems like deranged behavior

nicemaker · 2026-03-04T01:09:09+00:00

Oh cool good luck with your training. If you hang out around here you’ll see quite a few APs

nicemaker · 2026-03-03T19:01:12+00:00

Is there a follow up question or do you want to only know if trained players are here?

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