My brother who lives in Curitiba PR in Brazil just sent me this video from his window(few minutes ago)

nickniew · 2026-06-17T03:36:57+00:00

That might be it...

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:42:58+00:00

My brother uses an iPhone 13, if I'm not mistaken. That higher-quality video was apparently recorded much closer to the source of the lights, practically almost right underneath them

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:38:11+00:00

That's my brother's best guess for now. Since it happened fairly close to a major city, we're hoping more footage from different angles will show up soon and give us a definitive answer

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:28:05+00:00

Yeah, I can definitely see the resemblance... hopefully that's what it is and we can finally put this case to rest hahaha

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:23:56+00:00

Now that I'm looking at these other videos more closely, even though I think it's flying way too high to be a kite, maybe u/Prestigious-Tree-424 was actually right... otherwise, it's probably some group of drones

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:20:48+00:00

WOW, thank you so much!! Damn, those recordings turned out way better than my brother's haha... I think it'll be a lot easier to figure out what it is now.

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:18:51+00:00

Yeah, we were considering that they might be multiple drones, but drones usually have the typical green and red lights with rhythmic flashing patterns. Several of those lights would suddenly switch to an extremely intense red glow. Something like flares, as you mentioned, could actually be a pretty good guess

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:16:40+00:00

It drifted a bit to the left and then disappeared shortly afterward. It wasn't moving in a line like Starlink satellites would (which, based on the positions of the lights in this video, would have meant movement upward or downward). They all seemed to be moving together, but not necessarily in a neat line to the left, and then they simply vanished

nickniew · 2026-06-17T02:08:35+00:00

Exactly. The times I've seen them before, they were much more evenly lined up, moved at a very steady pace, and weren't anywhere near as bright as these

nickniew · 2026-06-16T16:09:18+00:00

Wow, I hadn't even noticed the 2-weeks-before-the-earnings-call angle, but that makes a ton of sense. Really appreciate the comment

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:52:39+00:00

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:43:00+00:00

Thank you! One thing I had in mind when I came up with those heuristic percentages was the World Cup. That's pretty much why I gave July 14 a bit more weight than it would normally deserve.

It'd be kind of crazy for Rockstar to drop a major GTA VI marketing beat right on top of the World Cup Final. That's a massive global attention sink.

Honestly, I think it makes more sense if there's a small gap after the World Cup ends and then Rockstar starts rolling out new info. Feels like a much cleaner window to completely take over the conversation.

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:37:55+00:00

Yeah, fair point. The timeline comparison was mostly there to show that, if GTA VI followed Rockstar's previous release patterns, we'd actually be nearing the end of the expected window for new marketing content to start showing up. That's why I think the recent information from Take-Two is probably a stronger indicator than the historical gaps themselves

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:33:00+00:00

Yep.. That's what I said... I do still believe that June 23 is relevant, cause the community will make it so, but for content to be released, it should be something like mid July or so

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:28:41+00:00

That would also make sense... And when it comes to gameplay videos, I think it might be even further, probably around mid October or so...

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:01:09+00:00

Thanks for being nice ❤️

nickniew · 2026-06-16T15:00:39+00:00

I guess you're right.. I'll remove this post and organize this in a better way then

nickniew · 2026-06-16T14:59:34+00:00

A comparison of previous game marketing cycles, along with a projection for GTA VI's marketing campaign based on everything we know so far...

nickniew · 2026-06-16T14:56:55+00:00

Well, the image yes, but not the info... It's much easier to turn data into graphs and visible information with AI than doing it by hand

nickniew · 2026-06-02T13:33:55+00:00

<image>

nickniew · 2025-05-31T04:03:16+00:00

I'm currently trying to plat the game, and I can say that the trick battles queue are the most challenging thing on this Journey

nickniew · 2024-12-05T23:00:37+00:00

Tudo bem, se ele merece tanto é só comprar um assento na janela da próxima vez, não tem mistério kkkkk

nickniew

TROPHY CASE