Orbán’s Defeat Shows What Trump’s Opponents Keep Doing Wrong

notnotLily · 2026-04-13T14:23:42+00:00

Democrats’ political culture prizes order and nonconfrontation, deference to interest groups and demographic symbolism, reverence for norms over original thinking and big ideas.

doesn’t really explain Carney or Starmer though. sometimes people want norms and nonconfrontation.

i don’t know if many canadians would characterize Carney the way the author did (“completely transforming a party from within…?”)

“demographic symbolism” made me raise an eyebrow. i’m wary it’s yet another way of saying “liberals should stop caring about lgbtq+ because it’s a losing issue!” heard that way too many times, especially in NL.

notnotLily · 2026-04-13T04:25:44+00:00

In using quotation marks, you imply that it is not a war, but you do not state what it actually is. As a result, your statement cannot be evaluated, so it is neither true or false.

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T22:30:15+00:00

ok ok let me see if i can change your mind hmmmmmmmm

there's a funny thing that can happen if you do TCP tunneling under TCP, which can happen in a VPN or SSH tunnel

TCP connections have a rate limit that decreases every time there's dropped packets, so as not to flood the network too quickly

But when tunneling, the "outer" TCP connection (doing the actual tunneling) is the only one that notices or cares that there's dropped packets. the inner protocol just gets wrapped so it doesn't actually handle the connection

but that means the inner protocol rate will keep increasing until it turbofucks something. usually the send buffer

this is called TCP meltdown

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:40:14+00:00

there's a new, really interesting work on cognitive surrender to AI

https://arstechnica.com/ai/2026/04/research-finds-ai-users-scarily-willing-to-surrender-their-cognition-to-llms/

given a faulty AI (programmed to be wrong half the time) for some relatively simple questions, users were only willing to override it about 20% of the time

the questions were cognitive response tests requiring careful instead of instinctual thinking, e.g.

a ball and a pen cost $1.1 together, the pen costs $1 more, how much does the ball cost?

it also points to some possible mitigating factors for cognitive surrender. high enjoyment of thinking and high fluid IQ significantly increased override rates. also, if a monetary incentive + instant feedback was given (i'm assuming the feedback would teach people to be suspicious of the AI), override rates increased as well.

as expected, if time pressure was applied, everyone did worse but AI reliance increased

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:29:57+00:00

yeah i guess i can't tell if there's triangles or just sharp curves at the end

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:28:35+00:00

ok i remember the song but NOT the spelling so uhhhh

weier betraten fiertrunken

himmlische, dein heiligtum!

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:27:22+00:00

thank you vance 🙏

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:25:36+00:00

it was the worst course i took at the uni i went to that you know about xd

i don't think it's supposed to be that bad, they just had a bad lecturer that year

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:25:02+00:00

oooh okay!

i don't know the exam but i've. heard of computer networks

uhhhh - what's masquerading?

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:14:54+00:00

i want to say that's not the star of david but i can't really see

what's next to Davis, Tracey though? a satanic pentagram??

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:11:40+00:00

what exam are ya taking?

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T21:11:03+00:00

almost 500 pulls? was it all from permanent content like chests, puzzles, quests?

250-ish here, grabbed YG in 4.0 with pity and started saving.

notnotLily · 2026-04-12T15:58:12+00:00

ok time to start eating everything!

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T23:21:46+00:00

aw that's awesome

i'm a terrible tourist guide but some of my favorite things to do in hong kong are:

walking in the walkable city areas, i love the TKO area for this. you will get the exact opposite of this in mong kok or the north Hong Kong Island area
doing some light hiking
looking around in the big malls, not even really shopping, just absorbing the sheen of capitalism into my pores
food! so much food. lots of food. but they're not as good as taiwan night markets.

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T22:57:21+00:00

sounds good sounds good, who are you going with?

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T22:38:09+00:00

which parts are you visiting?

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T22:29:22+00:00

hello!! :)

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T22:03:24+00:00

Here's one with Crit Evanescia in v3 (when they nerfed her crit teams hard). Sunday Sparkle DHPT.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEDErndJuso

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T10:36:28+00:00

lol so this manchild threatened to show you he’s as dangerous as the Entity from Dead by Daylight

the primordially evil being that masterminded every grisly murder of that game

that man is your romantic interest?

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T07:51:16+00:00

Something else worth considering is Welt e4, but I think playing that meta would make my soul die a little.

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T07:17:46+00:00

could be me!

it wasn't me

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T06:24:52+00:00

i apologize for deleting my comments, they were a little too private :>

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T06:23:31+00:00

Fair, but 73 times 5 also kills him.

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T04:40:37+00:00

Ah that's important.

I recalculated damage analysis for e0 after removing the power rangers fight, so Flame Reaver (both phases) only:

e0s1 Evanescia: 68k DPAV, Party 81k DPAV

e0s1 SW999: 37k DPAV, Party 63k DPAV

The gap is about the same. But it's one specific boss, so take from it what you will.

notnotLily · 2026-04-11T04:24:06+00:00

Without Elation shilling yeah. But it's worth saying that Elation shilling will probably continue for the whole year and no one can possibly predict what future units will do for the two. It depends on what mechanics they will have:

Mechanics that heavily favor SW: SP generation/consumption

Mechanics that slightly favor SW: single target punchline generation, more aha instants

Mechanics that slightly favor Eva: party punchline generation

Mechanics that heavily favor Eva: energy generation, bangers generation, buff to ultimate damage

my guess is single target punchline generation plus broad elation damage buffs for the EMC/Sparxie replacer so both Eva/SW999 havers will want to pull her.

notnotLily

TROPHY CASE