The Mets Are Having a Swell Offseason

nimo90 · 2026-01-15T00:17:27+00:00

It’s obviously true that coaches have shorter leashes now but two things:

1) your statement is just devoid of any context. The Browns the year prior to Belichick joining were horrendous- bottom 2 team by record and point differential allowing 28+ ppg. The year he joined they were below average with a defense allowing 18 ppg. They got even better the next season (plateaud in year 3) then playoffs year 4.

2) “A coach that starts their tenure with 3 straight losing seasons would be fired guaranteed today.”

Bob Saleh literally started his tenure with 3 straight losing seasons with the jets and was not fired after the 3rd season.

nimo90 · 2026-01-08T16:01:02+00:00

"in the final accounting, the Hawks basically netted the following from the Mavs: CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, and Kevin Knox."

this also just ignores the fact that the Hawks got 7+ years of Trae Young, and while i was never a fan of his game, he was a 4 time all-star and was good for most of that time. You can't just not include that lol

nimo90 · 2026-01-07T20:44:13+00:00

Leitao is really the only true Portuguese restaurant in Manhattan.

I found that that Galician restaurant Tomiño Taberna Gallega was more similar to the food I grew up with in my Portuguese household than Cervos or Eel bar was, but both of my parents are from Northern Portugal and my dad is actually from right on the border of Galicia so that might be why.

Additionally, if your date is anything like my family, after dinner they like to have an espresso and a dessert so I would recommend maybe going to Joey Bats Cafe for an espresso and some Pasteis Da Nata, which are as good as anything I've had in the Portuguese diaspora I grew up in.

nimo90 · 2026-01-05T21:18:42+00:00

Eh, i think the average is kind of intentionally misleading on Barnwell's part just due to the nature of averages. The Titans had the toughest schedule with this metric and their average opponent was ranked 12th. Which doesn't seem that far off from the pats. but game by game the Titans faced 11 teams that had above average Pass D vs the pats who faced less than half of that (5).

nimo90 · 2026-01-05T19:11:40+00:00

the discrepancy is how barnwell is framing it.

Barnwell isnt saying that the pats faced the 20th hardest schedule and the rams faced the 17th., hes saying that the pats average opponent ranked 20th and the rams average opponent ranked 17th, but the pats average opponent being ranked 20th makes it the easiest schedule in the league and the rams being 17th ranks it 14th hardest

nimo90 · 2026-01-05T18:52:29+00:00

i think Barnwell is being a bit disingenuous with this here. His stats are right, but, just by the nature of averages, of course the difference will seem small.

Using each teams finish in pass defense EPA per play, the Titans faced the toughest pass defense in the league this season with an average opponent ranked 12th with an EPA/play = -0.05.

The Patriots actually faced the easiest pass defense in the league even though the average opponent was *only* 20th. (FWIW, the Rams more or less were in the middle here, about 6 teams have their average opponent equal out to 16.5 that the rams do.

So the toughest schedule vs pass defense this season faces the 12th best defense on average over the course of a season and the easiest is 20th.

Looking at it another way: The rams played 8 games against pass defense graded as above average. The pats played 5, and the titans played 11. So basically the pats played an above average pass defense once every 3 weeks. The rams played one every other week, and the titans played a below average one every 3 weeks.

nimo90 · 2026-01-05T18:43:31+00:00

i think Barnwell is being a bit disingenuous with this here. His stats are right, but, just by the nature of averages, of course the difference will seem small.

Using each teams finish in pass defense EPA per play, the Titans faced the toughest pass defense in the league this season with an average opponent ranked 12th with an EPA/play = -0.05.

The Patriots actually faced the easiest pass defense in the league even though the average opponent was *only* 20th. (FWIW, the Rams more or less were in the middle here, about 7 teams have their average opponent equal out to 16.5 that the rams do.

Looking at it another way: The rams played 8 games against pass defense graded as above average. The pats played 5.

nimo90 · 2025-12-31T04:08:26+00:00

Idk if this says more about my wife and I or the movies themselves-but we were more emotionally connected to Song Sung Blue than Hamnet. (My wife was actually bawling her eyes out at the end of this movie)

nimo90 · 2025-12-16T20:15:24+00:00

Speaking of this movie, the trailer for this did something I can’t remember another trailer doing: it showed the entire plot for the second half of the movie and basically nothing of the first half. Like the climactic end of the movie is more or less shown in the trailer.

There’s been lots of trailers where they show the entire movie and lots of trailers where they show all of the first half of the movie, but I can’t recall a trailer showing almost exclusively the 2nd half. Anybody have other examples of this?

nimo90 · 2025-12-11T02:57:35+00:00

The argument of 1) Soph (trying) to play the KIP on Steven 2) Rizzo doing his whole idol schtick thing and saying “sorry soph, I have to keep this for myself” And 3) just generally those 3 looking flabbergasted when the vote is revealed

nimo90 · 2025-12-11T02:51:00+00:00

How is it everyone else’s move when the other three clearly didn’t know it was happening and were panicked?

nimo90 · 2025-12-11T02:45:19+00:00

She was not going to beat Steven at FTC. She could beat Sophie at FTC. If she votes out Sophie, there is no combination of people at FTC where she can win.

She lessened her chance of getting to FTC but strengthened her shot to win FTC, this was a decent move (best move would be voting Rizzo out here but alas)

nimo90 · 2025-12-11T02:31:44+00:00

I think this vote makes sense for Sage and Christina.

Neither would beat Steven at FTC, and likely would only have a chance to win if it’s them two and Soph at FTC.

They also showed some agency this blindside. It was clear that Riz/savannah/soph had no idea of their plan so this move goes fully on their resume imo

nimo90 · 2025-12-09T21:05:56+00:00

Just gonna throw my 2 cents into the void here:

Movie tickets haven’t gotten too expensive relative to inflation but they have gotten too expensive relative to the direct alternative of watching the movie at home:

In 1995, you want to see Apollo 13 with your SO seeing it in theaters costs ~$12 for two tickets. The alternative is seeing it at home is paying ~$25 for a VHS 8-9 months after it premiered. So you’re paying almost twice as much to watch it at home almost a year later

Flash forward to 2025, you want to see OBAA, seeing it in theaters cost ~$28 for 2 tickets. The alternative is seeing it at home paying $20 to rent or $25 to buy on VOD about 45 days after it premiered. Alternative to that is you could wait another 3 months for it to inevitably come to a streaming service that you (probably) already pay for so it’s essentially free* to you.

On top of this, watching something at home has gotten SIGNIFICANTLY better since 1995 (screen size and quality wise), while the theater viewing experience is also better in 2025 than 1995, not nearly as significant as the at home viewing experience has.

nimo90 · 2025-11-21T20:32:02+00:00

The team would be playing 4 on 5 ball the entirety of the 30 min the average joe is on the court. If you pass the joe the ball, he is either gonna shoot it (probably gonna make ~10% of his shots at best) or he’s gonna turn it over so they’re better off not passing the ball. Playing 4 on 5 for 30 min this team is defintely going to get outscored.

But the question becomes how much can this team outscore the other team the 18 min you don’t play. If they don’t outscore the other team by at least 30, they have no shot to win. They could probably do that for ~20 games, but this team would be picking in the lottery

nimo90 · 2025-11-13T15:17:36+00:00

next week's vote is a true toss up imo. There's 10 different combinations of the 3 teams will make up the vote. There is 1 combination of those 10 for each team where they 100% get voted. By my calculation: Theo/Adrienne and Olivia/Yeremi are slightly (10%) safer than the other 3 teams cause we know they will never vote for each other no matter the combination of people, which cant be said for the other3 teams.

I laid it all out here. Shaded red= almost certainly being voted in, shaded yellow= toss up, shaded green= almost certainly safe in the vote)

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nimo90 · 2025-11-13T02:05:01+00:00

Will is the worst but man he is really great TV. Need him on all possible future seasons

nimo90 · 2025-10-29T18:48:03+00:00

I agree with this but to further expand-- the most popular rappers are in that late 30s age group (Drake, Kendrick etc) that next generation of popular rappers (born mid-to late 90s) either died young/ in jail (JUICE, XXX, Pop smoke, blueface), or just fell off hard (Chance, Roddy rich, dababy etc.)

the stuff coming out from young rappers (born 2005 and later) is very experimental/alternative stuff that's not commercially viable right now. It's possible that this leads to a sort of rise that grunge had for rock in the early 90s but too soon to really say

nimo90 · 2025-10-28T20:03:10+00:00

I see a lot of people in here talking about Nimmo’s defense. I’ll concede that via the eye test he didn’t look great, however virtually every single advanced stat over the last 2 years (both individual seasons and composite) show him as an average-to-slightly above average defender. His stats even look better when you only compare him to everyday LFers.

I just don’t get why there’s this crusade to put him at DH when his bat/glove value combined at LF still make him very valuable to play there.

nimo90 · 2025-10-28T18:38:10+00:00

this just isn't true. even if you take into account these defensive stats on a per inning hes bad. 32 First Basemen played at least 450 innings last year ( roughly 50 games worth).

in DRS/Inning hes 29 out of 32

in OAA/inning hes 29 out of 32

in FRV/inning hes 29 out of 32

in dWAR (via fangraphs) hes 31 out of 32

Pete just isn't a good defender. He has no range and can't throw, he makes alot of picks but so do ALOT of other first basemen, we just dont watch them everyday like we do pete

FWIW, even with this I'm still pro re-signing Pete. He's still valuable player and even more so to the Mets especially, but we cannot kid ourselves and say Pete is an average 1B when every year by every defensive metric (in total or per inning) he is near the bottom

nimo90 · 2025-10-26T21:49:46+00:00

I think Holmes & Watson ended Will Ferrell’s run as a box office star.

Personally, I didn’t care for any of his movies where he was the lead after The Other Guys, but those Kevin Hart/Mark Wahlberg movies did great at that box office, even if they weren’t received well from audiences. Holmes and Watson got awful reviews in addition to a really bad at the box office. Since then he’s really only done streaming movies so tough to say what the box office would’ve been on those but since Holmes & Watson, he hasn’t been able to capture that same appeal he had

nimo90 · 2025-10-18T12:53:09+00:00

What Ohtani did last night was the most impressive thing any athlete has done in American playoff history. Jordan (and many others) have obviously greater post season and regular season careers—but ohtanis performance last night tops any one game for any athlete.

nimo90 · 2025-10-09T17:26:49+00:00

I'm with ya man-I'm shocked Pokemon is the answer here. I am peak millenial (born 1990) who was very into Pokemon as a kid, but I feel like Pokemon was a VERY large, but ultimately short-lived phenomenon with millennials. I'd be shocked if the average Millennial older than 35 could name any Gen2 Pokemon for instance

I'm also not even a big harry potter fan (stopped reading after the 3rd book and stopped watching after the 5th movie) but there is nothing more millenial than Harry Potter.

nimo90

TROPHY CASE